Small-scale patterns of the “Arrival City” and ethnic segregation in Vienna

 

Background and problem definition

For many scientific questions, research institutions and the public only have access to aggregated data sets due to data protection. In order to circumvent the limitations of data aggregation and to ensure data protection, the Vienna Municipal Directorate (MD-OS PIKT) and Municipal Department 23 (Economy, Labor and Statistics) together with the Viennese company MOSTLY AI have carried out a pilot project to synthesize the Vienna Population Register (WBR). The WBR is based on monthly deductions from the Central Register of Residents and includes all Viennese residence registrations. Data synthesisation is an innovative approach to create accessible high-resolution data in an anonymized form. The synthetic data set resulting from the pilot project does not differ in its statistical structure from the original data set, bivariate relationships between different attributes were retained, and at the same time individuals are not identifiable.

Objectives and research questions

In the course of this study, the data set “synthetic population register of the city of Vienna” will be examined for its applicability for scientific questions. Two current topics in urban research will be examined at a small scale and comparatively at different scales (building blocks, census areas, census districts).

Topic 1: The Arrival City of Vienna

The first topic concerns the socio-spatial structure and influencing factors of the arrival city in Vienna. The "Arrival City" (Saunders 2010) describes those parts of the urban space that represent the first stop on a city's housing market for new arrivals (from home and abroad). In Vienna, this function is traditionally attributed to the historic housing stock from the “Gründerzeit” period (Kohlbacher and Reeger 2007, Musil et al. 2021): low-threshold access and cheap or regulated rents were the decisive factors in ensuring that new arrivals - whether guest workers in the 1970s, students from other federal states, immigrants from Eastern Europe or refugees - began their residential careers in Vienna in this segment. Against the background of the current transformation of the Gründerzeit city (Musil et al. 2022), the effect of the current housing market dynamics on the Arrival City will be examined.

Specifically, the following research questions are addressed:

  1. What spatial pattern does Vienna's "Arrival City" show in the urban space, differentiated by country of origin?

  2. Is the transformation of the Gründerzeit city (parification, demolition/new construction) reducing its function as an "Arrival City"?

  3. What influence does the housing market structure have on the characteristics of arrivals by country of origin at different spatial scales (building blocks, census areas, census districts)?

 

Topic 2: Ethnic Segregation in Vienna

The second topic deals with the nature of ethnic segregation and its determinants. The unequal distribution of the population is a central, constitutive feature of urban societies (Musterd 2020). The housing market is the central mechanism of allocation, as individual segments are characterized by different access barriers and exclusion mechanisms (e.g.: ownership vs. rental market, private vs. social housing market segment, price differentiation; Arbaci 2007). In addition to the size or relevance of the housing market segments with their specific access barriers, the spatial distribution of the segments in the urban space also plays a central role in the extent of social segregation (Maloutas 2022).

Specifically, the following research questions are addressed:

  1. How does the extent of ethnic segregation differ for different groups of origin?

  2. What is the influence of spatial scale on the extent of segregation?

  3. What influence does the housing market structure have on ethnic diversity within and between spatial units (building blocks, census areas, census districts)?

Both topics will be investigated in two stages: In stage 1, the existing synthetic dataset will be exploratory analysed; in stage 2, the synthetic population register will be linked to additional data and evaluated using inferential statistics in the context of multivariate regression analyses.

Figure 1: Population by country of birth (in percent of the population per building block; Synthetic Population Register of the City of Vienna, as of 1 January 2022)

Methods and data

To analyse the spatial patterns of the “Arrival City”, the households are located in the respective spatial reference unit (building blocks, census areas, census districts). The Arrival City is identified by variables for the first registration or uninterrupted registration of people in Vienna (“registration_year” and “valid_year”). A differentiation is also made according to country of birth and citizenship: “Vienna group” (no migration background, country of birth Vienna, Austrian citizenship); “federal states group” (country of birth Austria and non-Vienna); “foreign group” (country of birth abroad, non-Austrian citizenship). To analyse the transformation and differentiation of the Gründerzeit city as an Arrival City, the data on new arrivals is linked to data on the housing market segments. For this purpose, the spatial reference units are typologised according to the predominant housing market segment (social housing, Gründerzeit city parified/non parified, new construction, etc.). The focus of interest is primarily on the historic housing stock. Furthermore, the spatial units are differentiated with regard to the average condominium prices. A regression model is used to examine the effect that the transformation of the historic building stock in the past has had on the function of the Arrival City.

To analyse ethnic segregation at different scales, different origin groups are identified based on the variables country of birth (“gebland_1c”) and citizenship (“staat_k1c”). To analyse the effect of the housing market structure on ethnic diversity or segregation, a regression model is set up, which should include, among others, control variables for location or accessibility in the urban area, as well as the spatial variation of condominium prices.

Outcome

The research project has two goals: firstly, it aims to analyse current issues in urban research - Arrival City, Ethnic Segregation - from a small-scale perspective. The empirical analysis at different scales also addresses a classic issue in urban research - the "MAUP" problem (modifiable areal unit problem) - which discusses the distortion of research results (e.g. segregation indices) due to the location and size of spatial units (Lee et al. 2008). Secondly, the applicability of the synthetic population register is to be assessed in terms of its applicability for social science research practice. In a comparison of the results with original data, the strength of the deviation and the change in the accuracy/significance of the synthetic population register with scale (aggregation) are to be assessed.

Duration


November 2023 – November 2024

Funding


City of Vienna – Economy, Labour and Statistics (MA23)