Secular Cycles / / Sergey A. Nefedov, Peter Turchin.
Many historical processes exhibit recurrent patterns of change. Century-long periods of population expansion come before long periods of stagnation and decline; the dynamics of prices mirror population oscillations; and states go through strong expansionist phases followed by periods of state failur...
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Place / Publishing House: | Princeton, NJ : : Princeton University Press, , [2009] ©2009 |
Year of Publication: | 2009 |
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Turchin, Peter, author. aut http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut Secular Cycles / Sergey A. Nefedov, Peter Turchin. Course Book Princeton, NJ : Princeton University Press, [2009] ©2009 1 online resource (360 p.) : 65 line illus. 62 tables. text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier text file PDF rda Frontmatter -- Contents -- Units and Currencies -- Chapter 1. Introduction: The Theoretical Background -- Chapter 2. Medieval England: The Plantagenet Cycle (1150-1485) -- Chapter 3. Early Modern England: The Tudor-Stuart Cycle (1485-1730) -- Chapter 4. Medieval France: The Capetian Cycle (1150-1450) -- Chapter 5. Early Modern France: The Valois Cycle (1450-1660) -- Chapter 6. Rome: The Republican Cycle (350-30 BCE) -- Chapter 7. Rome: The Principate Cycle (30 BCE-285 CE) -- Chapter 8. Russia: The Muscovy Cycle (1460-1620) -- Chapter 9. Russia: The Romanov Cycle (1620-1922) -- Chapter 10. General Conclusions -- Acknowledgments -- References Cited -- Index restricted access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec online access with authorization star Many historical processes exhibit recurrent patterns of change. Century-long periods of population expansion come before long periods of stagnation and decline; the dynamics of prices mirror population oscillations; and states go through strong expansionist phases followed by periods of state failure, endemic sociopolitical instability, and territorial loss. Peter Turchin and Sergey Nefedov explore the dynamics and causal connections between such demographic, economic, and political variables in agrarian societies and offer detailed explanations for these long-term oscillations--what the authors call secular cycles. Secular Cycles elaborates and expands upon the demographic-structural theory first advanced by Jack Goldstone, which provides an explanation of long-term oscillations. This book tests that theory's specific and quantitative predictions by tracing the dynamics of population numbers, prices and real wages, elite numbers and incomes, state finances, and sociopolitical instability. Turchin and Nefedov study societies in England, France, and Russia during the medieval and early modern periods, and look back at the Roman Republic and Empire. Incorporating theoretical and quantitative history, the authors examine a specific model of historical change and, more generally, investigate the utility of the dynamical systems approach in historical applications. An indispensable and groundbreaking resource for a wide variety of social scientists, Secular Cycles will interest practitioners of economic history, historical sociology, complexity studies, and demography. Issued also in print. Mode of access: Internet via World Wide Web. In English. Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (publisher's Web site, viewed 30. Aug 2021) Business cycles Mathematical models. Demography Mathematical models. Economic development Mathematical models. Population Mathematical models. SOCIAL SCIENCE / Demography. bisacsh Nefedov, Sergey A., author. aut http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut Title is part of eBook package: De Gruyter Princeton University Press eBook-Package Backlist 2000-2013 9783110442502 print 9780691136967 https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400830688?locatt=mode:legacy https://www.degruyter.com/isbn/9781400830688 Cover https://www.degruyter.com/cover/covers/9781400830688.jpg |
language |
English |
format |
eBook |
author |
Turchin, Peter, Turchin, Peter, Nefedov, Sergey A., |
spellingShingle |
