Shaping the next one hundred years : new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography / / Robert J. Lempert, Steven W. Popper, Steven C. Bankes.
The checkered history of predicting the future-e.g., ""Man will never fly""-has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demo...
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| Year of Publication: | 2003 |
| Edition: | 186th ed. |
| Language: | English |
| Physical Description: | 1 online resource (211 p.) |
| Notes: | "MR-1626." |
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| Summary: | The checkered history of predicting the future-e.g., ""Man will never fly""-has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of futures and design adaptive strategies to be robust across them. Using sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods apply to LTPA and a wide range of dec |
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| ISBN: | 1282451413 9786612451416 0833034855 |
| Hierarchical level: | Monograph |
| Statement of Responsibility: | Robert J. Lempert, Steven W. Popper, Steven C. Bankes. |