Hans-Michael Geiger- Informational Efficiency in Speculative Markets- a Theoretical Investigation : : Informational Efficiency in Speculative Markets.

• Superior document: Allokation im marktwirtschaftlichen System.
• Author: Geiger, Hans-Michael.
• Place / Publishing House: Frankfurt am Main : : Peter Lang GmbH, Internationaler Verlag der Wissenschaften,, 1989.; ©1989.
• Year of Publication: 1989
• Edition: First edition.
• Language: English
• Series: Allokation im marktwirtschaftlichen System.
• Physical Description: 1 online resource (238 pages)

The purpose of this work is to provide a critical presentation and some extensions of two perspectives of informational efficiency: On the one hand the neoclassical perspective or «arithmomorphic approach» explains efficiency in terms of a concept mainly based on an explicit economic theory. On the other hand, in the Austrian perspective or «causal genetic approach» attention is drawn to the entrepreneurial element of human decision making related to an arbitrage theory of profit which is not traced back to anonymous market forces but rather to incessant discovery of information guided by entrepreneurial alertness.

Table of Contents

Cover -- PREFACE -- INTRODUCTION -- Chapter I The Fundamental Issue: Efficiency in Market Economies -- 1 The Separability of Market Systems into an Allocation System and an Information System -- 1.1 The Allocation System -- 1.1.1 PARETO's Paradigm -- 1.1.2 Extension: Market Costs -- 1.1.2.1 Transaction Costs -- 1.1.2.2 Coordination Costs -- 1.1.2.3 Transaction Costs versus Coordination Costs -- 1.1.3 Factor Earnings -- 1.1.3.1 Input Costs -- 1.1.3.2 Managerial Reward -- 1.2 The Information System -- 1.2.1 The Concept of an Information System -- 1.2.2 Entrepreneurial Activity and Managerial Performance -- 1.2.2.1 The Mode of Interaction -- 1.2.2.2 Entrepreneurial Profit -- 1.2.2.3 Structures of Organization and Efficiency -- 1.2.3 The Process of Diffusion of Information -- 1.2.3.1 Profit Erosion as an Indication of Diffusion of Information -- 1.2.3.2 A Simple Model of Profit Erosion -- 1.2.4 Allocation versus Information Processes -- 1.2.5 Possession versus Property -- 2 The Concept of Allocational Efficiency and Informational Efficiency -- 2.1 Efficiency and Rationality in Economic Science -- 2.2 The Concept of Allocational Efficiency -- 2.3 The Concept of Informational Efficiency -- 3 An Efficiency-Preference Function -- Chapter II The Empirical Reference System: Futures Markets -- 1 Definition and Institutional Setup -- 2 Transaction Possibilities with Particular Reference to Conflicting Theories of Hedging -- 2.1 Arbitrage -- 2.2 Hedging -- 2.2.1 Hedging for Risk-Shifting -- 2.2.2 Hedging for Profit-Making -- 2.3 Speculation -- 2.4 Spreading -- 3 Economic Functions of Futures Markets -- 3.1 Microeconomic Functions -- 3.2 Macroeconomic Functions -- 4 Institutional Properties of Futures Markets as an Aid to Theoretical Analysis -- Chapter III The 'Neoclassical' Perspective of Informational Efficiency -- 1 Introductory Notes.

2 The Arithmomorphic Approach -- 2.1 Presentation of the Basic Idea -- 2.2 Expected Return Models -- 2.3 Statistical Background -- 2.4 A FAMA-Model of an Informational Efficient Market System -- 2.4.1 Presentation of a FAMA-Model of an Informational Efficient Market System -- 2.4.2 Tests of Informational Efficiency -- 2.4.3 The Problem of Joint Tests -- 2.5 Limitations and Criticism of the Arithmomorphic Approach -- Chapter IV An 'Austrian' Perspective of Informational Efficiency -- 1 Introductory Notes -- 2 An 'Austrian' Perspective -- 2.1 Hedging versus Speculation -- 2.2 Information Processes -- 2.3 Divergent Expectations and Speculative Prices -- 2.3.1 The Idea of Expectations -- 2.3.2 Consensus Expectations versus Divergent Expectations -- 2.3.3 The 'Unquiet Market' -- 2.3.4 The Principle of False-Price-Trading -- 2.3.5 Speculative Prices versus Forecast Prices -- 2.4 Monopoly and Profit -- 2.4.1 The Notion of Friction -- 2.4.2 Monopoly -- 2.4.3 Market Efficiency.