Whither al-Anbar Province? : five scenarios through 2011 /

Whither al-Anbar Province? : five scenarios through 2011 / / James B. Bruce, Jeffrey Martini.

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As U.S. forces withdraw from Iraq, significant changes can be expected throughout al-Anbar Province in security, political, economic, and even cultural relationships. RAND convened a series of three one-day workshops at which participants identified five relatively distinct futures, or scenarios, fo...

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Bibliographic Details
Superior document:RAND Corporation occasional paper series ; OP-278-MCIA
:
National Defense Research Institute (U.S.)
Bruce, James B.
TeilnehmendeR:
Martini, Jeffrey.
National Defense Research Institute (U.S.)
Year of Publication:2010
Language:English
Series:Occasional paper (Rand Corporation) ; OP-278-MCIA.
Physical Description:1 online resource (28 p.)
Notes:
  • Report of results of three RAND workshops held in November and December 2008.
  • "The research ... was conducted in the National Defense Research Institute."
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Table of Contents:
  • Executive summary
  • What does the future hold for Iraq's al-Anbar Province?
  • How this study was conducted
  • Implications
  • Major takeaways
  • Study approach
  • Assumptions
  • Drivers
  • Scenario A: Sunni fight for survival
  • Scenario B: Every clan for itself
  • Scenario C: Iron fist
  • Scenario D: Glueless in Baghdad
  • Scenario E: Path to stability
  • The importance of drivers
  • Indications and warnings
  • Conclusions and implications.

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