Bayesian Methods in the Search for MH370.
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Superior document: | SpringerBriefs in Electrical and Computer Engineering Series |
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TeilnehmendeR: | |
Place / Publishing House: | Singapore : : Springer Singapore Pte. Limited,, 2016. Ã2016. |
Year of Publication: | 2016 |
Edition: | 1st ed. |
Language: | English |
Series: | SpringerBriefs in Electrical and Computer Engineering Series
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Online Access: | |
Physical Description: | 1 online resource (124 pages) |
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Table of Contents:
- Intro
- Foreword I
- Foreword II
- Acknowledgements
- Contents
- About the Authors
- Acronyms
- 1 Introduction
- 1.1 Summary of Results
- 2 Factual Description of Accident and Available Information
- 3 The Bayesian Approach
- 3.1 The Problem and its Conceptual Solution
- 3.1.1 Prediction
- 3.1.2 Update
- 3.2 The Particle Filter
- 3.3 Rao--Blackwellised Particle Filter
- 4 Aircraft Prior Based on Primary Radar Data
- 5 Measurement Model, Satellite Communications
- 5.1 Satellite Communications System
- 5.2 Burst Timing Offset
- 5.3 Burst Frequency Offset
- 5.4 C-Channel Telephone Calls
- 5.5 Information Content of Measurements
- 6 Aircraft Cruise Dynamics
- 6.1 Ornstein--Uhlenbeck Process
- 6.1.1 Determining Process Parameters
- 6.2 Mach Number
- 6.2.1 Cost Index
- 6.3 Control Angle
- 6.3.1 Constant Magnetic Heading
- 6.3.2 Constant True Heading
- 6.3.3 Constant Magnetic Track
- 6.3.4 Constant True Track
- 6.3.5 Lateral Navigation
- 6.4 Wind
- 6.5 Altitude
- 6.6 Putting It Together
- 7 Aircraft Manoeuvre Dynamics
- 7.1 Manoeuvre Frequency
- 7.2 Manoeuvre Extent
- 7.2.1 Parameter Selection
- 7.2.2 Manoeuvre Model Summary
- 7.3 Example Realisations
- 8 Particle Filter Implementation
- 8.1 BFO Bias
- 8.2 Algorithm
- 8.3 Assumptions
- 9 Validation Experiments
- 9.1 9M-MRO 26 February 2014 Kuala Lumpur to Amsterdam
- 9.2 9M-MRO 2 March 2014 Mumbai to Kuala Lumpur
- 9.3 9M-MRO 6 March 2014 Kuala Lumpur to Beijing
- 9.4 9M-MRO 7 March 2014 Beijing to Kuala Lumpur
- 9.5 7 March 2014 Kuala Lumpur to Amsterdam
- 9.6 7 March 2014 Kuala Lumpur to Frankfurt
- 9.7 Quantitative Analysis
- 9.7.1 Measurement Selection
- 9.7.2 Performance Measure
- 9.7.3 Results
- 10 Application to the MH370 Accident
- 10.1 The Filter Applied to the Accident Flight
- 10.2 Manoeuvre Statistics.
- 10.3 Residual Measurement Errors
- 10.4 Posterior Distribution of Manoeuvre Time Constant
- 10.5 End of Flight
- 10.6 Earlier Initialisation
- 10.7 Cost Index
- 10.8 Other Variations
- 11 Ongoing Refinement
- 11.1 Updating the Distribution Using Search Results
- 11.2 Reunion Island Debris
- 11.2.1 Update of Final Location Distribution
- 11.2.2 Data from Global Drifter Program
- 11.2.3 Posterior Distribution Using Debris Data
- 12 Conclusions
- References.