Stalking the black swan : research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / / Kenneth A. Posner.
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| Year of Publication: | 2010 |
| Language: | English |
| Online Access: | |
| Physical Description: | xv, 267 p. :; ill. |
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| 020 | |z 0231150482 (cloth : alk. paper) | ||
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| 050 | 4 | |a HG4529 |b .P67 2010 | |
| 082 | 0 | 4 | |a 332.63/2042 |2 22 |
| 100 | 1 | |a Posner, Kenneth A. | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Stalking the black swan |h [electronic resource] : |b research and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / |c Kenneth A. Posner. |
| 260 | |a New York : |b Columbia Business School Publishing, |c c2010. | ||
| 300 | |a xv, 267 p. : |b ill. | ||
| 504 | |a Includes bibliographical references and index. | ||
| 505 | 0 | |a Forecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment. | |
| 533 | |a Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, MI : ProQuest, 2015. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest affiliated libraries. | ||
| 650 | 0 | |a Investment analysis. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Investments |x Forecasting. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Business cycles. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Recessions. | |
| 655 | 4 | |a Electronic books. | |
| 710 | 2 | |a ProQuest (Firm) | |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/oeawat/detail.action?docID=908205 |z Click to View |