Effects of Including Agricultural Products in the Customs Union Between Turkey and the EU : : A Partial Equilibrium Analysis for Turkey.

• Superior document: Cege-Schriften Series ; v.9
• Author: Tangermann, Stefan.
• TeilnehmendeR: Grethe, Harald.
• Place / Publishing House: Frankfurt a.M. : : Peter Lang GmbH, Internationaler Verlag der Wissenschaften,, 2004.; Ã2004.
• Year of Publication: 2004
• Edition: 1st ed.
• Language: English
• Series: Cege-Schriften Series
• Physical Description: 1 online resource (338 pages)

Table of Contents

• Cover
• List of Tables
• List of Graphs
• List of Figures
• Abbreviations
• Executive Summary
• 1 INTRODUCTION
• 2 AGRICULTURAL MARKETS AND POLICIES IN TURKEY AND THE EUROPEAN UNION
• 2.1 Introductory Overview
• 2.2 Agricultural Markets and Product-Specific Support Policies
• 2.2.1 Cereals
• 2.2.2 Other Crops
• 2.2.3 Fruit and Vegetables
• 2.2.4 Meat
• 2.2.5 Eggs and Milk
• 2.3 Non-Product-Specific Agricultural Policies
• 3 DEVELOPMENT AND STATUS OF AGRICULTURAL TRADE RELATIONS BETWEEN TURKEY AND THE EUROPEAN UNION
• 3.1 Overview of Agricultural Trade between Turkey and the European Union
• 3.2 Agricultural Trade Preferences between Turkey and the European Union
• 3.2.1 EU Preferences Granted for Agricultural Products Originating from Turkey
• 3.2.2 Turkish Preferences Granted for Agricultural Products Originating from the EU
• 3.2.3 Preferential Trade Arrangements for Non-Annex I Products
• 4 FUTURE AGRICULTURAL TRADE RELATIONS BETWEEN TURKEY AND THE EU: THE POTENTIAL INCLUSION OF AGRICULTURE IN THE CUSTOMS UNION
• 4.1 Theoretical Aspects of a Customs Union in Agriculture between Turkey and the EU
• 4.1.1 Comparative Static Effects
• 4.1.2 Dynamic Effects of Market Integration
• 4.2 Previous Analytical Work on the Integration of Agricultural Markets between Turkey and the EU
• 4.3 Institutional Aspects of a Customs Union in Agriculture between Turkey and the EU
• 4.3.1 Harmonization of Agricultural Price Policies and Prices
• 4.3.2 Harmonization of Other Agricultural Policies
• 4.3.3 WTO Aspects
• 4.3.3.1 Market Access
• 4.3.3.2 Export Competition
• 4.3.3.3 Domestic Support
• 5 QUALIFICATION AND STRUCTURE OF THE TURKISH AGRICULTURAL SECTOR MODEL FOR POLICY ANALYSIS
• 5.1 Potential Modeling Tools for the Analysis of the Extension of the Customs Union and Justification of the Chosen Model.
• 5.2 Overview of the Turkish Agricultural Sector Model
• 5.3 Integration into the International Trade Environment
• 5.3.1 Basic Approach
• 5.3.2 The Generation of Border Prices and the Link to the Domestic Price Level in the Base Situation
• 5.3.3 The Generation of Border Prices and the Link to the Domestic Price Level in Simulations
• 5.4 Farm Supply Model
• 5.4.1 Plant Products
• 5.4.1.1 Basic Mechanisms
• 5.4.1.2 Additional Irrigation Area
• 5.4.2 Animal Products
• 5.5 Feed Model
• 5.6 Processing Model
• 5.7 Demand Model
• 5.8 Welfare Calculations
• 5.8.1 Welfare Changes at Farm Level
• 5.8.2 Welfare Changes at the Consumer Level
• 5.8.3 Welfare Changes at the Level of the Processing Industry
• 5.8.4 Budgetary Effects
• 6 BEHAVIORAL PARAMETERS
• 6.1 Basic Approach
• 6.2 Supply Side
• 6.2.1 Plant Products
• 6.2.1.1 Determination of Own Price Elasticities and Cost Shares of Variable Inputs
