Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography : : Agency, Complexity and Uncertainty in Migration Studies / / by Jakub Bijak.

This open access book presents a ground-breaking approach to developing micro-foundations for demography and migration studies. It offers a unique and novel methodology for creating empirically grounded agent-based models of international migration – one of the most uncertain population processes an...

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Bibliographic Details
Superior document:Methodos Series, Methodological Prospects in the Social Sciences, 17
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Place / Publishing House:Cham : : Springer International Publishing :, Imprint: Springer,, 2022.
Year of Publication:2022
Edition:1st ed. 2022.
Language:English
Series:Methodos Series, Methodological Prospects in the Social Sciences, 17
Physical Description:1 online resource (XXV, 263 p. 46 illus. in color.)
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Table of Contents:
  • Part I: Preliminaries: Chapter 1. Introduction
  • Chapter 2. Uncertainty and complexity: towards model-based demography
  • Part II: Elements of the modelling process
  • Chapter 3. Principles and state of the art of agent-based migration modelling
  • Chapter 4. Building a knowledge base for the model
  • Chapter 5. Uncertainty quantification, model calibration and sensitivity
  • Chapter 6. The boundaries of cognition and decision making
  • Chapter 7. Agent-based modelling and simulation with domain-specific languages
  • Part III: Model results, applications, and reflections
  • Chapter 8. Towards more realistic models
  • Chapter 9. Bayesian model-based approach: impact on science and policy
  • Chapter 10. Open science, replicability, and transparency in modelling
  • Chapter 11. Conclusions: towards a Bayesian modelling process.