Understanding Risks and Uncertainties in Energy and Climate Policy : : Multidisciplinary Methods and Tools for a Low Carbon Society.

• Author: Doukas, Haris.
• TeilnehmendeR: Flamos, Alexandros.; Lieu, Jenny.
• Place / Publishing House: Cham : : Springer International Publishing AG,, 2018.; ©2019.
• Year of Publication: 2018
• Edition: 1st ed.
• Language: English
• Physical Description: 1 online resource (271 pages)

Table of Contents

• Understanding Risks and Uncertainties in Energy and Climate Policy
• Foreword
• Editorial
• Organisation of the Book
• Acknowledgement
• Contents
• About the Editors
• A Detailed Overview and Consistent Classification of Climate-Economy Models
• 1 Introduction
• 2 Classifying Climate-Economy Models
• 3 Optimal Growth Models
• 4 Computable General Equilibrium Models
• 5 Partial Equilibrium Models
• 6 Energy System Models
• 7 Macroeconometric Models
• 8 Other Integrated Assessment Models
• 9 Concluding Remarks
• References
• ``Consensus Building in Engagement Processes ́́for Reducing Risks in Developing Sustainable Pathways: Indigenous Interest as C...
• 1 Introduction
• 2 Previous and Current Studies Integrating Indigenous Knowledge and Climate Change
• 3 Inclusion of Indigenous Interests: Free, Prior and Informed Consent
• 4 Indigenous Legal Rights and Consultation Process in Canada
• 5 Risks Identified in the Current Consultation Process Within the Canadian Context
• 5.1 Government Aspect
• 5.2 Indigenous Aspect
• 5.3 Industry Aspect
• 5.4 Who Bears the Responsibility?
• 6 Understanding Indigenous Ways of Knowing and World Views as Essential Step Towards Inclusion
• 6.1 Respect
• 6.2 Relevant
• 6.3 Reciprocating
• 6.4 Responsibility
• 7 Framework
• 7.1 Pre-assessment
• 7.2 Development: Listening and Conversations
• 7.3 Implementation: Inclusion and Accommodation
• 7.4 Monitoring and Learning: Responsibility and Accommodation
• 7.5 Reflection: Lessons
• 8 Conclusions
• References
• An Application of Calibration and Uncertainty Quantification
• 1 Introduction
• 2 The ABM for the Diffusion of Small-Scale Solar PV
• 3 The Concept of Emulators
• 3.1 Gaussian Processes for Regression
• 3.2 Benefits of Using Gaussian Processes as Emulators
• 4 The Design and Validation of the GP Emulator.
• 4.1 Options for the Emulator Form
• 4.2 Fitting the GP Emulator
• 4.3 Diagnostics
• 4.4 Sensitivity Analysis
• 5 Model Calibration
• 5.1 The History Matching Method
• 5.2 The Patient Rule Induction Method
• 5.3 Calibration and Extrapolation Results
• 6 Discussion
• References
• Investments in the EU Power System: A Stress Test Analysis on the Effectiveness of Decarbonisation Policies
• 1 Introduction
• 2 Modelling Investments in Electricity Generation and Transmission
• 2.1 Short-Term vs. Long-Term Considerations for Optimal Portfolio
• 2.2 EMPIRE Model Formulation
• 3 Energy Transition: Cases and EMPIRE Model Results
• 3.1 Defining Cases
• 3.2 Results for 2020-2030 Period: All Cases
• 3.3 Results for Reference Cases 2030-2050
• 3.4 Results for Decarbonisation Cases 2030-2050
• 4 Robustness Tool and Stress Testing the Optimal Portfolios
• 5 Conclusions
• Appendices
• Appendix 1 Nomenclature Used in the EMPIRE Model Formulation
• Appendix 2 Technological Assumptions for EMPIRE Implementation
• References
• Impact Assessment of Climate and Energy Policy Scenarios: A Multi-criteria Approach
• 1 Introduction
• 2 Defining the Problem
• 2.1 The Scenarios
• 2.2 The Multi-criteria Evaluation System
• 2.2.1 The Criteria
• 2.2.2 The PROMETHEE Method
• 2.2.3 Simos Procedure
• 3 Pilot Application and Scenario Analysis
• 4 Conclusions
• References
• Water Stress Implications of Energy Scenarios for the Middle East: An Assessment of Risks and Uncertainties
• 1 Introduction
• 2 The Energy-Water-Food Nexus
• 3 Case Study on the Middle East
• 4 Results and Discussion
• 5 Conclusions and Recommendations
• Appendix
• References
• Evaluation of National Environmental Efficiency Under Uncerta
• 1 Introduction
• 2 Literature Review
• 3 Methodology
• 3.1 General
• 3.2 Envelopment Models
• 3.3 Slack-Based Models.
• 3.4 Incorporating Uncertainty
• 3.5 Data and Modeling
• 4 Results
• 4.1 SBEI Results for Model A
• 4.2 SBEI Results for Model B
• 4.3 Stochastic Efficiency
• 5 Concluding Remarks
• References
• Hypothesis for a Risk Cost of Carbon: Revising the Externalities and Ethics of Climate Change
• 1 Introduction
• 1.1 Externalized Cost of Carbon
• 1.2 Positive Carbon Price
• 1.3 Climate Systemic Risk
• 1.4 Biophysical Economics
• 1.5 Future Carbon Emissions
• 1.6 Network Theory
• 2 Holistic Market Hypothesis
• 2.1 Risk Cost of Carbon
• 2.2 Market Policy Dualism
• 2.3 Epistemology of Complementary Relationships
• 3 Global Carbon Reward
• 3.1 Policy Background
• 3.2 Policy Framework
• 3.3 Parallel Currency
• 3.4 Financial Mechanism
• 3.5 Risk Assessments
• 4 Analytical Verification
• 4.1 Premise
• 4.2 Epistemological Translation
• 4.3 Axioms
• 4.4 Translation for Price Reversal (Step 1)
• 4.5 Translation for Currency Units (Step 2)
• 4.6 Translation for the Arrow of Time (Step 3)
• 4.7 Comparative Check for Time Asymmetry
• 5 Discussion
• 5.1 Theoretical Cogency
• 5.1.1 Interdisciplinary Interpretation
• 5.1.2 Experimental Testing
• 5.1.3 Resolution of the Temporal Paradox
• Time Discounting of Consumption
• Time Discounting of Investments
• 5.2 Practical Applications
• 5.2.1 The Paris Climate Agreement
• 5.2.2 Achieving Net Zero Emissions
• 5.2.3 Managing Global Growth
• 5.3 Philosophy and Ethics
• 6 Concluding Remarks
• 7 Research Recommendations
• References
• Assessment of Renewable Energy Projects Using a Decision Support System: A Process to Endorse the Social License to Operate
• 1 Introduction
• 2 Methodological Framework
• 3 The Evaluated Hypothetical Scenarios and Discussion
• 4 Conclusions
• References
• A Unilateral Climate and Supply Market Model.
• 1 Energy Policy and the Concept of Direct and Multiple Steering
• 2 Current Issues of the EU ETS
• 3 Existing Carbon Taxation Models
• 3.1 Differential Taxation
• 3.2 Carbon Tax with Border Tax Adjustments
• 3.3 United Kingdom: Carbon Price Floor
• 4 Unilateral Climate and Supply Market Model
• 5 Legal Considerations with Respect to International and EU Law
• 6 Climate and Supply Market Model Example: Switzerland
• 7 Variations of the Climate and Supply Market Model
• 8 Adaption Potential for the Climate and Supply Market Model
• 9 Conclusion
• References.