Futures Past. Economic Forecasting in the 20th and 21st Century.
Der Sammelband beschäftigt sich aus unterschiedlichen disziplinären Perspektiven mit der Geschichte und gegenwärtigen Herausforderungen von Wirtschaftsprognosen.
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Superior document: | Literatur - Kultur - Oekonomie / Literature - Culture - Economy Series ; v.5 |
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Place / Publishing House: | Frankfurt a.M. : : Peter Lang GmbH, Internationaler Verlag der Wissenschaften,, 2020. ©2020. |
Year of Publication: | 2020 |
Edition: | 1st ed. |
Language: | English |
Series: | Literatur - Kultur - Oekonomie / Literature - Culture - Economy Series
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Physical Description: | 1 online resource (222 pages) |
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Fritsche, Ulrich. Futures Past. Economic Forecasting in the 20th and 21st Century. 1st ed. Frankfurt a.M. : Peter Lang GmbH, Internationaler Verlag der Wissenschaften, 2020. ©2020. 1 online resource (222 pages) text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier Literatur - Kultur - Oekonomie / Literature - Culture - Economy Series ; v.5 Cover -- Copyright information -- Contents -- List of Authors -- Introduction -- 1. A Very Short History of Economic Forecasting -- 2. The Social Fabrication of Forecasts: Some Aspects -- 3. This Volume -- References -- Continuities and Discontinuities in Economic Forecasting 1 -- 1. Introduction -- 2. The Historical Record of Economic Forecasting -- 3. Why Do Forecasters Miss Recessions -- 4. Nowcasting Recessions -- 5. Conclusion -- References -- Measuring and Managing Expectations: Consumer Confidence as an Economic Indicator, 1920s-1970s -- 1. Introduction -- 2. A Tool for "Scientific Marketing": Interwar Consumer Research and Psychological Transfers -- 3. Consumer Expectations and Decision-Making: George Katona and Wartime Attitude Research -- 4. Framing the Affluent Society: Consumer Sentiment Surveys as Behavioral Economics -- 5. Framing and Managing Expectations in the Cold War: More Transatlantic Transfers of Consumer Survey Methodology -- 6. Conclusion -- References -- The Economist as Futurologist: The Making and the Public Reception of the Perspektivstudien in Switzerland, 1964-1975 -- 1. The Economy as a Separated Sphere -- 2. Future Perspectives for an Economically Underexplored Country -- 3. The Motion Borel: Between Planning and Forecasting -- 4. The Perspektivstudien and the Swiss Economy as a Separated Sphere -- 5. A Switzerland of 10 Million Inhabitants -- References -- The Janus Face of Inflation Targeting: How Governing Market Expectations of the Future Imprisons Monetary Policy in a Normalized Present -- 1. Introduction: Monetary Policy and the Problems of 'Knowing the Future' -- 2. The Temporalities of Modern Central Banking: Using the Future to Escape the Fetters of the Present -- 3. What 'Futures' Does Future-Oriented Monetary Policy Govern - and How?. 4. Conclusion: Why Standardizing the Future Increases Uncertainties -- References -- Social Interaction, Emotion, and Economic Forecasting -- 1. Introduction -- 1.1. The Field: Economic Forecasters in German-Speaking Countries -- 2. Interaction and the Future -- 2.1. Mental Time Traveling and Foretalk -- 3. Interaction and Economic Forecasting -- 3.1. Interaction and Econometrics -- 3.2. Patterns of External Interaction -- 3.3. Patterns of Internal Interaction -- 4. Emotion and Scientific Reasoning -- 4.1. Emotions in Economic Forecasting -- 4.2. Emotion as Epistemic Resource -- 5. Conclusion -- References -- The Dynamics of Expectations: A Sequential Perspective on Macroeconomic Forecasting 1 -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Shifting the Focus from Outcomes to Processes -- 3. Data and Material -- 4. Are Predictions Predictable? Forecasting as a Sequence -- 5. What Is Updating? The Informational Grounds of Forecasts Revisions -- 6. Discussion and Conclusion -- Appendix A: Forecasts Publication Date -- Appendix B: Panel Overview -- References -- Never Change a Losing Horse?: On Adaptations in German Forecasting after the Great Financial Crisis -- 1. Introduction -- 2. The Survey -- 3. Empirical Results -- 3.1. Responses to Pre-Formulated Statements -- 3.2. Answers to Free Questions -- 3.3. Evidence from Probability Models -- 4. Decoupling of Academia and Macroeconomic Forecasting Camp -- 5. Conclusion -- References. Der Sammelband beschäftigt sich aus unterschiedlichen disziplinären Perspektiven mit der Geschichte und gegenwärtigen Herausforderungen von Wirtschaftsprognosen. Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources. Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2024. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries. Electronic books. Köster, Roman. Lenel, Laetitia. Print version: Fritsche, Ulrich Futures Past. Economic Forecasting in the 20th and 21st Century Frankfurt a.M. : Peter Lang GmbH, Internationaler Verlag der Wissenschaften,c2020 9783631793169 ProQuest (Firm) Literatur - Kultur - Oekonomie / Literature - Culture - Economy Series https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/oeawat/detail.action?docID=30685966 Click to View |
