How insurgencies end / Ben Connable and Martin C. Libicki.
RAND studied 89 modern insurgency cases to test conventional understanding about how insurgencies end. Findings relevant to policymakers and analysts include that modern insurgencies last about ten years; withdrawal of state support cripples insurgencies; civil defense forces are useful for both sid...
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| TeilnehmendeR: | |
| Year of Publication: | 2010 |
| Language: | English |
| Physical Description: | 1 online resource (268 p.) |
| Notes: | Description based upon print version of record. |
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Table of Contents:
- Cover; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; CHAPTER ONE - Introduction; Purpose of This Monograph; A Note on Contemporary Threats and Operations; Research Approach; Graphs Used in This Monograph; Conventional Wisdom; How This Monograph Is Organized; CHAPTER TWO - Classifying Outcomes and Selecting Cases; Outcomes; Type I: Government Loss; Type II: Government Victory; Type III: Mixed (Stalemate/Negotiated Settlement); Type IV: Inconclusive or Ongoing Outcome; The Tipping Point: Explanation by Way of Example; Key Indicators: A Note of Caution
- CHAPTER THREE - Assessments of Insurgency Endings: Time and External FactorsAssessments of Time and External Factors; Duration of Conflict; Sanctuary Available; Outside Intervention in Support of Government; Outside Intervention in Support of Insurgencies; CHAPTER FOUR - Assessments of Insurgency Endings: Internal Factors; Structure; Thailand and the BRN and the P ULO; Urbanization; Uruguay and the Tupamaros; Insurgent Use of Terrorism; Insurgent Strength; System of Government; CHAPTER FIVE - Assessments of Insurgency Endings: Other Factors; Force Ratios; Civil-Defense Forces
- CHAPTER SIX - ConclusionsAPPENDIX A - Case Studies: Methodology; APPENDIX B - Supplemental Findings; APPENDIX C - Multivariate Regression Analysis; APPENDIX D - Insurgencies Not Examined for This Publication; APPENDIX E - Categories Used for the Spring 2006 Survey; APPENDIX F - Unavoidable Ambiguities; APPENDIX G - Questions Used for the Autumn 2006 Survey; Glossary; Bibliography