Implications of modern decision science for military decision-support systems / / Paul K. Davis, Jonathan Kulick, Michael Egner.
An overview of higher-level decisionmaking and modern methods to improve decision support
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| Year of Publication: | 2005 |
| Edition: | 1st ed. |
| Language: | English |
| Physical Description: | 1 online resource (181 p.) |
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Table of Contents:
- Cover; Preface; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Acronyms; Chapter One - Introductions; Objective; Definition and Scope; Descriptive Versus Prescriptive Research; Approach in This Monograph; Chapter Two - Human Decisionmaking; How to Think About Decisionmaking; Images of the Decision Process; The Problems of Heuristics and Biases; The Naturalistic School; Military and National-Security OperationalDecisionmaking; Chapter Three - Classic Analysis Concepts and Their Evolution; Decision Analysis and Game Theory; Systems Analysis; Policy Analysis
- Summary of Classic Analysis Components of DecisionScienceChapter Four - Advanced Decision Science for Analysis; Introduction; Broad Methods; Enablers; Chapter Five - the Research Frontier: Reconciling Analytic and Intuitive Considerations; Introduction; Improving Automated Decision Support; Balancing Cold and Story-Based Decision Support; General Recommendations; Chapter Six - Conclusions; The Decisionmaking Component; The Analysis Component; Appendix A - Debiasing an Air Campaign; Appendix B - Rethinking Families of Models; Appendix C - Further Discussion of Judgmental Bias and DSS
- Bibliography