Stalking the black swan : research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / / Kenneth A. Posner.
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| Year of Publication: | 2010 |
| Language: | English |
| Online Access: | |
| Physical Description: | xv, 267 p. :; ill. |
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500908205 |
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| ctrlnum |
(MiAaPQ)500908205 (Au-PeEL)EBL908205 (CaPaEBR)ebr10419632 (CaONFJC)MIL279661 (OCoLC)716238658 |
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Posner, Kenneth A. Stalking the black swan [electronic resource] : research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / Kenneth A. Posner. New York : Columbia Business School Publishing, c2010. xv, 267 p. : ill. Includes bibliographical references and index. Forecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment. Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, MI : ProQuest, 2015. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest affiliated libraries. Investment analysis. Investments Forecasting. Business cycles. Recessions. Electronic books. ProQuest (Firm) https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/oeawat/detail.action?docID=908205 Click to View |
| language |
English |
| format |
Electronic eBook |
| author |
Posner, Kenneth A. |
| spellingShingle |
Posner, Kenneth A. Stalking the black swan research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / Forecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment. |
| author_facet |
Posner, Kenneth A. ProQuest (Firm) ProQuest (Firm) |
| author_variant |
k a p ka kap |
| author2 |
ProQuest (Firm) |
| author2_role |
TeilnehmendeR |
| author_corporate |
ProQuest (Firm) |
| author_sort |
Posner, Kenneth A. |
| title |
Stalking the black swan research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / |
| title_sub |
research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / |
| title_full |
Stalking the black swan [electronic resource] : research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / Kenneth A. Posner. |
| title_fullStr |
Stalking the black swan [electronic resource] : research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / Kenneth A. Posner. |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Stalking the black swan [electronic resource] : research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / Kenneth A. Posner. |
| title_auth |
Stalking the black swan research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / |
| title_new |
Stalking the black swan |
| title_sort |
stalking the black swan research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / |
| publisher |
Columbia Business School Publishing, |
| publishDate |
2010 |
| physical |
xv, 267 p. : ill. |
| contents |
Forecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment. |
| isbn |
9780231521673 (electronic bk.) 0231521677 (electronic bk.) |
| callnumber-first |
H - Social Science |
| callnumber-subject |
HG - Finance |
| callnumber-label |
HG4529 |
| callnumber-sort |
HG 44529 P67 42010 |
| genre |
Electronic books. |
| genre_facet |
Electronic books. |
| url |
https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/oeawat/detail.action?docID=908205 |
| illustrated |
Illustrated |
| dewey-hundreds |
300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-tens |
330 - Economics |
| dewey-ones |
332 - Financial economics |
| dewey-full |
332.63/2042 |
| dewey-sort |
3332.63 42042 |
| dewey-raw |
332.63/2042 |
| dewey-search |
332.63/2042 |
| oclc_num |
716238658 |
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| status_str |
n |
| ids_txt_mv |
(MiAaPQ)500908205 (Au-PeEL)EBL908205 (CaPaEBR)ebr10419632 (CaONFJC)MIL279661 (OCoLC)716238658 |
| is_hierarchy_title |
Stalking the black swan research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / |
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noLinkedField |
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1792330729433071616 |
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