Bayesian Methods in the Search for MH370.

Bayesian Methods in the Search for MH370.

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Bibliographic Details
Superior document:SpringerBriefs in Electrical and Computer Engineering Series
:
Davey, Sam.
TeilnehmendeR:
Gordon, Neil.
Holland, Ian.
Rutten, Mark.
Williams, Jason.
Place / Publishing House:Singapore : : Springer Singapore Pte. Limited,, 2016.
Ã2016.
Year of Publication:2016
Edition:1st ed.
Language:English
Series:SpringerBriefs in Electrical and Computer Engineering Series
Online Access:
Physical Description:1 online resource (124 pages)
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Table of Contents:
  • Intro
  • Foreword I
  • Foreword II
  • Acknowledgements
  • Contents
  • About the Authors
  • Acronyms
  • 1 Introduction
  • 1.1 Summary of Results
  • 2 Factual Description of Accident and Available Information
  • 3 The Bayesian Approach
  • 3.1 The Problem and its Conceptual Solution
  • 3.1.1 Prediction
  • 3.1.2 Update
  • 3.2 The Particle Filter
  • 3.3 Rao--Blackwellised Particle Filter
  • 4 Aircraft Prior Based on Primary Radar Data
  • 5 Measurement Model, Satellite Communications
  • 5.1 Satellite Communications System
  • 5.2 Burst Timing Offset
  • 5.3 Burst Frequency Offset
  • 5.4 C-Channel Telephone Calls
  • 5.5 Information Content of Measurements
  • 6 Aircraft Cruise Dynamics
  • 6.1 Ornstein--Uhlenbeck Process
  • 6.1.1 Determining Process Parameters
  • 6.2 Mach Number
  • 6.2.1 Cost Index
  • 6.3 Control Angle
  • 6.3.1 Constant Magnetic Heading
  • 6.3.2 Constant True Heading
  • 6.3.3 Constant Magnetic Track
  • 6.3.4 Constant True Track
  • 6.3.5 Lateral Navigation
  • 6.4 Wind
  • 6.5 Altitude
  • 6.6 Putting It Together
  • 7 Aircraft Manoeuvre Dynamics
  • 7.1 Manoeuvre Frequency
  • 7.2 Manoeuvre Extent
  • 7.2.1 Parameter Selection
  • 7.2.2 Manoeuvre Model Summary
  • 7.3 Example Realisations
  • 8 Particle Filter Implementation
  • 8.1 BFO Bias
  • 8.2 Algorithm
  • 8.3 Assumptions
  • 9 Validation Experiments
  • 9.1 9M-MRO 26 February 2014 Kuala Lumpur to Amsterdam
  • 9.2 9M-MRO 2 March 2014 Mumbai to Kuala Lumpur
  • 9.3 9M-MRO 6 March 2014 Kuala Lumpur to Beijing
  • 9.4 9M-MRO 7 March 2014 Beijing to Kuala Lumpur
  • 9.5 7 March 2014 Kuala Lumpur to Amsterdam
  • 9.6 7 March 2014 Kuala Lumpur to Frankfurt
  • 9.7 Quantitative Analysis
  • 9.7.1 Measurement Selection
  • 9.7.2 Performance Measure
  • 9.7.3 Results
  • 10 Application to the MH370 Accident
  • 10.1 The Filter Applied to the Accident Flight
  • 10.2 Manoeuvre Statistics.
  • 10.3 Residual Measurement Errors
  • 10.4 Posterior Distribution of Manoeuvre Time Constant
  • 10.5 End of Flight
  • 10.6 Earlier Initialisation
  • 10.7 Cost Index
  • 10.8 Other Variations
  • 11 Ongoing Refinement
  • 11.1 Updating the Distribution Using Search Results
  • 11.2 Reunion Island Debris
  • 11.2.1 Update of Final Location Distribution
  • 11.2.2 Data from Global Drifter Program
  • 11.2.3 Posterior Distribution Using Debris Data
  • 12 Conclusions
  • References.

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