Making policy in the shadow of the future /

Making policy in the shadow of the future / / Gregory F. Treverton.

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The National Intelligence Council's 2008 report ""Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World"" projects what the world will look like in 2025 based on recent trends. This paper asks: How should U.S. policy adapt now to account for these trends and the future that will result fr...

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Bibliographic Details
Superior document:Occasional paper ; OP-298-RC
:
National Intelligence Council (U.S.)
Treverton, Gregory F.
TeilnehmendeR:
National Intelligence Council (U.S.)
Year of Publication:2010
Edition:1st ed.
Language:English
Series:Occasional paper (Rand Corporation) ; OP-298-RC.
Physical Description:1 online resource (56 p.)
Notes:
  • Based on a report submitted by the National Intelligence Council.
  • "RAND Investment in People and Ideas."
  • Also available online.
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Table of Contents:
  • Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Contents; Figure and Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Section 1 - Introduction; Section 2 - Shaping U.S. Policy for 2025; Multipolar World, Increased Role of Transnational Actors; Transfer of Wealth from West to East; The United States as the Most Powerful Absolutely, Just Less So Relatively; Unprecedented Economic Growth, More People, and More Pressure on Resources; Destabilizing Youth Bulges Diminish, but Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Others Still Problematic; Increased Potential for Conflict, Given Middle East Turbulence and Proliferating Weaponry
  • Fewer but Perhaps More-Lethal TerroristsExcursion: The Global Economic Crisis.; Global Crisis, Global Consequences.; Hyping the Debt; National Regulation and International Cooperation.; Key Uncertainties; Section 3 - Where Might Longer-Term Thinking Change Short-Run Policy?; Right for 2025 and Right for Now; Reshaping Approaches to Energy and Climate Change.; The Context of the "Threat"; Building Capacity for Adapting.; An Agenda for Now; Fiscal Discipline After the Immediate Economic Crisis Is Passed; The Effect of Revolutions in Military Affairs; The Emerging Post-Iraq War Debate
  • The Diffusion of Nuclear WeaponsThe Diffusion of Precision-Guided Munitions; War Through Cyberspace; Visions of the Nuclear Future; Reshaping International Law and Institutions; Refashioning Domestic Institutions; Whither Mexico?; Extending Long-Term Thinking; Back Cover

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