School-based drug prevention : : what kind of drug use does it prevent? / / Jonathan P. Caulkins ... [et al.].
School-based drug prevention, popular with the public and politicians alike, is now a nearly universal experience for American youth. Analysis has shown that the best programs can reduce use of a wide range of substances. But questions remain regarding how to think about and, hence, fund, these prog...
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| Year of Publication: | 2002 |
| Edition: | 1st ed. |
| Language: | English |
| Physical Description: | 1 online resource (199 p.) |
| Notes: | "MR-1459." |
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Table of Contents:
- PREFACE; CONTENTS; FIGURES; TABLES; SUMMARY; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS; Chapter One INTRODUCTION; ARE PREVENTION'S EFFECTS LARGE ENOUGH TO BE WORTH THE EFFORT?; BACKGROUND AND GOALS OF THIS STUDY; OUR APPROACH: ITS STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES; ORGANIZATION OF THIS REPORT; Chapter Two SOCIAL BENEFIT AND COST RESULTS; HOW WE ESTIMATE PREVENTION'S SOCIAL BENEFITS; SOCIAL BENEFIT RESULTS; SCHOOL-BASED PREVENTION'S SOCIAL COSTS; SENSITIVITY OF FINDINGS TO VARIATIONS IN ASSUMPTIONS; OTHER RESULTS OF INTEREST; CONCLUSIONS AND DISCUSSION; Chapter Three LIFETIME DRUG CONSUMPTION WITHOUT PREVENTION
- HOW MUCH DO USERS CONSUME OVER THEIR LIVES?WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY THAT SOMEONE WILL BECOME A USER?; HOW SHOULD PRESENT AND FUTURE QUANTITIES BE COMPARED? (THE DISCOUNT FACTOR); Chapter Four SCHOOL-BASED DRUG PREVENTION'S EFFECTIVENESS AT THE END OF THE PROGRAM; SELECTION OF PROGRAMS UPON WHICH COMPOSITE ESTIMATES ARE BASED; MEASURES OF EFFECTIVENESS; INDIVIDUAL PROGRAM EFFECTS; AGGREGATE PROGRAM EFFECTS; Chapter Five SCHOOL-BASED PREVENTION'S EFFECTIVENESS AT REDUCING LIFETIME DRUG USE; MEASURING DECAY OF SHORT-TERM EFFECT; TAKING ACCOUNT OF LENGTH OF INITIATION DELAY
- TRANSLATING EFFECTIVENESS PREDICTORS TO RESULTSChapter Six ADJUSTMENTS TO PREVENTION'S EFFECTIVENESS; CAUSATION VERSUS CORRELATION QUALIFIER; SCALE-UP QUALIFIER; SOCIAL MULTIPLIER; MARKET MULTIPLIER; Chapter Seven SOCIAL COSTS OF DRUG CONSUMPTION; ESTIMATING THE SOCIAL COST OF ALCOHOL USE; ESTIMATING THE SOCIAL COST OF TOBACCO USE; ESTIMATING THE SOCIAL COST OF COCAINE USE AND USE OF ILLICIT DRUGS IN GENERAL; ESTIMATING THE SOCIAL COST OF MARIJUANA USE; SUMMARY; Appendix A LOW, MEDIUM, AND HIGH ESTIMATES FOR THE TEN FACTORS IN THE PREVENTION MODEL
- Appendix B RECODING CONSUMPTION VALUES FROM THE NATIONAL HOUSEHOLD SURVEY ON DRUG ABUSEAppendix C PROGRAM DESCRIPTIONS; Appendix D AGGREGATING PROGRAM EFFECTIVENESS DATA; Appendix E PROGRAM EFFECTIVENESS DECAY; Appendix F EFFECTS ON LIFETIME CONSUMPTION; BIBLIOGRAPHY