Why Intelligence Fails : : Lessons from the Iranian Revolution and the Iraq War / / Robert Jervis.
The U.S. government spends enormous resources each year on the gathering and analysis of intelligence, yet the history of American foreign policy is littered with missteps and misunderstandings that have resulted from intelligence failures. In Why Intelligence Fails, Robert Jervis examines the polit...
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Place / Publishing House: | Ithaca, NY : : Cornell University Press, , [2010] ©2011 |
Year of Publication: | 2010 |
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Jervis, Robert, author. aut http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut Why Intelligence Fails : Lessons from the Iranian Revolution and the Iraq War / Robert Jervis. Ithaca, NY : Cornell University Press, [2010] ©2011 1 online resource (248 p.) text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier text file PDF rda Cornell Studies in Security Affairs Frontmatter -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- 1. Adventures in Intelligence -- 2. Failing to See That the Shah Was in Danger: Introduction, Postmortem, and CIA Comments -- 3. The Iraq WMD Intelligence Failure: What Everyone Knows Is Wrong -- 4. The Politics and Psychology of Intelligence and Intelligence Reform -- Notes -- Index restricted access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec online access with authorization star The U.S. government spends enormous resources each year on the gathering and analysis of intelligence, yet the history of American foreign policy is littered with missteps and misunderstandings that have resulted from intelligence failures. In Why Intelligence Fails, Robert Jervis examines the politics and psychology of two of the more spectacular intelligence failures in recent memory: the mistaken belief that the regime of the Shah in Iran was secure and stable in 1978, and the claim that Iraq had active WMD programs in 2002. The Iran case is based on a recently declassified report Jervis was commissioned to undertake by CIA thirty years ago and includes memoranda written by CIA officials in response to Jervis's findings. The Iraq case, also grounded in a review of the intelligence community's performance, is based on close readings of both classified and declassified documents, though Jervis's conclusions are entirely supported by evidence that has been declassified. In both cases, Jervis finds not only that intelligence was badly flawed but also that later explanations—analysts were bowing to political pressure and telling the White House what it wanted to hear or were willfully blind—were also incorrect. Proponents of these explanations claimed that initial errors were compounded by groupthink, lack of coordination within the government, and failure to share information. Policy prescriptions, including the recent establishment of a Director of National Intelligence, were supposed to remedy the situation. In Jervis's estimation, neither the explanations nor the prescriptions are adequate. The inferences that intelligence drew were actually quite plausible given the information available. Errors arose, he concludes, from insufficient attention to the ways in which information should be gathered and interpreted, a lack of self-awareness about the factors that led to the judgments, and an organizational culture that failed to probe for weaknesses and explore alternatives. Evaluating the inherent tensions between the methods and aims of intelligence personnel and policymakers from a unique insider's perspective, Jervis forcefully criticizes recent proposals for improving the performance of the intelligence community and discusses ways in which future analysis can be improved. Mode of access: Internet via World Wide Web. In English. Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (publisher's Web site, viewed 26. Apr 2024) Intelligence service United States Evaluation Case studies. Iraq War, 2003- Military intelligence United States Evaluation. Weapons of mass destruction Iraq. Middle East Studies. Political Science & Political History. Security Studies. POLITICAL SCIENCE / Intelligence & Espionage. bisacsh General. covert operations. covert surveillance. cyber security. deceptive tactics. defense. diplomacy. espionage techniques. espionage. foreign policy. government. homeland security. intelligence agencies. intelligence analysis. intelligence community. intelligence gathering. intelligence. national security. political science. surveillance. Title is part of eBook package: De Gruyter Cornell University Press Backlist 2000-2013 9783110536157 https://doi.org/10.7591/9780801458859 https://www.degruyter.com/isbn/9780801458859 Cover https://www.degruyter.com/document/cover/isbn/9780801458859/original |
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English |
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eBook |
author |
Jervis, Robert, Jervis, Robert, |
spellingShingle |
Jervis, Robert, Jervis, Robert, Why Intelligence Fails : Lessons from the Iranian Revolution and the Iraq War / Cornell Studies in Security Affairs Frontmatter -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- 1. Adventures in Intelligence -- 2. Failing to See That the Shah Was in Danger: Introduction, Postmortem, and CIA Comments -- 3. The Iraq WMD Intelligence Failure: What Everyone Knows Is Wrong -- 4. The Politics and Psychology of Intelligence and Intelligence Reform -- Notes -- Index |
author_facet |
Jervis, Robert, Jervis, Robert, |
author_variant |
r j rj r j rj |
author_role |
VerfasserIn VerfasserIn |
author_sort |
Jervis, Robert, |
title |
Why Intelligence Fails : Lessons from the Iranian Revolution and the Iraq War / |
title_sub |
Lessons from the Iranian Revolution and the Iraq War / |
title_full |
Why Intelligence Fails : Lessons from the Iranian Revolution and the Iraq War / Robert Jervis. |
title_fullStr |
Why Intelligence Fails : Lessons from the Iranian Revolution and the Iraq War / Robert Jervis. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Why Intelligence Fails : Lessons from the Iranian Revolution and the Iraq War / Robert Jervis. |
title_auth |
Why Intelligence Fails : Lessons from the Iranian Revolution and the Iraq War / |
title_alt |
Frontmatter -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- 1. Adventures in Intelligence -- 2. Failing to See That the Shah Was in Danger: Introduction, Postmortem, and CIA Comments -- 3. The Iraq WMD Intelligence Failure: What Everyone Knows Is Wrong -- 4. The Politics and Psychology of Intelligence and Intelligence Reform -- Notes -- Index |
title_new |
Why Intelligence Fails : |
title_sort |
why intelligence fails : lessons from the iranian revolution and the iraq war / |
series |
Cornell Studies in Security Affairs |
series2 |
Cornell Studies in Security Affairs |
publisher |
Cornell University Press, |
publishDate |
2010 |
physical |
1 online resource (248 p.) |
contents |
Frontmatter -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- 1. Adventures in Intelligence -- 2. Failing to See That the Shah Was in Danger: Introduction, Postmortem, and CIA Comments -- 3. The Iraq WMD Intelligence Failure: What Everyone Knows Is Wrong -- 4. The Politics and Psychology of Intelligence and Intelligence Reform -- Notes -- Index |
isbn |
9780801458859 9783110536157 |
genre_facet |
Case studies. |
geographic_facet |
United States Iraq. |
url |
https://doi.org/10.7591/9780801458859 https://www.degruyter.com/isbn/9780801458859 https://www.degruyter.com/document/cover/isbn/9780801458859/original |
illustrated |
Not Illustrated |
dewey-hundreds |
900 - History & geography |
dewey-tens |
950 - History of Asia |
dewey-ones |
955 - Iran |
dewey-full |
955.05/3 |
dewey-sort |
3955.05 13 |
dewey-raw |
955.05/3 |
dewey-search |
955.05/3 |
doi_str_mv |
10.7591/9780801458859 |
oclc_num |
726824226 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT jervisrobert whyintelligencefailslessonsfromtheiranianrevolutionandtheiraqwar |
status_str |
n |
ids_txt_mv |
(DE-B1597)527339 (OCoLC)726824226 |
carrierType_str_mv |
cr |
hierarchy_parent_title |
Title is part of eBook package: De Gruyter Cornell University Press Backlist 2000-2013 |
is_hierarchy_title |
Why Intelligence Fails : Lessons from the Iranian Revolution and the Iraq War / |
container_title |
Title is part of eBook package: De Gruyter Cornell University Press Backlist 2000-2013 |
_version_ |
1806143343162294272 |
fullrecord |
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