Turchin, Peter, Turchin, Peter, Nefedov, Sergey A., Secular Cycles / Frontmatter -- Contents -- Units and Currencies -- Chapter 1. Introduction: The Theoretical Background -- Chapter 2. Medieval England: The Plantagenet Cycle (1150-1485) -- Chapter 3. Early Modern England: The Tudor-Stuart Cycle (1485-1730) -- Chapter 4. Medieval France: The Capetian Cycle (1150-1450) -- Chapter 5. Early Modern France: The Valois Cycle (1450-1660) -- Chapter 6. Rome: The Republican Cycle (350-30 BCE) -- Chapter 7. Rome: The Principate Cycle (30 BCE-285 CE) -- Chapter 8. Russia: The Muscovy Cycle (1460-1620) -- Chapter 9. Russia: The Romanov Cycle (1620-1922) -- Chapter 10. General Conclusions -- Acknowledgments -- References Cited -- Index |
author_facet |
Turchin, Peter, Turchin, Peter, Nefedov, Sergey A., Nefedov, Sergey A., Nefedov, Sergey A., |
author_variant |
p t pt p t pt s a n sa san |
author_role |
VerfasserIn VerfasserIn VerfasserIn |
author2 |
Nefedov, Sergey A., Nefedov, Sergey A., |
author2_variant |
s a n sa san |
author2_role |
VerfasserIn VerfasserIn |
author_sort |
Turchin, Peter, |
title |
Secular Cycles / |
title_full |
Secular Cycles / Sergey A. Nefedov, Peter Turchin. |
title_fullStr |
Secular Cycles / Sergey A. Nefedov, Peter Turchin. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Secular Cycles / Sergey A. Nefedov, Peter Turchin. |
title_auth |
Secular Cycles / |
title_alt |
Frontmatter -- Contents -- Units and Currencies -- Chapter 1. Introduction: The Theoretical Background -- Chapter 2. Medieval England: The Plantagenet Cycle (1150-1485) -- Chapter 3. Early Modern England: The Tudor-Stuart Cycle (1485-1730) -- Chapter 4. Medieval France: The Capetian Cycle (1150-1450) -- Chapter 5. Early Modern France: The Valois Cycle (1450-1660) -- Chapter 6. Rome: The Republican Cycle (350-30 BCE) -- Chapter 7. Rome: The Principate Cycle (30 BCE-285 CE) -- Chapter 8. Russia: The Muscovy Cycle (1460-1620) -- Chapter 9. Russia: The Romanov Cycle (1620-1922) -- Chapter 10. General Conclusions -- Acknowledgments -- References Cited -- Index |
title_new |
Secular Cycles / |
title_sort |
secular cycles / |
publisher |
Princeton University Press, |
publishDate |
2009 |
physical |
1 online resource (360 p.) : 65 line illus. 62 tables. Issued also in print. |
edition |
Course Book |
contents |
Frontmatter -- Contents -- Units and Currencies -- Chapter 1. Introduction: The Theoretical Background -- Chapter 2. Medieval England: The Plantagenet Cycle (1150-1485) -- Chapter 3. Early Modern England: The Tudor-Stuart Cycle (1485-1730) -- Chapter 4. Medieval France: The Capetian Cycle (1150-1450) -- Chapter 5. Early Modern France: The Valois Cycle (1450-1660) -- Chapter 6. Rome: The Republican Cycle (350-30 BCE) -- Chapter 7. Rome: The Principate Cycle (30 BCE-285 CE) -- Chapter 8. Russia: The Muscovy Cycle (1460-1620) -- Chapter 9. Russia: The Romanov Cycle (1620-1922) -- Chapter 10. General Conclusions -- Acknowledgments -- References Cited -- Index |
isbn |
9781400830688 9783110442502 9780691136967 |
callnumber-first |
H - Social Science |
callnumber-subject |
HB - Economic Theory and Demography |
callnumber-label |
HB849 |
callnumber-sort |
HB 3849.51 T87 42011 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400830688?locatt=mode:legacy https://www.degruyter.com/isbn/9781400830688 https://www.degruyter.com/cover/covers/9781400830688.jpg |
illustrated |
Illustrated |
dewey-hundreds |
300 - Social sciences |
dewey-tens |
300 - Social sciences, sociology & anthropology |
dewey-ones |
304 - Factors affecting social behavior |
dewey-full |
304.6 |
dewey-sort |
3304.6 |
dewey-raw |
304.6 |
dewey-search |
304.6 |
doi_str_mv |
10.1515/9781400830688?locatt=mode:legacy |
oclc_num |
979881597 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT turchinpeter secularcycles AT nefedovsergeya secularcycles |
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ids_txt_mv |
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hierarchy_parent_title |
Title is part of eBook package: De Gruyter Princeton University Press eBook-Package Backlist 2000-2013 |
is_hierarchy_title |
Secular Cycles / |
container_title |
Title is part of eBook package: De Gruyter Princeton University Press eBook-Package Backlist 2000-2013 |
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