Climate Adaptation Modelling.

Climate Adaptation Modelling.

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Bibliographic Details
Superior document:Springer Climate Series
:
Kondrup, Claus.
TeilnehmendeR:
Mercogliano, Paola.
Bosello, Francesco.
Mysiak, Jaroslav.
Scoccimarro, Enrico.
Rizzo, Angela.
Ebrey, Rhian.
Ruiter, Marleen de.
Jeuken, Ad.
Watkiss, Paul.
Place / Publishing House:Cham : : Springer International Publishing AG,, 2022.
©2022.
Year of Publication:2022
Edition:1st ed.
Language:English
Series:Springer Climate Series
Online Access:
Physical Description:1 online resource (243 pages)
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Table of Contents:
  • Intro
  • Preface
  • Introduction from DG-CLIMA
  • Introduction from the Editors
  • Contents
  • Part I Challenges for Adaptation Modelling
  • 1 Modelling the Cost and Benefits of Adaptation. A Targeted Review on Integrated Assessment Models with a Special Focus on Adaptation Modelling
  • Introduction
  • Conclusions and Recommendation
  • References
  • 2 Cross-Sectoral Challenges for Adaptation Modelling
  • Introduction
  • The Grace Model
  • Implications of National and Global Dependencies in Adaptation
  • Adaptation in the Forestry Sector and the Global Impacts
  • Adaptation from a Local Perspective and the National Impacts
  • Adaptation to Heat Stress
  • Challenges for Adaptation Modelling
  • References
  • 3 Climate Services Supporting Adaptation Modelling
  • The European Research and Innovation Roadmap for Climate Services
  • What Has Been Accomplished and What Are Still Seen as Gaps?
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • References
  • 4 Impact-Oriented Climate Information Selection
  • Introduction
  • Climate Scenario Storylines: The Dutch Climate Change Scenarios
  • Climate Risk Storylines
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • References
  • 5 On the Evaluation of Climate Change Impact Models for Adaptation Decisions
  • Introduction
  • Standard Evaluation Questions We Can (and Should) Ask Using Global Sensitivity Analysis
  • Do the Parameters That Reflect Possible Intervention Levers Adequately Control the Model Output?
  • Are Dominant Uncertainties Changing Along the Projection Timeline?
  • Are Dominant Modelled Processes Changing with Climate?
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • References
  • 6 Stress-Testing Adaptation Options
  • Introduction
  • Robustness and Resilience Frameworks
  • Stress-Testing Methods
  • Physical Experiments
  • Systems Modelling
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • References.
  • 7 Reducing and Managing Uncertainty of Adaptation Recommendations to Increase user's Uptake
  • Introduction
  • Material and Methods
  • Climate Data
  • Crop Data and Models
  • Adaptation Modelling
  • Approaches for Uncertainty Reduction
  • Results and Discussion
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • References
  • Part II Hazard, Exposure and Vulnerability Modelling
  • 8 Modelling Risk Reduction Measures to Minimise Future Impacts of Storms at Coastal Areas
  • Introduction
  • Modelling the Impact of Coastal Storms
  • Modelling Risk Reduction Measures Including Climate Change
  • Bottlenecks and Future Developments
  • Conclusions
  • References
  • 9 A Model-Based Response Surface Approach for Evaluating Climate Change Risks and Adaptation Urgency
  • Introduction
  • Impacts and Adaptation in a Risk Framework
  • Modelling Impacts and Adaptation
  • Objectives and Research Questions
  • Approach
  • Operationalising the IPCC Risk Framework
  • Impact Models
  • Impact Response Surfaces
  • Illustrative Results: Risk Assessment
  • Risks of Crop Yield Shortfall in Finland
  • Impact Risks for Water Management in the Vale Do Gaio Reservoir, Portugal
  • Regional Risks and the Urgency for Action
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • References
  • 10 Use of Vegetation for Landslide Risk Mitigation
  • Introduction
  • Climate-Induced Landslides
  • Landslides Risk in View of Climatic Changes: Relevant Past and On-Going Projects
  • Slope Stability Modelling
  • Nature-Based Solutions (NBS)
  • Nature-Based Solutions for Climate-Related Challenges: European Strategy
  • Use of NBS in Landslide Risk Mitigation
  • Modelling of Slope Stability Using Vegetation
  • Effects of Vegetation on Landslide Protection
  • Expected Development Within Landslide Modelling Using Vegetation
  • Challenges Related to Legislation
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • References.
  • 11 Modelling to Evaluate Climate Resilience of Crop Rotations Under Climate Change
  • Introduction
  • Main Effects of Crop Rotations and Their Management
  • Current State of Model-Based Climate Change Impact Assessment
  • Conclusions and Recommendations for Model Improvement
  • References
  • 12 Dynamic Flood Risk Modelling in Human-Flood Systems
  • Introduction
  • Empirical Data-Driven Knowledge
  • Modelling Changes in Flood Risk
  • Modelling Approaches
  • Role of Spatial Scale
  • Conclusion and Recommendation
  • References
  • 13 Climate-Fit.City: Urban Climate Data and Services
  • Introduction
  • Climate-Fit.City Data
  • Climate-Fit.City Services
  • Conclusions
  • References
