Perspectives on warm conveyor belts : : sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error / / Moritz Pickl.
Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of...
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Place / Publishing House: | Karlsruhe : : KIT Scientific Publishing,, 2023. |
Year of Publication: | 2023 |
Language: | English |
Physical Description: | 1 online resource (xiii, 214 pages) |
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Pickl, Moritz, author. Perspectives on warm conveyor belts : sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error / Moritz Pickl. Karlsruhe : KIT Scientific Publishing, 2023. 1 online resource (xiii, 214 pages) text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (KIT Scientific Publishing, viewed May 13, 2023). Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of WCBs in the context of ensemble forecasts: (1) sensitivities of WCBs to the representation of initial condition and model uncertainties, and (2) the role of WCBs for forecast error growth. Introduction -- 1 -- Background and Research Questions -- 5 -- Data and Methods -- 29 -- The impact of ensemble configuration on rapidly ascending air streams -- 55 -- Impacts through stochastic perturbations -- 105 -- The role of WCBs for forecast error growth -- 139 -- Conclusions -- 171 -- Appendix for Chapter3 -- 181 -- Appendix for Chapter4 -- 183 -- Appendix for Chapter5 -- 185 -- Appendix for Chapter6 -- 187 -- Bibliography -- 193 -- Acknowledgements -- 213 -- Copyright. Forecasting Methodology. 1000150862 |
language |
English |
format |
eBook |
author |
Pickl, Moritz, |
spellingShingle |
Pickl, Moritz, Perspectives on warm conveyor belts : sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error / Introduction -- 1 -- Background and Research Questions -- 5 -- Data and Methods -- 29 -- The impact of ensemble configuration on rapidly ascending air streams -- 55 -- Impacts through stochastic perturbations -- 105 -- The role of WCBs for forecast error growth -- 139 -- Conclusions -- 171 -- Appendix for Chapter3 -- 181 -- Appendix for Chapter4 -- 183 -- Appendix for Chapter5 -- 185 -- Appendix for Chapter6 -- 187 -- Bibliography -- 193 -- Acknowledgements -- 213 -- Copyright. |
author_facet |
Pickl, Moritz, |
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Pickl, Moritz, |
title |
Perspectives on warm conveyor belts : sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error / |
title_sub |
sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error / |
title_full |
Perspectives on warm conveyor belts : sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error / Moritz Pickl. |
title_fullStr |
Perspectives on warm conveyor belts : sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error / Moritz Pickl. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Perspectives on warm conveyor belts : sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error / Moritz Pickl. |
title_auth |
Perspectives on warm conveyor belts : sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error / |
title_new |
Perspectives on warm conveyor belts : |
title_sort |
perspectives on warm conveyor belts : sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error / |
publisher |
KIT Scientific Publishing, |
publishDate |
2023 |
physical |
1 online resource (xiii, 214 pages) |
contents |
Introduction -- 1 -- Background and Research Questions -- 5 -- Data and Methods -- 29 -- The impact of ensemble configuration on rapidly ascending air streams -- 55 -- Impacts through stochastic perturbations -- 105 -- The role of WCBs for forecast error growth -- 139 -- Conclusions -- 171 -- Appendix for Chapter3 -- 181 -- Appendix for Chapter4 -- 183 -- Appendix for Chapter5 -- 185 -- Appendix for Chapter6 -- 187 -- Bibliography -- 193 -- Acknowledgements -- 213 -- Copyright. |
isbn |
1000150862 |
callnumber-first |
C - Historical Sciences |
callnumber-subject |
CB - History of Civilization |
callnumber-label |
CB158 |
callnumber-sort |
CB 3158 P535 42023 |
illustrated |
Not Illustrated |
dewey-hundreds |
300 - Social sciences |
dewey-tens |
300 - Social sciences, sociology & anthropology |
dewey-ones |
303 - Social processes |
dewey-full |
303.49 |
dewey-sort |
3303.49 |
dewey-raw |
303.49 |
dewey-search |
303.49 |
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AT picklmoritz perspectivesonwarmconveyorbeltssensitivitiestoensembleconfigurationandtheroleforforecasterror |
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Perspectives on warm conveyor belts : sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error / |
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1796653810928582657 |
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