Developments in demographic forecasting / / edited by Stefano Mazzuco, Nico Keilman.
This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided. Bayesian models, nonparametric...
Saved in:
Superior document: | The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis ; 49 |
---|---|
TeilnehmendeR: | |
Place / Publishing House: | Cham : : Springer International Publishing :, Imprint: Springer,, 2020. |
Year of Publication: | 2020 |
Edition: | First edition, 2020. |
Language: | English |
Series: | The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis ;
49 |
Physical Description: | 1 online resource (viii, 258 pages) :; illustrations; digital, PDF file(s). |
Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
id |
993544736304498 |
---|---|
ctrlnum |
(CKB)5590000000002298 (MiAaPQ)EBC6359357 (DE-He213)978-3-030-42472-5 (Au-PeEL)EBL6359357 (OCoLC)1202453421 (MiAaPQ)EBC6360729 (Au-PeEL)EBL6360729 (oapen)https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/35493 (EXLCZ)995590000000002298 |
collection |
bib_alma |
record_format |
marc |
spelling |
Mazzuco, Stefano edt Developments in demographic forecasting / edited by Stefano Mazzuco, Nico Keilman. First edition, 2020. Springer Nature 2020 Cham : Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Springer, 2020. 1 online resource (viii, 258 pages) : illustrations; digital, PDF file(s). text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier text file rda The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis ; 49 Chapter 1. Introduction -- Chapter 2. Stochastic population forecasting: A Bayesian approach based on evaluation by experts -- Chapter 3. Using expert elicitation to build long-term projection assumptions -- Chapter 4. Post-Transitional Demography and Convergence: What can we Learn from Half a Century of World Population Prospects? -- Chapter 5. Projecting Proportionate Age–Specific Fertility Rates via Bayesian Skewed Processes -- Chapter 6. A Three-component Approach to Model and Forecast Age-at-death Distributions -- Chapter 7. Alternative forecasts of Danish life expectancy -- Chapter 8. Coherent mortality forecasting with standards: low mortality serves as a guide -- Chapter 9. European mortality forecasts: Are the targets still moving? -- Chapter 10. Bayesian disaggregated forecasts: Internal migration in Iceland -- Chapter 11. Forecasting origin-destination-age-sex migration flow tables with multiplicative components -- Chapter 12. New Approaches to the Conceptualization and Measurement of Age and Ageing. This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided. Bayesian models, nonparametric models, cohort approaches, elicitation of expert opinion, evaluation of probabilistic forecasts are some of the topics covered in the book. In addition, the book is accompanied by complementary material on the web allowing readers to practice with some of the ideas exposed in the book. Readers are encouraged to use this material to apply the new methods to their own data. The book is an important read for demographers, applied statisticians, as well as other social scientists interested or active in the field of population forecasting. Professional population forecasters in statistical agencies will find useful new ideas in various chapters. Also available in print form. Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources. English Demography. Statistics . Statistics for Social Sciences, Humanities, Law. Demography Statistics for Social Sciences, Humanities, Law Population and Demography Statistics in Social Sciences, Humanities, Law, Education, Behavorial Sciences, Public Policy Population forecasting Fertility Mortality Migration Forecasting evaluation Social Media data Population statistics Population modelling Bayesian population models Open access Population & demography Social research & statistics Print version: 9783030424718 Mazzuco, Stefano. editor. Keilman, Nico. editor. |
language |
English |
format |
eBook |
author2 |
Mazzuco, Stefano. Keilman, Nico. |
author_facet |
Mazzuco, Stefano. Keilman, Nico. |
author2_variant |
s m sm s m sm n k nk |
author2_role |
TeilnehmendeR TeilnehmendeR |
title |
Developments in demographic forecasting / |
spellingShingle |
Developments in demographic forecasting / The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis ; Chapter 1. Introduction -- Chapter 2. Stochastic population forecasting: A Bayesian approach based on evaluation by experts -- Chapter 3. Using expert elicitation to build long-term projection assumptions -- Chapter 4. Post-Transitional Demography and Convergence: What can we Learn from Half a Century of World Population Prospects? -- Chapter 5. Projecting Proportionate Age–Specific Fertility Rates via Bayesian Skewed Processes -- Chapter 6. A Three-component Approach to Model and Forecast Age-at-death Distributions -- Chapter 7. Alternative forecasts of Danish life expectancy -- Chapter 8. Coherent mortality forecasting with standards: low mortality serves as a guide -- Chapter 9. European mortality forecasts: Are the targets still moving? -- Chapter 10. Bayesian disaggregated forecasts: Internal migration in Iceland -- Chapter 11. Forecasting origin-destination-age-sex migration flow tables with multiplicative components -- Chapter 12. New Approaches to the Conceptualization and Measurement of Age and Ageing. |
title_full |
Developments in demographic forecasting / edited by Stefano Mazzuco, Nico Keilman. |
title_fullStr |
Developments in demographic forecasting / edited by Stefano Mazzuco, Nico Keilman. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Developments in demographic forecasting / edited by Stefano Mazzuco, Nico Keilman. |
title_auth |
Developments in demographic forecasting / |
title_new |
Developments in demographic forecasting / |
title_sort |
developments in demographic forecasting / |
series |
The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis ; |