• 6.2.1.2 Determination of Cross Price Elasticities
• 6.2.2 Animal Products
• 6.3 Demand Side
• 6.3.1 Estimation of Income Elasticities from Expenditure Survey Data
• 6.3.1.1 Basic Considerations on the Use of Income Elasticity Estimates Based on Cross-Section Expenditure Data for Agricultural Sector Models
• 6.3.1.2 Data Set
• 6.3.1.3 Estimation Method and Results
• 6.3.2 Development of Elasticity-Matrices of Human Demand for Each Income Quintile
• 6.3.2.1 Determination of Income and Own Price Elasticities
• 6.3.2.2 Determination of Cross Price Elasticities
• 6.3.3 Development of Elasticity-Matrices of Feed Demand
• 6.3.4 Determination of Processing Demand Elasticities
• 6.4 Estimation of Price Transmission Elasticities for Animal Products
• 7 DATA SET FOR MODEL CALIBRATION
• 7.1 Supply, Trade, and Demand
• 7.1.1 Supply
• 7.1.1.1 Standard Approach
• 7.1.1.2 Specific Cases
• 7.1.2 Trade
• 7.1.3 Demand.
• 7.1.3.1 Processing Demand, Seed Demand, and Waste
• 7.1.3.2 Feed Demand
• 7.1.3.3 Human Demand
• 7.2 Domestic Prices, Trade Prices, and Margins
• 7.2.1 Domestic Prices
• 7.2.2 Trade Prices
• 7.2.3 Margins
• 7.3 Base Period Policies
• 7.3.1 Tariffs
• 7.3.2 Export Subsidies
• 7.3.3 Producer Premiums
• 8 PROJECTION SCENARIOS
• 8.1 World Market Prices
• 8.2 Shifters at the Supply Side
• 8.3 Shifters at the Demand Side
• 8.4 Development of the Southeast Anatolian Irrigation Project
• 8.5 Policies and Price Formation under the Status Quo and the Liberalization Scenario
• 8.6 Policies and Price Formation under the CU Scenario
• 9 RESULTS OF POLICY SIMULATIONS
• 9.1 Effects on Agricultural Prices, Production, and Consumption
• 9.1.1 National Effects Aggregated per Product Group
• 9.1.2 National Effects per Product
• 9.1.3 Production Effects per Region and Consumption Effects per Income Quintile
• 9.2 Effects on Trade
• 9.3 Welfare Effects
• 9.3.1 Effects on Producer and Consumer Welfare
• 9.3.2 Effects on Budgetary Outlays and Revenue and Overall Welfare Effects
• 9.3.3 Effects on Welfare Distribution
• 9.3.3.1 Changes in Producer Surplus per Region
• 9.3.3.2 Change in Consumer Welfare per Income Group
• 9.4 Impact of Changes in Farmgate-Wholesale Price Margins and the Real Exchange Rate
• 10 CONCLUSIONS
• 10.1 Liberalization of the Agricultural Sector
• 10.2 Extension of the Customs Union with the EU to Cover Agricultural Products
• REFERENCES
• ANNEX
• to Chapter 3 Overview of Existing Preferences Granted by the EU for Agricultural Imports Originating in Turkey
• to Chapter 5 TURKSIM GAMS code
• to Chapter 6 Table A-6.1: Allen Substitution Elasticities of Area Allocation
• Tables A-6.2-10: Regional Price Elasticities of Area Allocation
• Tables A-6.11-19: Regional Price Elasticities of Animal Supply.
• Table A-6.20: Allen Substitution Elasticities of Human Demand
• Tables A-6.21-25: Compensated Price Elasticities of Human Demand per income quintile
• Tables A-6.26-30: Allen Substitution Elasticities of Feed Demand
• Tables A-6.31-35: Price Elasticities of Feed Demand
• to Chapter 7 Tables A-7.1-A-7.4 (Base data)
• to Chapter 8 Tables A-8.1-A-8.3 (price data for scenarios)
• to Chapter 9 Table A-9: Results per product
• other Map of Production Regions in Turkey.