Emerging threats and security planning : : how should we decide what hypothetical threats to worry about? / / Brian A. Jackson, David R. Frelinger.

• Author: Jackson, Brian A., 1972-
• TeilnehmendeR: Frelinger, Dave.
• Year of Publication: 2009
• Language: English
• Series: Occasional paper (Rand Corporation)
• Physical Description: 1 online resource (x, 19 pages)
• Notes: Description based upon print version of record.

Concerns about how terrorists might attack in the future are central to the design of security efforts to protect both individual targets and the nation overall. In thinking about emerging threats, security planners are confronted by a panoply of possible future scenarios coming from sources ranging from the terrorists themselves to red-team brainstorming efforts to explore ways adversaries might attack in the future. This paper explores an approach to assessing emerging and/or novel threats and deciding whether --or how much--they should concern security planners.

Table of Contents

Cover; Preface; Contents; Tables; Summary; Emerging Threats and Security Planning: How Should We Decide What Hypothetical Threats to Worry About?; The Variety of Emerging Threats Challenging Security Planning; Framing a Middle-Ground Approach to Addressing Emerging Threats; Identifying Niche Threats; Prioritizing Emerging Threat Scenarios; Conclusions: Security Planning for the Niche and the Novel; References