  • 14 Weather and Climate Services to Support a Risk-Sharing Mechanism for Adaptation of the Agricultural Sector. A Theoretical Example for Drought-Prone Areas
  • Introduction
  • Weather-Based Index Insurance (WII)
  • Overview of Modelling Approach
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • References
  • 15 Recent Innovations in Flood Hazard Modelling Over Large Data Sparse Regions
  • Introduction
  • Overview of Progress in Global Flood Modelling
  • Digital Terrain Modelling
  • Extreme Flows
  • Hydrography: River Location, Width and Depth
  • Inundation Modelling
  • Discussion
  • References
  • Part III Sectoral Models for Impact and Adaptation Assessment
  • 16 A New Modelling Approach to Adaptation-Mitigation in the Land System
  • Introduction
  • Modelling Adaptation in the Land Use and Food System
  • Existing Approaches and Research Gaps
  • LandSyMM Modelling Approach
  • Climate Change Adaptation Applications
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • References
  • 17 Water Resource System Modelling for Climate Adaptation
  • Introduction
  • Decision Analysis for Water Management Under Climate Change
  • Simulation Models for Climate Adaptation in the Water Sector.
  • Adaptation Practices in the Water Sector: Simulating London's Water Security
  • The Expanding Boundaries of Water Resources System Modelling
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • References
  • 18 A Top-Down Meets Bottom-Up Approach for Climate Change Adaptation in Water Resource Systems
  • Introduction
  • Uncertainty and Adaptation in Water Resource Systems
  • Top-Down Versus Bottom-Up Adaptation Strategies
  • Bottom-Up Approach
  • Developing Future Demand Scenarios Through Scenario Building Workshops
  • Developing Portfolios of Water Management Adaptation Options at the Basin Scale
  • Top-Down Impact Assessment
  • Integrating Top-Down and Bottom-Up Approaches
  • Addressing Equity in Cost Allocation
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • References
  • 19 Advances in Climate Adaptation Modeling of Infrastructure Networks
  • Introduction
  • Methodologies for Evaluating Network Vulnerabilities, Risks, and Adaptation
  • Case Studies of Infrastructure Vulnerability, Risk, and Adaptation Assessments
  • Tools Developed Through Case Studies
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • References
  • 20 Navigating Deep Uncertainty in Complex Human-Water Systems
  • Introduction
  • Navigating Deep Uncertainty Type 1: Modular Hierarchies for Multi-system Ensembles
  • Navigating Deep Uncertainty Type 2: Measuring and Understanding Transaction Costs to Avoid Techno-Institutional Lock-In
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • References
  • 21 Cascading Transitional Climate Risks in the Private Sector-Risks and Opportunities
  • Introduction
  • Methods
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • References
  • 22 Climate Change Adaptation in Insurance
  • Introduction
  • Incentivise Risk Reduction Measures in Property Insurance
  • Promote Pro-active Management of Business Interruption Risks
  • Improve Creditworthiness Through Adaptation Measures
  • Conclusions
  • References.
  • 23 Climate Change Adaptation and Societal Transformation: What Are the Public Health Challenges?
  • The European Commission's Missions for Horizon Europe
  • Societal Transformation
  • The Climate Change Driver
  • Working Towards the 'Second Path' to Limit the Global Average Temperature Rise to 'Well Below 2 ºC'
  • What Systems Thinking Approaches for Interventions are Available?
  • How Research Might Deliver Evidence for the Suggested Interventions
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • Annexe 1 MINDSPACE is a Checklist of Influences on Our Behaviour for Use When Making Policy (Cabinet Office 2010)
  • Annexe 2 The APEASE Criteria for Assessing Interventions, Intervention Components and Ideas (Michie et al. 2014)
  • References
  • Part IV Adaptation Modelling and Policy Action
  • 24 The Roles of Climate Risk Dynamics and Adaptation Limits in Adaptation Assessment
  • Introduction
  • Dynamics of Risk
  • Exposure Change
  • Vulnerability Change
  • Adaptation Limits
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • References
  • 25 Climate Impact Chains-A Conceptual Modelling Approach for Climate Risk Assessment in the Context of Adaptation Planning
  • Introduction
  • Methodology-Impact Chains, Operationalisation and Adaptation Planning
  • Impact Chains-Conceptual Models of Climate Risks
  • Operationalisation-Models, Indicators, Qualitative Approaches
  • How Impact Chains Support Adaptation Planning
  • Conclusion and Recommendations
  • References
  • 26 Operationalizing Climate Proofing in Decision/Policy Making
  • Introduction
  • Methods
  • Applications
  • Conclusions
  • References
  • 27 Adaptation Modelling: A JPI Climate Perspective
  • Introduction
  • Key Projects
  • Ongoing and Future Developments
  • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • References
  • Correction to: The Roles of Climate Risk Dynamics and Adaptation Limits in Adaptation Assessment.
  • Correction to: Chapter 24 in: C. Kondrup et al. (eds.), Climate Adaptation Modelling, Springer Climate, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-86211-424.

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