The future of driving in developing countries
"The level of automobility, defined as travel in personal vehicles, is often seen as a function of income: The higher a country's per capita income, the greater the amount of driving. However, levels of automobility vary quite substantially between countries even at similar levels of econo...
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Place / Publishing House: | [Place of publication not identified] : Rand Corporation, 2014 |
Year of Publication: | 2014 |
Language: | English |
Notes: | Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph |
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Ecola, Liisa Author The future of driving in developing countries [Place of publication not identified] Rand Corporation 2014 text txt computer c online resource cr Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph English "The level of automobility, defined as travel in personal vehicles, is often seen as a function of income: The higher a country's per capita income, the greater the amount of driving. However, levels of automobility vary quite substantially between countries even at similar levels of economic development. This suggests that countries follow different mobility paths. The research detailed in this report sought to answer three questions: What are the factors besides economic development that affect automobility? What is their influence on automobility? What will happen to automobility in developing countries if they progress along similar paths as developed countries? To answer these questions, the authors developed a methodology to identify these factors, model their impact on developed countries, and forecast automobility (as defined by per capita vehicle-kilometers traveled [VKT]) in four developing countries. This methodology draws on quantitative analysis of historical automobility development in four country case studies (the United States, Australia, Germany, and Japan) that represent very different levels of per capita automobility, in combination with data derived from an expert-based qualitative approach. The authors used the latter to assess how these experiences may affect the future of automobility in the BRIC countries: Brazil, Russia, India, and China. According to this analysis, automobility levels in the four BRIC countries will fall between those of the United States (which has the highest per capita VKT level of the four case studies) and Japan (which has the lowest). Brazil is forecasted to have the highest per capita VKT and India the lowest." -- "Abstract" on web page. Introduction -- Evolutionary Paths of Mobility -- Study Methodology -- Historical Mobility Development in Four OECD Countries -- Comparison of Factors Among the Four OECD Countries -- Future Mobility Paths of Brazil, Russia, India, and China -- Conclusions -- Appendix A: Data Sources -- Appendix B: Country Travel Demand Experts -- Appendix C: Factor Fact Sheets and Flag-Game Results -- Appendix D: Estimating the Parameters for a Gompertz Model of Vehicle-Kilometers Traveled Per Capita. Transportation, Automotive Social aspects Developing countries Automobiles Developing countries Automobile drivers Developing countries Business & Economics HILCC Transportation Economics HILCC Rohr, Charlene Contributor Rohr, Charlene Author Zmud, Johanna Contributor Zmud, Johanna Author Kuhnimhof, Tobias Author Phleps, Peter Author Rand Transportation, Space, and Technology (Program) Content Provider Rand Corporation Content Provider 0-8330-8604-9 |
language |
English |
format |
Book |
author |
Ecola, Liisa Rohr, Charlene Zmud, Johanna Kuhnimhof, Tobias Phleps, Peter |
spellingShingle |
Ecola, Liisa Rohr, Charlene Zmud, Johanna Kuhnimhof, Tobias Phleps, Peter The future of driving in developing countries Introduction -- Evolutionary Paths of Mobility -- Study Methodology -- Historical Mobility Development in Four OECD Countries -- Comparison of Factors Among the Four OECD Countries -- Future Mobility Paths of Brazil, Russia, India, and China -- Conclusions -- Appendix A: Data Sources -- Appendix B: Country Travel Demand Experts -- Appendix C: Factor Fact Sheets and Flag-Game Results -- Appendix D: Estimating the Parameters for a Gompertz Model of Vehicle-Kilometers Traveled Per Capita. |
author_facet |
Ecola, Liisa Rohr, Charlene Zmud, Johanna Kuhnimhof, Tobias Phleps, Peter Rohr, Charlene Rohr, Charlene Zmud, Johanna Zmud, Johanna Kuhnimhof, Tobias Phleps, Peter Rand Transportation, Space, and Technology (Program) Rand Corporation Rand Transportation, Space, and Technology (Program) Rand Corporation |
author_variant |
l e le c r cr j z jz t k tk p p pp |
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VerfasserIn VerfasserIn VerfasserIn VerfasserIn VerfasserIn |
author2 |
Rohr, Charlene Rohr, Charlene Zmud, Johanna Zmud, Johanna Kuhnimhof, Tobias Phleps, Peter Rand Transportation, Space, and Technology (Program) Rand Corporation |
author2_variant |
c r cr j z jz |
author2_role |
TeilnehmendeR TeilnehmendeR TeilnehmendeR TeilnehmendeR TeilnehmendeR TeilnehmendeR TeilnehmendeR TeilnehmendeR |
author_corporate |
Rand Transportation, Space, and Technology (Program) Rand Corporation |
author_sort |
Ecola, Liisa |
title |
The future of driving in developing countries |
title_full |
The future of driving in developing countries |
title_fullStr |
The future of driving in developing countries |
title_full_unstemmed |
The future of driving in developing countries |
title_auth |
The future of driving in developing countries |
title_new |
The future of driving in developing countries |
title_sort |
the future of driving in developing countries |
publisher |
Rand Corporation |
publishDate |
2014 |
contents |
Introduction -- Evolutionary Paths of Mobility -- Study Methodology -- Historical Mobility Development in Four OECD Countries -- Comparison of Factors Among the Four OECD Countries -- Future Mobility Paths of Brazil, Russia, India, and China -- Conclusions -- Appendix A: Data Sources -- Appendix B: Country Travel Demand Experts -- Appendix C: Factor Fact Sheets and Flag-Game Results -- Appendix D: Estimating the Parameters for a Gompertz Model of Vehicle-Kilometers Traveled Per Capita. |
isbn |
0-8330-8981-1 0-8330-8604-9 |
callnumber-first |
H - Social Science |
callnumber-subject |
HE - Transportation and Communications |
callnumber-label |
HE5725 |
callnumber-sort |
HE 45725 E36 42014 |
geographic_facet |
Developing countries |
illustrated |
Not Illustrated |
work_keys_str_mv |
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The future of driving in developing countries |
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