language |
English |
format |
eBook |
author |
Fritsche, Ulrich. |
spellingShingle |
Fritsche, Ulrich. Futures Past. Economic Forecasting in the 20th and 21st Century. Literatur - Kultur - Oekonomie / Literature - Culture - Economy Series ; Cover -- Copyright information -- Contents -- List of Authors -- Introduction -- 1. A Very Short History of Economic Forecasting -- 2. The Social Fabrication of Forecasts: Some Aspects -- 3. This Volume -- References -- Continuities and Discontinuities in Economic Forecasting 1 -- 1. Introduction -- 2. The Historical Record of Economic Forecasting -- 3. Why Do Forecasters Miss Recessions -- 4. Nowcasting Recessions -- 5. Conclusion -- References -- Measuring and Managing Expectations: Consumer Confidence as an Economic Indicator, 1920s-1970s -- 1. Introduction -- 2. A Tool for "Scientific Marketing": Interwar Consumer Research and Psychological Transfers -- 3. Consumer Expectations and Decision-Making: George Katona and Wartime Attitude Research -- 4. Framing the Affluent Society: Consumer Sentiment Surveys as Behavioral Economics -- 5. Framing and Managing Expectations in the Cold War: More Transatlantic Transfers of Consumer Survey Methodology -- 6. Conclusion -- References -- The Economist as Futurologist: The Making and the Public Reception of the Perspektivstudien in Switzerland, 1964-1975 -- 1. The Economy as a Separated Sphere -- 2. Future Perspectives for an Economically Underexplored Country -- 3. The Motion Borel: Between Planning and Forecasting -- 4. The Perspektivstudien and the Swiss Economy as a Separated Sphere -- 5. A Switzerland of 10 Million Inhabitants -- References -- The Janus Face of Inflation Targeting: How Governing Market Expectations of the Future Imprisons Monetary Policy in a Normalized Present -- 1. Introduction: Monetary Policy and the Problems of 'Knowing the Future' -- 2. The Temporalities of Modern Central Banking: Using the Future to Escape the Fetters of the Present -- 3. What 'Futures' Does Future-Oriented Monetary Policy Govern - and How?. 4. Conclusion: Why Standardizing the Future Increases Uncertainties -- References -- Social Interaction, Emotion, and Economic Forecasting -- 1. Introduction -- 1.1. The Field: Economic Forecasters in German-Speaking Countries -- 2. Interaction and the Future -- 2.1. Mental Time Traveling and Foretalk -- 3. Interaction and Economic Forecasting -- 3.1. Interaction and Econometrics -- 3.2. Patterns of External Interaction -- 3.3. Patterns of Internal Interaction -- 4. Emotion and Scientific Reasoning -- 4.1. Emotions in Economic Forecasting -- 4.2. Emotion as Epistemic Resource -- 5. Conclusion -- References -- The Dynamics of Expectations: A Sequential Perspective on Macroeconomic Forecasting 1 -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Shifting the Focus from Outcomes to Processes -- 3. Data and Material -- 4. Are Predictions Predictable? Forecasting as a Sequence -- 5. What Is Updating? The Informational Grounds of Forecasts Revisions -- 6. Discussion and Conclusion -- Appendix A: Forecasts Publication Date -- Appendix B: Panel Overview -- References -- Never Change a Losing Horse?: On Adaptations in German Forecasting after the Great Financial Crisis -- 1. Introduction -- 2. The Survey -- 3. Empirical Results -- 3.1. Responses to Pre-Formulated Statements -- 3.2. Answers to Free Questions -- 3.3. Evidence from Probability Models -- 4. Decoupling of Academia and Macroeconomic Forecasting Camp -- 5. Conclusion -- References. |
author_facet |
Fritsche, Ulrich. Köster, Roman. Lenel, Laetitia. |
author_variant |
u f uf |
author2 |
Köster, Roman. Lenel, Laetitia. |
author2_variant |
r k rk l l ll |
author2_role |
TeilnehmendeR TeilnehmendeR |
author_sort |
Fritsche, Ulrich. |
title |
Futures Past. Economic Forecasting in the 20th and 21st Century. |
title_full |
Futures Past. Economic Forecasting in the 20th and 21st Century. |
title_fullStr |
Futures Past. Economic Forecasting in the 20th and 21st Century. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Futures Past. Economic Forecasting in the 20th and 21st Century. |
title_auth |
