Nuclear deterrence in the 21st century : lessons from the Cold War for a new era of strategic piracy / / Thérèse Delpech.

• Author: Delpech, Thérèse.
• Year of Publication: 2012
• Edition: 1st ed.
• Language: English
• Physical Description: 1 online resource (197 p.)
• Notes: Description based upon print version of record.

Deterrence remains a primary doctrine for dealing with the threat of nuclear weapons in the 21st century. The author reviews the history of nuclear deterrence and calls for a renewed intellectual effort to address the relevance of concepts such as first strike, escalation, extended deterrence, and other Cold War-era strategies in today's complex world of additional superpowers, smaller nuclear powers, and nonstate actors.

Table of Contents

Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Foreword; Contents; Acknowledgments; CHAPTER ONE: Introduction; CHAPTER TWO: Why Is This Subject Important?; CHAPTER THREE: Concepts; The Dominant Concept Under Attack; Extended Deterrence: A Concept Revived; Self-Deterrence: The Best-and Worst-of Worlds; Mutual Assured Destruction: An Old- Fashioned Concept; Stability: The Dream Is Over; Second Strike: A Grand Old Concept with a Bright Future; Parity: A Confused and Confusing Concept; Vulnerable Societies, Invulnerable Weapons: A Paradox; Credibility: An Increasingly Relevant Concept

Launch on Warning: A Dangerous Concept Uncertainty: A Concept for Our Time; Game Theory: Unreal; Limited Nuclear Wars: Triumph of Hope; Old Wine in New Bottles: Five Samples from the Cold War Cellars; 1. No First Use; 2. Arms Control; 3. Surprise Attacks; 4. Rationality in Deterrence; 5. Elimination; Contemporary Nightmares; Escalation; Accidental War; Nuclear Weapons in the Hands of Nonstate Actors; Adversaries Bent on Gambling; Miscalculation and Misperception; Blackmail; CHAPTER FOUR: Lessons from Crises; Preliminary Crises; 1946: Azerbaijan; 1946: Yugoslavia; Crises over Berlin

1948: Berlin Blockade 1958-1959: The Status of Berlin; 1961: The Berlin Wall; 1962: The Cuban Missile Crisis; Asian Crises; 1950: Korea (Truman); 1953: Korea (Eisenhower); 1954: Indochina, Operation Vulture; 1954-1955: First Taiwan Strait Crisis; 1958: Second Taiwan Strait Crisis; 1962: India-China War; 1964: The First Chinese Test and Japan's Reaction; 1969: Vietnam, Operation Duck Hook and Operation Giant Lance; 1969: Soviet-Chinese Border Clashes (March-October); 1971: Indo-Pakistani War; Middle East Crises; 1956: Suez Canal Crisis; 1958: Lebanon; 1970: Jordan; 1973: Yom Kippur War

Misperception 1983: Able Archer Exercise; What Lessons Can Be Drawn from These Crises?; Superiority Is Not the Decisive Factor; But Numbers Do Matter; Leadership Lies at the Very Core of Deterrence; Deterrence Is About Behavior in Daily Life, Not in Brief Crises; The Ability to Take Risks Is Part of Any Success Story; Different Approaches to "Rationality" Should Be Acknowledged; Prudence Should Prevent Unnecessary Risk-Taking; Ignorance Is Blissful-but Dangerous; Subtleties of Deterrence Theory Play Little Role in Times of Crisis

Strategic Thinkers Nonetheless Had a Far-Reaching Effect on Defense Policy On the Whole, Blatant Moves or Threats, When Credible, Were More Successful Than Uncertainty; Participants Are Never in Full Control of Events; The Past Contains Significant Experience Related to Asia; CHAPTER FIVE: The Age of Small Powers; Iran; North Korea; Pakistan; Syria; Some Thoughts Concerning Small States and International Security; CHAPTER SIX: Ahead of Us: The Big Piracy Game?; China; Russia; An Elusive Strategic Stability; CHAPTER SEVEN: Space and Cyberdeterrence; Space; Cyberspace; Conclusion; References

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