Estimative Intelligence in European Foreign Policymaking : : Learning Lessons from an Era of Surprise / / ed. by Christoph Meyer.

The first comparative study of estimative intelligence and strategic surprise in a European context, complementing and testing insights from previous studies centred on the United StatesExtensive empirical analysis of open-source material and interviews in relation to three cases of major surprise:...

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Bibliographic Details
Superior document:Title is part of eBook package: De Gruyter EBOOK PACKAGE COMPLETE 2023 English
MitwirkendeR:
HerausgeberIn:
Place / Publishing House:Edinburgh : : Edinburgh University Press, , [2022]
©2022
Year of Publication:2022
Language:English
Series:Intelligence, Surveillance and Secret Warfare : ISSW
Online Access:
Physical Description:1 online resource (256 p.)
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Table of Contents:
  • Frontmatter
  • Intelligence, Surveillance and Secret Warfare
  • Contents
  • List of Contributors
  • Acknowledgements
  • Introduction: Estimative Intelligence and Anticipatory Foreign Policy
  • 1. Expectations from Estimative Intelligence and Anticipatory Foreign Policy: A Realistic Appraisal
  • 2. Surprise, Revisited: An EU Performance Evaluation of the Arab Uprisings
  • 3. How Germany and the UK Anticipated ISIS’s Rise to Power in Syria and Iraq
  • 4. The Case of the Ukraine–Russia Undeclared War 2013/2014: Lessons for the EU’s Estimative Intelligence
  • 5. The Case of the UK: Intelligence Assessment, Priorities and Knowing that you are Being Warned
  • 6. ‘We Never Plan for the Worst Case’: Considering the Case of Germany
  • 7. Lessons Learned and Still to be Learned: The Case of the European Union
  • 8. Which Lessons to Learn from an Era of Surprise? Key Findings and Implications from the Dual Comparison
  • References
  • Index