Futures Past. Economic Forecasting in the 20th and 21st Century. |
title_new |
Futures Past. Economic Forecasting in the 20th and 21st Century. |
title_sort |
futures past. economic forecasting in the 20th and 21st century. |
series |
Literatur - Kultur - Oekonomie / Literature - Culture - Economy Series ; |
series2 |
Literatur - Kultur - Oekonomie / Literature - Culture - Economy Series ; |
publisher |
Peter Lang GmbH, Internationaler Verlag der Wissenschaften, |
publishDate |
2020 |
physical |
1 online resource (222 pages) |
edition |
1st ed. |
contents |
Cover -- Copyright information -- Contents -- List of Authors -- Introduction -- 1. A Very Short History of Economic Forecasting -- 2. The Social Fabrication of Forecasts: Some Aspects -- 3. This Volume -- References -- Continuities and Discontinuities in Economic Forecasting 1 -- 1. Introduction -- 2. The Historical Record of Economic Forecasting -- 3. Why Do Forecasters Miss Recessions -- 4. Nowcasting Recessions -- 5. Conclusion -- References -- Measuring and Managing Expectations: Consumer Confidence as an Economic Indicator, 1920s-1970s -- 1. Introduction -- 2. A Tool for "Scientific Marketing": Interwar Consumer Research and Psychological Transfers -- 3. Consumer Expectations and Decision-Making: George Katona and Wartime Attitude Research -- 4. Framing the Affluent Society: Consumer Sentiment Surveys as Behavioral Economics -- 5. Framing and Managing Expectations in the Cold War: More Transatlantic Transfers of Consumer Survey Methodology -- 6. Conclusion -- References -- The Economist as Futurologist: The Making and the Public Reception of the Perspektivstudien in Switzerland, 1964-1975 -- 1. The Economy as a Separated Sphere -- 2. Future Perspectives for an Economically Underexplored Country -- 3. The Motion Borel: Between Planning and Forecasting -- 4. The Perspektivstudien and the Swiss Economy as a Separated Sphere -- 5. A Switzerland of 10 Million Inhabitants -- References -- The Janus Face of Inflation Targeting: How Governing Market Expectations of the Future Imprisons Monetary Policy in a Normalized Present -- 1. Introduction: Monetary Policy and the Problems of 'Knowing the Future' -- 2. The Temporalities of Modern Central Banking: Using the Future to Escape the Fetters of the Present -- 3. What 'Futures' Does Future-Oriented Monetary Policy Govern - and How?. 4. Conclusion: Why Standardizing the Future Increases Uncertainties -- References -- Social Interaction, Emotion, and Economic Forecasting -- 1. Introduction -- 1.1. The Field: Economic Forecasters in German-Speaking Countries -- 2. Interaction and the Future -- 2.1. Mental Time Traveling and Foretalk -- 3. Interaction and Economic Forecasting -- 3.1. Interaction and Econometrics -- 3.2. Patterns of External Interaction -- 3.3. Patterns of Internal Interaction -- 4. Emotion and Scientific Reasoning -- 4.1. Emotions in Economic Forecasting -- 4.2. Emotion as Epistemic Resource -- 5. Conclusion -- References -- The Dynamics of Expectations: A Sequential Perspective on Macroeconomic Forecasting 1 -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Shifting the Focus from Outcomes to Processes -- 3. Data and Material -- 4. Are Predictions Predictable? Forecasting as a Sequence -- 5. What Is Updating? The Informational Grounds of Forecasts Revisions -- 6. Discussion and Conclusion -- Appendix A: Forecasts Publication Date -- Appendix B: Panel Overview -- References -- Never Change a Losing Horse?: On Adaptations in German Forecasting after the Great Financial Crisis -- 1. Introduction -- 2. The Survey -- 3. Empirical Results -- 3.1. Responses to Pre-Formulated Statements -- 3.2. Answers to Free Questions -- 3.3. Evidence from Probability Models -- 4. Decoupling of Academia and Macroeconomic Forecasting Camp -- 5. Conclusion -- References. |
isbn |
9783631818695 9783631793169 |
genre |
Electronic books. |
genre_facet |
Electronic books. |
url |
https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/oeawat/detail.action?docID=30685966 |
illustrated |
Not Illustrated |
dewey-hundreds |
300 - Social sciences |
dewey-tens |
330 - Economics |
dewey-ones |
330 - Economics |
dewey-full |
330.0112 |
dewey-sort |
3330.0112 |
dewey-raw |
330.0112 |
dewey-search |
330.0112 |
oclc_num |
1236459178 |
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Literatur - Kultur - Oekonomie / Literature - Culture - Economy Series ; v.5 |
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Futures Past. Economic Forecasting in the 20th and 21st Century. |
container_title |
Literatur - Kultur - Oekonomie / Literature - Culture - Economy Series ; v.5 |
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