Coping with Iran : : confrontation, containment, or engagement? : a conference report / / James Dobbins, Sarah Harting, Dalia Dassa Kaye.
On March 21, 2007, the RAND Corporation held a public conference on Capitol Hill, "Coping with Iran: Confrontation, Containment, or Engagement?" featuring high-level experts and hosted by the director of the RAND International Security and Defense Policy Center. More than 300 guests attend...
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| Superior document: | Conference proceedings |
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| Year of Publication: | 2007 |
| Edition: | 1st ed. |
| Language: | English |
| Series: | Conference proceedings (Rand Corporation)
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| Physical Description: | 1 online resource (107 p.) |
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Table of Contents:
- Cover; PREFACE; CONTENTS; FIGURES; CONFERENCE SUMMARY; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS; ABBREVIATIONS; INTRODUCTION; PANEL 1: INSIDE IRAN; PANEL MEMBERS; ROLE OF THE REGIME; HOW THE UNITED STATES MAY MISPERCEIVE IRANIAN POLITICS: SIX OBSERVATIONS; AYATOLLAH ALI KHAMENEI, IRAN'S NUCLEAR "CARPET," AND IRAQ; Final Thoughts: The Iranian Populace and Two Ticking Clocks; THE REGIME: DISAGREEMENT AND DISCORD BUT ALSO CONSENSUS?; QUESTION AND ANSWER SESSION; 1. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's Trip to Turkey; 2. President Ahmadi-Nejad as a Political Liability
- 3. Statement by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei 4. Russia's Decision to Suspend Cooperation at Bushehr; 5. U.S. Congress and Iranian Parliamentarians; 6. Effect of Civil Action on U.S. Foreign Policy; 7. 2003 Proposal for a Grand Bargain; 8. Mujahedin-e Khalq Organization (MEK); PANEL 2: LOOKING AT TWO ALTERNATIVE FUTURES; PANEL MEMBERS; IRAN, THE UNITED STATES, AND NUCLEAR WEAPONS: AN EXAMINATION OF KEY POLICY ISSUES; Iran's Motivations for Acquiring Nuclear Weapons; Iran's Conventional Forces; Iran's "Strategic Loneliness"; A Nuclear-Armed Iran?; An Attack on Iran; Policy Directions
- FIVE KEY POINTS POWERFUL DRIVERS, RISKS, AND POSSIBLE OUTCOMES; QUESTION AND ANSWER SESSION; 1. Effectiveness of Security Guarantees; 2. Lessons from History and Unintended Consequences; 3. Consortium Proposal; 4. Israel and the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons; CLOSING STATEMENT; AN IRANIAN PERSPECTIVE; PRESENTER AND RESPONDERS; IRAN'S NATIONAL SECURITY ENVIRONMENT; Regional Stability and Security; Weapons of Mass Destruction; Resolving the Iranian Nuclear Crisis; QUESTION AND ANSWER SESSION; 1. UNSC Resolution; 2. A Two-Month Suspension of Enrichment--but What Next?
- 3. Legitimacy of the UNSC Resolution4. "Suspension for Suspension"; 5. Iran's Role in Iraq; 6. March 2006 Offer by the Supreme Leader; 7. Regional Involvement in Iraq; 8. Iranian Reaction to Russian Suspension of Bushehr; 9. Location of General Ali Reza Askari; 10. Israel and Iranians in Custody in Iraq; 11. The Population's Rights in Iran; 12. Goal of the Regional Ministerial Meeting; 13. Hizballah and Hamas; 14. Helping Iraq Despite a Continued U.S. Presence; 15. Iran's View of a Consortium; PANEL 3: WHAT TO DO: PREEMPTION? CONTAINMENT? ENGAGEMENT?; PANEL MEMBERS
- IRAQ OR IRAN: WHICH COMES FIRST?ELEMENTS OF A SUCCESSFUL DIPLOMATIC STRATEGY; ADDRESSING UNCERTAINTIES; WHERE TO NOW?; QUESTION AND ANSWER SESSION; 1. Iraq Study Group Report; 2. An Acceptable Outcome for Israel; 3. United States
- Aggressive Talk, but Carrying a Small Stick?; 4. Iran's Role in Iraq; 5. Should Congress Authorize the Use of Force?; 6. Lessons from Relations with China in the 1970's; 7. The IRGC and the Risk of Escalation; 8. The Role of Dissidents in Iran; A U.S. PERSPECTIVE; PRESENTER AND RESPONDERS; HOW THE U.S. GOVERNMENT VIEWS IRAN; QUESTION AND ANSWER SESSION
- 1. The Key to Successful Negotiations