The Essence of Scenarios : : Learning from the Shell Experience / / Angela Wilkinson, Roland Kupers.
In 1965, Royal Dutch Shell started experimenting with a new approach to preparing for the future. This approach, called scenario planning, eschewed forecasting in favor of plausible alternative stories. By using stories, or “scenarios,” Shell aimed to avoid the false assumption that the future would...
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Place / Publishing House: | Amsterdam : : Amsterdam University Press, , [2014] ©2014 |
Year of Publication: | 2014 |
Language: | English |
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Physical Description: | 1 online resource (185 p.) |
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Kupers, Roland, author. aut http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut The Essence of Scenarios : Learning from the Shell Experience / Angela Wilkinson, Roland Kupers. Amsterdam : Amsterdam University Press, [2014] ©2014 1 online resource (185 p.) text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier text file PDF rda Frontmatter -- Table of Contents -- Acknowledgements -- Preface -- Introduction: The “Gentle Art” -- Sources -- I. A Unique Legacy -- II. Shell Scenarios - A History, 1965-2013 -- III. The Essence of the Shell Art -- IV. Looking Ahead -- V. Conclusion -- Epilogue: Scenario Team Leaders -- Afterword -- Appendix A - Timeline -- Appendix B - Summary of Scenarios -- Index restricted access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec online access with authorization star In 1965, Royal Dutch Shell started experimenting with a new approach to preparing for the future. This approach, called scenario planning, eschewed forecasting in favor of plausible alternative stories. By using stories, or “scenarios,” Shell aimed to avoid the false assumption that the future would look much like the present—an assumption that marred most corporate planning at the time. The Essence of Scenarios offers unmatched insight into the company’s innovative practice, which still has a huge influence on the way businesses, governments, and other organizations think about and plan for the future. In the course of their research, Angela Wilkinson and Roland Kupers interviewed almost every living veteran of the Shell scenario planning operation, along with many top Shell executives from later periods. Drawing on these interviews, the authors identify several principles that characterize the Shell process and explain how it has survived and thrived for so long. They also enumerate the qualities of successful Shell scenarios, which above all must be plausible stories with logical trajectories. Ultimately, Wilkinson and Kupers demonstrate the value of scenario planning as a sustained practice, rather than as a one-off exercise. Mode of access: Internet via World Wide Web. In English. Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (publisher's Web site, viewed 01. Dez 2022) BLW. Economics. PLS. Social and Political Sciences. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / General. bisacsh Management. Scenario planning. Strategic planning. Ho, Peter, contributor. ctb https://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/ctb Wilkinson, Angela, author. aut http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut Title is part of eBook package: De Gruyter AUP eBook Package Backlist 2000-2014 9783110606515 Title is part of eBook package: De Gruyter Amsterdam University Press Backlist eBook-Package 2000-2015 9783110662788 Title is part of eBook package: De Gruyter Amsterdam University Press Complete eBook-Package 2014 9783111023779 print 9789089645944 https://doi.org/10.1515/9789048522095?locatt=mode:legacy https://www.degruyter.com/isbn/9789048522095 Cover https://www.degruyter.com/document/cover/isbn/9789048522095/original |
language |
English |
format |
eBook |
author |
Kupers, Roland, Kupers, Roland, Wilkinson, Angela, |
spellingShingle |
Kupers, Roland, Kupers, Roland, Wilkinson, Angela, The Essence of Scenarios : Learning from the Shell Experience / Frontmatter -- Table of Contents -- Acknowledgements -- Preface -- Introduction: The “Gentle Art” -- Sources -- I. A Unique Legacy -- II. Shell Scenarios - A History, 1965-2013 -- III. The Essence of the Shell Art -- IV. Looking Ahead -- V. Conclusion -- Epilogue: Scenario Team Leaders -- Afterword -- Appendix A - Timeline -- Appendix B - Summary of Scenarios -- Index |
author_facet |
Kupers, Roland, Kupers, Roland, Wilkinson, Angela, Ho, Peter, Ho, Peter, Wilkinson, Angela, Wilkinson, Angela, |
author_variant |
r k rk r k rk a w aw |
author_role |
VerfasserIn VerfasserIn VerfasserIn |
author2 |
Ho, Peter, Ho, Peter, Wilkinson, Angela, Wilkinson, Angela, |
author2_variant |
p h ph p h ph a w aw |
author2_role |
MitwirkendeR MitwirkendeR VerfasserIn VerfasserIn |
author_sort |
Kupers, Roland, |
title |
The Essence of Scenarios : Learning from the Shell Experience / |
title_sub |
Learning from the Shell Experience / |
title_full |
The Essence of Scenarios : Learning from the Shell Experience / Angela Wilkinson, Roland Kupers. |
title_fullStr |
The Essence of Scenarios : Learning from the Shell Experience / Angela Wilkinson, Roland Kupers. |
title_full_unstemmed |
The Essence of Scenarios : Learning from the Shell Experience / Angela Wilkinson, Roland Kupers. |
title_auth |
The Essence of Scenarios : Learning from the Shell Experience / |
title_alt |
Frontmatter -- Table of Contents -- Acknowledgements -- Preface -- Introduction: The “Gentle Art” -- Sources -- I. A Unique Legacy -- II. Shell Scenarios - A History, 1965-2013 -- III. The Essence of the Shell Art -- IV. Looking Ahead -- V. Conclusion -- Epilogue: Scenario Team Leaders -- Afterword -- Appendix A - Timeline -- Appendix B - Summary of Scenarios -- Index |
title_new |
The Essence of Scenarios : |
title_sort |
the essence of scenarios : learning from the shell experience / |
publisher |
Amsterdam University Press, |
publishDate |
2014 |
physical |
1 online resource (185 p.) |
contents |
Frontmatter -- Table of Contents -- Acknowledgements -- Preface -- Introduction: The “Gentle Art” -- Sources -- I. A Unique Legacy -- II. Shell Scenarios - A History, 1965-2013 -- III. The Essence of the Shell Art -- IV. Looking Ahead -- V. Conclusion -- Epilogue: Scenario Team Leaders -- Afterword -- Appendix A - Timeline -- Appendix B - Summary of Scenarios -- Index |
isbn |
9789048522095 9783110606515 9783110662788 9783111023779 9789089645944 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1515/9789048522095?locatt=mode:legacy https://www.degruyter.com/isbn/9789048522095 https://www.degruyter.com/document/cover/isbn/9789048522095/original |
illustrated |
Not Illustrated |
dewey-hundreds |
600 - Technology |
dewey-tens |
650 - Management & public relations |
dewey-ones |
658 - General management |
dewey-full |
658.409 |
dewey-sort |
3658.409 |
dewey-raw |
658.409 |
dewey-search |
658.409 |
doi_str_mv |
10.1515/9789048522095?locatt=mode:legacy |
oclc_num |
880148071 |
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Title is part of eBook package: De Gruyter AUP eBook Package Backlist 2000-2014 Title is part of eBook package: De Gruyter Amsterdam University Press Backlist eBook-Package 2000-2015 Title is part of eBook package: De Gruyter Amsterdam University Press Complete eBook-Package 2014 |
is_hierarchy_title |
The Essence of Scenarios : Learning from the Shell Experience / |
container_title |
Title is part of eBook package: De Gruyter AUP eBook Package Backlist 2000-2014 |
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