Assessing Russia's decline : trends and implications for the United States and the U.S. Air Force / / Olga Oliker, Tanya Charlick-Paley.

• Author: United States. Air Force.; Oliker, Olga.
• TeilnehmendeR: Charlick-Paley, Tanya, 1968-; United States. Air Force.
• Year of Publication: 2002
• Edition: 1st ed.
• Language: English
• Physical Description: 1 online resource (153 p.)
• Notes: "MR-1442."

Continuing trends toward military, political, economic, and social decline in Russia threaten the interests of the United States and its allies. Moscow?s capacity to govern is called into question by increasing crime and corruption (and by political and economic regionalization). Both the military nuclear arsenal and the civilian nuclear power sector present risks of materials theft or diversion, as well as of tragic accident. An increasingly aging and ailing population bodes ill for Russia?s future. Reversing the country?s economic decline and rebuilding an effective military have proven

Table of Contents

PREFACE; CONTENTS; FIGURES; SUMMARY; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS; Chapter One INTRODUCTION: STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS OF RUSSIA'S DECLINE; DECLINING, FAILING, AND DYSFUNCTIONAL STATES; IS RUSSIA IN DECLINE?; Chapter Two REGIONAL AUTONOMY OR INCREASED CENTRALIZATION?; TRENDS TOWARD POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC DECENTRALIZATION; GOVERNMENT RESPONSE; Chapter Three THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY; DEMONETIZATION, REFORM, AND POVERTY; CAPITAL FLIGHT; CRIME, CORRUPTION, AND THE SHADOW ECONOMY; TURNAROUND?; Chapter Four RUSSIA'S POLITICAL FUTURE: WHITHER DEMOCRACY AND FREEDOM?; Chapter Five THE PEOPLE OF RUSSIA: ASSET OR LIABILITY?

DEMOGRAPHICS ETHNICITY AND RACISM; Chapter Six THE RUSSIAN MILITARY; PUTIN AND THE MILITARY; MILITARY REGIONALIZATION; CONVENTIONAL FORCES: PERSONNEL AND EQUIPMENT; NUCLEAR STRATEGY AND FORCES; COMMAND AND CONTROL AND THE DANGER OF INADVERTENT NUCLEAR USE; Chapter Seven WEAK LINKS: ROAD, RAIL, AND NUCLEAR POWER; TRANSPORT AND DISTRIBUTION; POWER PLANTS AND OTHER CIVILIAN AND MILITARY NUCLEAR FACILITIES; Chapter Eight ILLUSTRATIVE SCENARIOS; WAR IN ASIA; NUCLEAR ACCIDENT; TERRORIST USE OF NUCLEAR MATERIALS; WAR IN THE CAUCASUS; SCENARIO IMPLICATIONS

Chapter Nine NEXT STEPS: PLANNING FOR AND PREVENTING CONTINGENCIES PLANNING FOR CONTINGENCIES; PREVENTING CONTINGENCIES; Chapter Ten THE AIR FORCE ROLE; SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY