North Korean paradoxes : circumstances, costs, and consequences of Korean unification / / Charles Wolf, Jr., Kamil Akramov.

• Author: Wolf, Charles, 1924-
• TeilnehmendeR: Akramov, Kamil.
• Year of Publication: 2005
• Edition: 1st ed.
• Language: English
• Physical Description: 1 online resource (94 p.)
• Notes: "MG-333-OSD"--p. 4 of cover.

Analyzes the economic, political, and security issues associated with Korean unification and considers what the capital costs of unification would be under differing circumstances and assumptions.

Table of Contents

Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Acronyms; CHAPTER ONE- Preamble: Purpose and Roadmap; CHAPTER TWO- North Korea: Obscurities and Paradoxes; Obscurities; CHAPTER THREE- Size, Growth, and Structure of the North Korean Economy; Data Problems; The North Korean GDP; Structural Characteristics of North Korea's Economy; CHAPTER FOUR- How the System Might Unravel: Scenarios for Reunification; Diminished Attention to Reunification; Three Reunification Scenarios; Scenario A: Unification Through System Evolution and Integration

Scenario B: Unification Through Collapse and Absorption Scenario C: Unification Through Conflict; CHAPTER FIVE- The Capital Costs of Korean Reunification:Estimation and Management; Fluctuating Interest in Reunification; Simulation and Uncertainties; CHAPTER SIX- Other Estimates of Reunification Costs; Differing Sources and Types of Cost Estimates; The Wide Range of Reunification Costs; CHAPTER SEVEN- Is Germany's Reunification Experience Relevant?; Germany's Reunification Costs; Germany's Military Unification Experience

CHAPTER EIGHT- Conclusions: Effects on Korean Security Policies and Programs WMD Capabilities and Programs; Korea's Alliance with the United States; APPENDIX - A Simple Simulation Model for Sizing Korean Reunification Costs; Bibliography