series2 |
The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis ; |
publisher |
Springer Nature Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Springer, |
publishDate |
2020 |
physical |
1 online resource (viii, 258 pages) : illustrations; digital, PDF file(s). Also available in print form. |
edition |
First edition, 2020. |
contents |
Chapter 1. Introduction -- Chapter 2. Stochastic population forecasting: A Bayesian approach based on evaluation by experts -- Chapter 3. Using expert elicitation to build long-term projection assumptions -- Chapter 4. Post-Transitional Demography and Convergence: What can we Learn from Half a Century of World Population Prospects? -- Chapter 5. Projecting Proportionate Age–Specific Fertility Rates via Bayesian Skewed Processes -- Chapter 6. A Three-component Approach to Model and Forecast Age-at-death Distributions -- Chapter 7. Alternative forecasts of Danish life expectancy -- Chapter 8. Coherent mortality forecasting with standards: low mortality serves as a guide -- Chapter 9. European mortality forecasts: Are the targets still moving? -- Chapter 10. Bayesian disaggregated forecasts: Internal migration in Iceland -- Chapter 11. Forecasting origin-destination-age-sex migration flow tables with multiplicative components -- Chapter 12. New Approaches to the Conceptualization and Measurement of Age and Ageing. |
isbn |
3-030-42472-3 9783030424718 |
callnumber-first |
H - Social Science |
callnumber-subject |
HB - Economic Theory and Demography |
callnumber-label |
HB848-3697 |
callnumber-sort |
HB 3848 43697 |
illustrated |
Not Illustrated |
dewey-hundreds |
300 - Social sciences |
dewey-tens |
300 - Social sciences, sociology & anthropology |
dewey-ones |
304 - Factors affecting social behavior |
dewey-full |
304.6 304.60112 |
dewey-sort |
3304.6 |
dewey-raw |
304.6 304.60112 |
dewey-search |
304.6 304.60112 |
oclc_num |
1202453421 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT mazzucostefano developmentsindemographicforecasting AT keilmannico developmentsindemographicforecasting |
status_str |
n |
ids_txt_mv |
(CKB)5590000000002298 (MiAaPQ)EBC6359357 (DE-He213)978-3-030-42472-5 (Au-PeEL)EBL6359357 (OCoLC)1202453421 (MiAaPQ)EBC6360729 (Au-PeEL)EBL6360729 (oapen)https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/35493 (EXLCZ)995590000000002298 |
carrierType_str_mv |
cr |
hierarchy_parent_title |
The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis ; 49 |
hierarchy_sequence |
49 |
is_hierarchy_title |
Developments in demographic forecasting / |
container_title |
The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis ; 49 |
author2_original_writing_str_mv |
noLinkedField noLinkedField |
_version_ |
1804779663541665792 |
fullrecord |
<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>04680nam a2200781 i 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">993544736304498</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20230621141325.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="006">m o d </controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr#nn#008mamaa</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">200928s2020 gw | o |||| 0|eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">3-030-42472-3</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1007/978-3-030-42472-5</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(CKB)5590000000002298</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(MiAaPQ)EBC6359357</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-He213)978-3-030-42472-5</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(Au-PeEL)EBL6359357</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)1202453421</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(MiAaPQ)EBC6360729</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(Au-PeEL)EBL6360729</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(oapen)https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/35493</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(EXLCZ)995590000000002298</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield><subfield code="d">UkMaJRU</subfield><subfield code="e">rda</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="050" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">HB848-3697</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="072" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">JHBD</subfield><subfield code="2">bicssc</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="072" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">SOC006000</subfield><subfield code="2">bisacsh</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="072" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">JHBD</subfield><subfield code="2">thema</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">304.6</subfield><subfield code="2">23</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">304.60112</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Mazzuco, Stefano</subfield><subfield code="4">edt</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Developments in demographic forecasting /</subfield><subfield code="c">edited by Stefano Mazzuco, Nico Keilman.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="250" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">First edition, 2020.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="260" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">Springer Nature</subfield><subfield code="c">2020</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Cham :</subfield><subfield code="b">Springer International Publishing :</subfield><subfield code="b">Imprint: Springer,</subfield><subfield code="c">2020.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1 online resource (viii, 258 pages) :</subfield><subfield code="b">illustrations; digital, PDF file(s).