From negative to positive stability : : how the Syrian refugee crisis can improve Jordan's outlook / / Ben Connable.

• Author: National Defense Research Institute (U.S.),
• VerfasserIn: Connable, Ben,
• TeilnehmendeR: Rand Corporation,; National Defense Research Institute (U.S.),
• Language: English

"As of late 2014, many American and Jordanian experts believe Jordan to be stable. Yet while Jordan is stable, it faces a range of existing and emerging challenges. These include chronic unemployment, sporadic political unrest, budget deficits, a water shortage, and geographically isolated yet...

Table of Contents

• Preface
• Figures and Table
• Summary
• Chapter One: Introduction to the Status of Syrian Refugees as of Late 2014: Geographic Orientation and Syrian Refugees as of Late 2014
• Syrian Refugees in Jordan: Late 2014
• Methodology
• Organization of This Report
• Chapter Two: Assessment of Stability and Strategic Challenges: Late 2014: Jordan's Stability as of Late 2014
• Security from External and Internal Threats
• Political Turmoil and the Impact of the Arab Spring
• Water Shortages Contribute to Economic and Social Unease
• Economic and Financial Dependencies
• Existing Refugee and Nonnational Worker Populations
• Summary of Stability Issues as of Late 2014
• Chapter Three: Economic Factors and Forecasted Impact: Current Economic Status and Economic Integration of Syrian Refugees
• Forecast: The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordan's Economic Stability
• Chapter Four: Social Factors and Forecasted Impact: Assessing Late-2014 Social Integration and Social Impacts of Syrian Refugees
• Forecast: Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordan's Social Stability
• Chapter Five: Security Assessment and Forecasted Impact: Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordanian Security as of Late 2014
• Forecast: The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordan's Security
• Chapter Six: Conclusion, Summary Forecast, and Black Swan Warnings: Black Swans
• Abbreviations
• Bibliography.