Are U.S. military interventions contagious over time? : intervention timing and its implications for force planning / / Jennifer Kavanagh.

Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent...

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Year of Publication:2013
Language:English
Physical Description:1 online resource (77 p.)
Notes:
  • "Prepared for the United States Army."
  • "RAND Arroyo Center."
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Summary:Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent past. Integrating the concept of temporal dependence into DoD planning processes could help planners develop more appropriate force estimates.
Bibliography:Includes bibliographical references.
ISBN:0833079050
0833079034
0833079042
Access:Open access
Hierarchical level:Monograph
Statement of Responsibility: Jennifer Kavanagh.