Counterinsurgency scorecard : Afghanistan in early 2011 relative to the insurgencies of the past 30 years / / Christopher Paul.

• Superior document: Occasional paper
• Author: Rand Corporation.; Paul, Christopher.
• TeilnehmendeR: Rand Corporation.; National Defense Research Institute (U.S.)
• Year of Publication: 2011
• Edition: 1st ed.
• Language: English
• Series: Occasional paper (Rand Corporation)
• Physical Description: 1 online resource (27 p.)
• Notes: Description based upon print version of record.

A core finding of previous RAND research on 30 years of insurgencies worldwide was that a conflict's overall score on a scorecard of 15 equally weighted good and 12 equally weighted bad counterinsurgency factors and practices perfectly predicted the ultimate outcome. Using the scorecard approach and an expert elicitation (Delphi) exercise, a RAND project sought to extend the findings to the case of Afghanistan in early 2011.

Table of Contents

Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Abstract; Findings from Previous Research on 30 Years of Insurgency1; The Counterinsurgency Scorecard; Scoring Afghanistan in 2011; Detailed Factors in the Current Case; Afghanistan in Comparison to Specific Historical Cases; Conclusions and Recommendations; Appendix; Details of the Expert Elicitation; The Delphi Method; The RAND Afghanistan Delphi Exercise; Raw Delphi Scores; References