How to Build a Modern Tontine : : Algorithms, Scripts and Tips.
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Superior document: | Future of Business and Finance Series |
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Place / Publishing House: | Cham : : Springer International Publishing AG,, 2022. Ã2022. |
Year of Publication: | 2022 |
Edition: | 1st ed. |
Language: | English |
Series: | Future of Business and Finance Series
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Online Access: | |
Physical Description: | 1 online resource (169 pages) |
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Table of Contents:
- Intro
- Preface
- Acknowledgements
- Contents
- About the Author
- List of Figures
- List of Tables
- 1 Why Tontines? Why Now?
- 1.1 Retirement vs. Decumulation
- 1.2 Annuity Benefits: Credits vs. Insurance
- 1.3 How Does This Book Differ from All the Other Books?
- 1.4 Outline and Plan
- 1.5 Tontine Literature: What (and Who) Else to Read
- 1.5.1 A. Chen
- 1.5.2 J.M. Bravo
- 1.5.3 C. Donnelly
- 1.5.4 R.K. Fullmer
- 1.5.5 M. Guillen
- 1.5.6 S. Haberman
- 1.5.7 J. Piggott
- 1.5.8 E. Pittacco
- 1.5.9 R. Rogalla
- 1.5.10 T.S. Salisbury
- 1.5.11 M.J. Sabin
- 1.5.12 M. Sherris
- 1.5.13 M.J. Stamos
- 1.5.14 J.H. Weinert
- References
- 2 Financial and Actuarial Background
- 2.1 Setting the Stage
- 2.2 Investment Returns: Notation and Moments
- 2.3 But Why Logarithms?
- 2.4 Gompertz Survival Probabilities
- 2.5 Need-to-Know: Annuity Values
- 2.5.1 Life Only Immediate Annuity
- 2.5.2 Refund at Death IA
- References
- 3 Building a Tontine Simulation in R
- 3.1 On Rates, Yields and Returns
- 3.2 Life &
- Death: Known Parameters
- 3.2.1 Doubly Stochastic Death
- 3.3 Investment Returns
- 3.4 Dividend &
- Fund Values
- 3.4.1 Temporary Life Income Annuities
- 3.4.2 A Perfect Fund Value Over Time
- 3.4.3 Fixed Rules in a Variable World
- 3.4.4 The Natural Tontine Rule
- 3.4.5 The Cumulative Payout
- 3.5 Conclusion and What's Next
- 3.6 Test Yourself
- 4 Statistical Risk Management
- 4.1 Stable Tontine Dividends: Defined
- 4.2 Riskier Portfolios and Wider Bands
- 4.3 What's Worse: Mortality or Markets?
- 4.4 Excess Life
- 4.5 Conclusion and What's Next
- 4.6 Test Yourself
- 5 Death Benefits, Refunds and Covenants
- 5.1 Set Your Seed
- 5.2 Can You Get Your Money Back?
- 5.3 Modern Tontine v2.0
- 5.4 The Intuition of Refunds
- 5.5 The Tontine Dashboard
- 5.6 Lapses, Surrenders and Other Regrets.
- 5.7 The Final Act: Version 3.0
- 5.8 Conclusion
- 5.9 Test Yourself
- 6 Goodbye LogNormal Distribution
- 6.1 Statement of the Historical Problem
- 6.2 Measuring Skewness and Kurtosis
- 6.3 Continuously Compounded vs. Effective Annual
- 6.4 Quantile Plots of Investment Returns
- 6.5 Serial Autocorrelation of Returns
- 6.6 The SP500 Total Return
- 6.7 Path Forward for Deviations from LogNormality
- 6.8 Basic Historical Bootstrap
- 6.9 Monthly to Annual
- 6.10 How Do Higher Moments Affect Tontine Payouts?
- 6.11 Conclusion: How Much Should We Worry?
- 6.12 Test Yourself
- 7 Squeezing the Most from Mortality
- 7.1 Assumptions Versus Realizations
- 7.2 No Mortality: Natural Decumulation
- 7.3 Isolating Mortality Credits
- 7.4 Fitting Gompertz at the Table
- 7.5 A Look Under the (Mortality) Table
- 7.6 Projection Factors: Today vs. the Future
- 7.7 Working Discretely
- 7.8 Test Yourself
- 8 Managing a Competitive Tontine Business
- 8.1 Floors &
- Failure
- 8.2 Mixing Cohorts, Genders and Initial Sums
- 8.3 Test Yourself
- 9 Solutions and Advanced Hints
- 9.1 Chapter 3: Brief Solutions to Test Yourself Qs.
- 9.2 Chapter 4: Brief Solutions to Test Yourself Qs.
- 9.3 Chapter 5: Brief Solutions to Test Yourself Qs.
- 9.4 Chapter 6: Brief Solutions to Test Yourself Qs.
- 9.5 Chapter 7: Brief Solutions to Test Yourself Qs.
- 9.6 Chapter 8: Brief Solutions to Test Yourself Qs.
- 10 Concluding Remarks: Tontine Thinking
- 10.1 What Is Modern About a Tontine?
- Correction to: Concluding Remarks: Tontine Thinking.