Expert Political Judgment : : How Good Is It? How Can We Know? / / Philip E. Tetlock.

The intelligence failures surrounding the invasion of Iraq dramatically illustrate the necessity of developing standards for evaluating expert opinion. This book fills that need. Here, Philip E. Tetlock explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events, and looks at why experts are...

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Superior document:Title is part of eBook package: De Gruyter Princeton University Press eBook-Package Backlist 2000-2013
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Place / Publishing House:Princeton, NJ : : Princeton University Press, , [2009]
©2006
Year of Publication:2009
Edition:Course Book
Language:English
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Physical Description:1 online resource (344 p.) :; 39 line illus. 7 tables.
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