Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / / Francis Fukuyama, editor.
"Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed event...
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| TeilnehmendeR: | |
| Year of Publication: | 2007 |
| Language: | English |
| Online Access: | |
| Physical Description: | vi, 198 p. |
| Notes: | "An American Interest Book." |
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| Summary: | "Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher. |
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| Bibliography: | Includes bibliographical references (p. [173]-182) and index. |
| ISBN: | 9780815729907 (cloth : alk. paper) 0815729901 (cloth : alk. paper) |
| Hierarchical level: | Monograph |
| Statement of Responsibility: | Francis Fukuyama, editor. |