Fault lines in China's economic terrain / Charles Wolf, Jr. ... [et al.].
The authors consider how and by how much China?s stellar economic performance might be impaired by eight potential adversities that China may face in the next decade: unemployment, poverty, and social unrest; corruption; HIV/AIDS and epidemic diseases; water resource problems and pollution; energy c...
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| Year of Publication: | 2003 |
| Edition: | 1st ed. |
| Language: | English |
| Physical Description: | 1 online resource (237 p.) |
| Notes: | "Prepared for the Office of Net Assessment, Dept. of Defense and the Smith Richardson Foundation." |
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Table of Contents:
- COVER; PREFACE; CONTENTS; FIGURES; TABLES; SUMMARY; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS; ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS; Chapter One - POTENTIAL ADVERSITIES CONFRONTING CHINA'S CONTINUED ECONOMIC GROWTH; PART I - CHINA'S INSTITUTIONAL AND STRUCTURAL FAULT LINES; Chapter Two - MASSIVE UNEMPLOYMENT AND RURAL POVERTY; Chapter Three - ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF CORRUPTION; PART II - SECTORAL FAULT LINES; Chapter Four - EPIDEMIC DISEASE: A WILD CARD IN CHINA'S ECONOMIC FUTURE?; CHINA'S HEALTH PROGRESS SINCE THE "LIBERATION": A LONG MARCH AGAINST INFECTIOUS AND PARASITIC DISEASE
- CHINA'S CURRENT HEALTH PROFILE IN INTERNATIONAL AND GEOGRAPHIC PERSPECTIVE PROSPECTS FOR EPIDEMIC DISEASE IN CONTEMPORARY CHINA: THE RISKS OF BEHAVIOR-BORNE COMMUNICABLE ILLNESSES; MODELING POSSIBLE TRAJECTORIES FOR AN HIV EPIDEMIC IN CHINA; ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS FOR CHINA OF HIV"BREAKOUT""; Chapter Five - WATER RESOURCES AND POLLUTION; ESTIMATING WATER SUPPLY AND DEMAND; IDENTIFYING THE CONSEQUENCES OF FLOOD, WATER SHORTAGE, AND POLLUTION ON THE ECONOMY; ALTERNATIVES TO ABATE THE PROBLEM, AND THE EXPECTED COST AND BENEFITS; ECONOMIC AND SECURITY IMPLICATIONS
- Chapter Six - GDP EFFECTS OF AN ENERGY PRICE SHOCK SOME BASIC DATA ON THE CHINESE ENERGY SECTOR AND CHINESE GDP; OIL PRICE EFFECTS OF A "SEVERE" OIL SUPPLY DISRUPTION; EFFECTS ON CHINESE GDP; PART III - FINANCIAL FAULT LINES; Chapter Seven - CHINA'S FRAGILE FINANCIAL SYSTEM AND THE STATE-OWNED ENTERPRISES; AN INEFFECTUAL CENTRAL BANK; A FRAGILE COMMERCIAL BANKING SYSTEM; UNREGULATED FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS; ADVERSE SCENARIOS: FINANCIAL CRISES AND SLACK ECONOMIC GROWTH; Chapter Eight - POSSIBLE SHRINKAGE OF FOREIGN CAPITAL INFLOWS; INTRODUCTION: SOME RELEVANT BACKGROUND
- WHAT WILL AFFECT FDI IN CHINA IN THE 2002-2010 PERIOD? EFFECTS OF FDI ON CHINA'S ECONOMIC GROWTH; CONCLUSIONS; PART IV - SECURITY FAULT LINES; Chapter Nine - TAIWAN AND OTHER POTENTIAL CONFLICTS; BACKGROUND AND CURRENT STATUS; THE POSSIBILITY OF SERIOUS DETERIORATION FROM THE STATUS QUO; OTHER CONFLICT POSSIBILITIES; Chapter Ten - CONCLUSIONS: FAULT LINES IN CHINA'S ECONOMIC TERRAIN; FINDINGS AND BOTTOM LINES; EPILOGUE; BIBLIOGRAPHY; ABOUT THE AUTHORS; INDEX