</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">text</subfield><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">computer</subfield><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">online resource</subfield><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="347" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">text file</subfield><subfield code="2">rda</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="490" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis ;</subfield><subfield code="v">49</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="505" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Chapter 1. Introduction -- Chapter 2. Stochastic population forecasting: A Bayesian approach based on evaluation by experts -- Chapter 3. Using expert elicitation to build long-term projection assumptions -- Chapter 4. Post-Transitional Demography and Convergence: What can we Learn from Half a Century of World Population Prospects? -- Chapter 5. Projecting Proportionate Age–Specific Fertility Rates via Bayesian Skewed Processes -- Chapter 6. A Three-component Approach to Model and Forecast Age-at-death Distributions -- Chapter 7. Alternative forecasts of Danish life expectancy -- Chapter 8. Coherent mortality forecasting with standards: low mortality serves as a guide -- Chapter 9. European mortality forecasts: Are the targets still moving? -- Chapter 10. Bayesian disaggregated forecasts: Internal migration in Iceland -- Chapter 11. Forecasting origin-destination-age-sex migration flow tables with multiplicative components -- Chapter 12. New Approaches to the Conceptualization and Measurement of Age and Ageing.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided. Bayesian models, nonparametric models, cohort approaches, elicitation of expert opinion, evaluation of probabilistic forecasts are some of the topics covered in the book. In addition, the book is accompanied by complementary material on the web allowing readers to practice with some of the ideas exposed in the book. Readers are encouraged to use this material to apply the new methods to their own data. The book is an important read for demographers, applied statisticians, as well as other social scientists interested or active in the field of population forecasting. Professional population forecasters in statistical agencies will find useful new ideas in various chapters.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="530" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Also available in print form.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="588" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="546" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">English</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Demography.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Statistics .</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1="1" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Demography.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1="2" ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Statistics for Social Sciences, Humanities, Law.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Demography</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Statistics for Social Sciences, Humanities, Law</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Population and Demography</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Statistics in Social Sciences, Humanities, Law, Education, Behavorial Sciences, Public Policy</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Population forecasting</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Fertility</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Mortality</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Migration</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Forecasting evaluation</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Social Media data</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Population statistics</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Population modelling</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Bayesian population models</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Open access</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Population & demography</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Social research & statistics</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="776" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Print version:</subfield><subfield code="z">9783030424718</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Mazzuco, Stefano.</subfield><subfield code="e">editor.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Keilman, Nico.</subfield><subfield code="e">editor.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="830" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis ;</subfield><subfield code="v">49</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="906" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">BOOK</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="ADM" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">2024-07-16 21:32:06 Europe/Vienna</subfield><subfield code="d">00</subfield><subfield code="f">system</subfield><subfield code="c">marc21</subfield><subfield code="a">2020-10-03 22:18:00 Europe/Vienna</subfield><subfield code="g">false</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="AVE" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="i">DOAB Directory of Open Access Books</subfield><subfield code="P">DOAB Directory of Open Access Books</subfield><subfield code="x">https://eu02.alma.exlibrisgroup.com/view/uresolver/43ACC_OEAW/openurl?u.ignore_date_coverage=true&portfolio_pid=5337743480004498&Force_direct=true</subfield><subfield code="Z">5337743480004498</subfield><subfield code="b">Available</subfield><subfield code="8">5337743480004498</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |