Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / / Francis Fukuyama, editor.
"Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed event...
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Year of Publication: | 2007 |
Language: | English |
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Physical Description: | vi, 198 p. |
Notes: | "An American Interest Book." |
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Blindside [electronic resource] : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / Francis Fukuyama, editor. Washington, D.C. : Brookings Institution Press, c2007. vi, 198 p. "An American Interest Book." Includes bibliographical references (p. [173]-182) and index. The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama -- Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner -- Cases: looking back -- Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes -- U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz -- Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale -- Cases: looking ahead -- The once and future DARPA / William Bonvillian -- Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin -- Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett -- Forecasting -- Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall -- Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert -- Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / Mitchell Waldrop -- What could be -- Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook -- Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett -- American scenarios -- A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Anne Applebaum, Ruth Wedgwood, Bernard-Henry Levy, Peter Schwartz, Josef Joffe, and Francis Fukuyama -- Afterword / Francis Fukuyama -- Contributors -- Index. "Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher. Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, MI : ProQuest, 2015. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest affiliated libraries. Emergency management United States. International relations. Electronic books. Fukuyama, Francis. ProQuest (Firm) https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/oeawat/detail.action?docID=3004460 Click to View |
language |
English |
format |
Electronic eBook |
author2 |
Fukuyama, Francis. ProQuest (Firm) |
author_facet |
Fukuyama, Francis. ProQuest (Firm) ProQuest (Firm) |
author2_variant |
f f ff |
author2_role |
TeilnehmendeR TeilnehmendeR |
author_corporate |
ProQuest (Firm) |
author_sort |
Fukuyama, Francis. |
title |
Blindside how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / |
spellingShingle |
Blindside how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama -- Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner -- Cases: looking back -- Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes -- U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz -- Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale -- Cases: looking ahead -- The once and future DARPA / William Bonvillian -- Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin -- Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett -- Forecasting -- Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall -- Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert -- Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / Mitchell Waldrop -- What could be -- Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook -- Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett -- American scenarios -- A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Anne Applebaum, Ruth Wedgwood, Bernard-Henry Levy, Peter Schwartz, Josef Joffe, and Francis Fukuyama -- Afterword / Francis Fukuyama -- Contributors -- Index. |
title_sub |
how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / |
title_full |
Blindside [electronic resource] : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / Francis Fukuyama, editor. |
title_fullStr |
Blindside [electronic resource] : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / Francis Fukuyama, editor. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Blindside [electronic resource] : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / Francis Fukuyama, editor. |
title_auth |
Blindside how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / |
title_new |
Blindside |
title_sort |
blindside how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / |
publisher |
Brookings Institution Press, |
publishDate |
2007 |
physical |
vi, 198 p. |
contents |
The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama -- Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner -- Cases: looking back -- Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes -- U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz -- Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale -- Cases: looking ahead -- The once and future DARPA / William Bonvillian -- Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin -- Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett -- Forecasting -- Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall -- Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert -- Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / Mitchell Waldrop -- What could be -- Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook -- Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett -- American scenarios -- A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Anne Applebaum, Ruth Wedgwood, Bernard-Henry Levy, Peter Schwartz, Josef Joffe, and Francis Fukuyama -- Afterword / Francis Fukuyama -- Contributors -- Index. |
callnumber-first |
H - Social Science |
callnumber-subject |
HV - Social Pathology, Criminology |
callnumber-label |
HV551 |
callnumber-sort |
HV 3551.3 B57 42007 |
genre |
Electronic books. |
genre_facet |
Electronic books. |
geographic_facet |
United States. |
url |
https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/oeawat/detail.action?docID=3004460 |
illustrated |
Not Illustrated |
dewey-hundreds |
300 - Social sciences |
dewey-tens |
360 - Social problems & social services |
dewey-ones |
363 - Other social problems & services |
dewey-full |
363.34/7 |
dewey-sort |
3363.34 17 |
dewey-raw |
363.34/7 |
dewey-search |
363.34/7 |
oclc_num |
173812431 |
work_keys_str_mv |
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(MiAaPQ)5003004460 (Au-PeEL)EBL3004460 (CaPaEBR)ebr10193747 (CaONFJC)MIL102963 (OCoLC)173812431 |
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Blindside how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / |
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