Understanding Risks and Uncertainties in Energy and Climate Policy : : Multidisciplinary Methods and Tools for a Low Carbon Society.

• Author: Doukas, Haris.
• TeilnehmendeR: Flamos, Alexandros.; Lieu, Jenny.
• Place / Publishing House: Cham : : Springer International Publishing AG,, 2018.; ©2019.
• Year of Publication: 2018
• Edition: 1st ed.
• Language: English
• Physical Description: 1 online resource (271 pages)

Table of Contents

Understanding Risks and Uncertainties in Energy and Climate Policy -- Foreword -- Editorial -- Organisation of the Book -- Acknowledgement -- Contents -- About the Editors -- A Detailed Overview and Consistent Classification of Climate-Economy Models -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Classifying Climate-Economy Models -- 3 Optimal Growth Models -- 4 Computable General Equilibrium Models -- 5 Partial Equilibrium Models -- 6 Energy System Models -- 7 Macroeconometric Models -- 8 Other Integrated Assessment Models -- 9 Concluding Remarks -- References -- ``Consensus Building in Engagement Processes ́́for Reducing Risks in Developing Sustainable Pathways: Indigenous Interest as C... -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Previous and Current Studies Integrating Indigenous Knowledge and Climate Change -- 3 Inclusion of Indigenous Interests: Free, Prior and Informed Consent -- 4 Indigenous Legal Rights and Consultation Process in Canada -- 5 Risks Identified in the Current Consultation Process Within the Canadian Context -- 5.1 Government Aspect -- 5.2 Indigenous Aspect -- 5.3 Industry Aspect -- 5.4 Who Bears the Responsibility? -- 6 Understanding Indigenous Ways of Knowing and World Views as Essential Step Towards Inclusion -- 6.1 Respect -- 6.2 Relevant -- 6.3 Reciprocating -- 6.4 Responsibility -- 7 Framework -- 7.1 Pre-assessment -- 7.2 Development: Listening and Conversations -- 7.3 Implementation: Inclusion and Accommodation -- 7.4 Monitoring and Learning: Responsibility and Accommodation -- 7.5 Reflection: Lessons -- 8 Conclusions -- References -- An Application of Calibration and Uncertainty Quantification -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The ABM for the Diffusion of Small-Scale Solar PV -- 3 The Concept of Emulators -- 3.1 Gaussian Processes for Regression -- 3.2 Benefits of Using Gaussian Processes as Emulators -- 4 The Design and Validation of the GP Emulator.

4.1 Options for the Emulator Form -- 4.2 Fitting the GP Emulator -- 4.3 Diagnostics -- 4.4 Sensitivity Analysis -- 5 Model Calibration -- 5.1 The History Matching Method -- 5.2 The Patient Rule Induction Method -- 5.3 Calibration and Extrapolation Results -- 6 Discussion -- References -- Investments in the EU Power System: A Stress Test Analysis on the Effectiveness of Decarbonisation Policies -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Modelling Investments in Electricity Generation and Transmission -- 2.1 Short-Term vs. Long-Term Considerations for Optimal Portfolio -- 2.2 EMPIRE Model Formulation -- 3 Energy Transition: Cases and EMPIRE Model Results -- 3.1 Defining Cases -- 3.2 Results for 2020-2030 Period: All Cases -- 3.3 Results for Reference Cases 2030-2050 -- 3.4 Results for Decarbonisation Cases 2030-2050 -- 4 Robustness Tool and Stress Testing the Optimal Portfolios -- 5 Conclusions -- Appendices -- Appendix 1 Nomenclature Used in the EMPIRE Model Formulation -- Appendix 2 Technological Assumptions for EMPIRE Implementation -- References -- Impact Assessment of Climate and Energy Policy Scenarios: A Multi-criteria Approach -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Defining the Problem -- 2.1 The Scenarios -- 2.2 The Multi-criteria Evaluation System -- 2.2.1 The Criteria -- 2.2.2 The PROMETHEE Method -- 2.2.3 Simos Procedure -- 3 Pilot Application and Scenario Analysis -- 4 Conclusions -- References -- Water Stress Implications of Energy Scenarios for the Middle East: An Assessment of Risks and Uncertainties -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The Energy-Water-Food Nexus -- 3 Case Study on the Middle East -- 4 Results and Discussion -- 5 Conclusions and Recommendations -- Appendix -- References -- Evaluation of National Environmental Efficiency Under Uncerta -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Literature Review -- 3 Methodology -- 3.1 General -- 3.2 Envelopment Models -- 3.3 Slack-Based Models.

3.4 Incorporating Uncertainty -- 3.5 Data and Modeling -- 4 Results -- 4.1 SBEI Results for Model A -- 4.2 SBEI Results for Model B -- 4.3 Stochastic Efficiency -- 5 Concluding Remarks -- References -- Hypothesis for a Risk Cost of Carbon: Revising the Externalities and Ethics of Climate Change -- 1 Introduction -- 1.1 Externalized Cost of Carbon -- 1.2 Positive Carbon Price -- 1.3 Climate Systemic Risk -- 1.4 Biophysical Economics -- 1.5 Future Carbon Emissions -- 1.6 Network Theory -- 2 Holistic Market Hypothesis -- 2.1 Risk Cost of Carbon -- 2.2 Market Policy Dualism -- 2.3 Epistemology of Complementary Relationships -- 3 Global Carbon Reward -- 3.1 Policy Background -- 3.2 Policy Framework -- 3.3 Parallel Currency -- 3.4 Financial Mechanism -- 3.5 Risk Assessments -- 4 Analytical Verification -- 4.1 Premise -- 4.2 Epistemological Translation -- 4.3 Axioms -- 4.4 Translation for Price Reversal (Step 1) -- 4.5 Translation for Currency Units (Step 2) -- 4.6 Translation for the Arrow of Time (Step 3) -- 4.7 Comparative Check for Time Asymmetry -- 5 Discussion -- 5.1 Theoretical Cogency -- 5.1.1 Interdisciplinary Interpretation -- 5.1.2 Experimental Testing -- 5.1.3 Resolution of the Temporal Paradox -- Time Discounting of Consumption -- Time Discounting of Investments -- 5.2 Practical Applications -- 5.2.1 The Paris Climate Agreement -- 5.2.2 Achieving Net Zero Emissions -- 5.2.3 Managing Global Growth -- 5.3 Philosophy and Ethics -- 6 Concluding Remarks -- 7 Research Recommendations -- References -- Assessment of Renewable Energy Projects Using a Decision Support System: A Process to Endorse the Social License to Operate -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Methodological Framework -- 3 The Evaluated Hypothetical Scenarios and Discussion -- 4 Conclusions -- References -- A Unilateral Climate and Supply Market Model.

1 Energy Policy and the Concept of Direct and Multiple Steering -- 2 Current Issues of the EU ETS -- 3 Existing Carbon Taxation Models -- 3.1 Differential Taxation -- 3.2 Carbon Tax with Border Tax Adjustments -- 3.3 United Kingdom: Carbon Price Floor -- 4 Unilateral Climate and Supply Market Model -- 5 Legal Considerations with Respect to International and EU Law -- 6 Climate and Supply Market Model Example: Switzerland -- 7 Variations of the Climate and Supply Market Model -- 8 Adaption Potential for the Climate and Supply Market Model -- 9 Conclusion -- References.