Global Political Demography : : The Politics of Population Change.
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Place / Publishing House: | Cham : : Springer International Publishing AG,, 2021. ©2021. |
Year of Publication: | 2021 |
Edition: | 1st ed. |
Language: | English |
Online Access: | |
Physical Description: | 1 online resource (472 pages) |
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Table of Contents:
- Intro
- Preface
- About This Book
- Contents
- Contributors
- List of Figures
- List of Tables
- 1 Introduction: Political Demography as an Analytical Window on Our World
- 1 Why We Need a Political Demography Lens
- 2 Demographic Megatrends: Global Political Game Changers
- 3 Grey Power and Voting: Pro-Elderly Policy Bias and the Rise of Gerontocracy?
- 4 Putting the Global Political Demography Database to Work
- 4.1 The Age Composition of Societies
- 4.2 International Migration
- 4.3 Patterns of Covariation Between Population and Political Indicators
- 5 Globally Crosscutting Themes of Political Demography: Migration, Religion and Age Profiles
- 6 The 'Old' Continent: Is the European Phoenix Going Back to Ashes?
- 7 The Politics of Routine Mass Immigration: Australia and New Zealand
- 8 The Ever-Diverging American Continent
- 9 The African Continent: Frustrated Youth as a Simmering Threat to Political Order
- 10 The Asian Continent: Population Giants on the Move
- 11 Political Demography as a Perspective on Global Challenges
- References
- 2 Migration in Political Demography: A Review of Evidence
- 1 Introduction: The Problem Stated
- 2 Populations, Migrations and Political Development: Broad Perspectives
- 3 Migration and the Creation of the State: The Exclusionary Dimension
- 4 Migration and the Creation of the State: The Inclusionary Dimension
- 5 Migration and the Transformation of the State
- 6 Conclusion: Towards More Systematic Approaches to Migration in Political Demography
- References
- 3 Youthful Age Structures and the Risks of Revolutionary and Separatist Conflicts
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Theory
- 2.1 The Youth Bulge Hypothesis
- 2.2 Hypotheses
- 3 Methods
- 3.1 The Sample
- 3.2 Temporal Extent of Data
- 3.3 Outcome Variables
- 3.4 Independent Variables.
- 3.5 Age-Structural Models Versus Extended Models
- 3.6 Alternative Independent Variables
- 4 Results
- 4.1 Age-Structural Models: Revolutionary Conflict Hypotheses
- 4.2 Age-Structural Models: Separatist Conflict Hypotheses
- 4.3 Models with Fixed Effects
- 5 Looking Back: A Discrete Test of the Models
- 5.1 Revolutionary Conflict
- 5.2 Separatist Conflict
- 6 Looking Forward: A Forecast of Trends in Revolutionary Conflict
- 7 Conclusions
- 7.1 Discussion: The Persistence of Separatist Conflict
- 7.2 Outlook: Intrastate Conflict's Future
- 7.3 Future Research
- References
- 4 Poverty and Religious Affiliation Worldwide, 1970-2010
- 1 Introduction: Poor Man's Religion?
- 2 Religion and Poverty
- 3 Data and Methods
- 3.1 Religious Affiliation Data
- 4 Findings and Discussion
- 5 Conclusion
- References
- 5 Ageing China: The People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan
- 1 Introduction
- 2 The People's Republic in the Post-Mao Era: Constructing a Modern Socialist Society
- 2.1 Macao
- 2.2 Hong Kong
- 2.3 Taiwan
- 3 CCP Counter-Measures: Post-2013 Top-Level Coordination
- 4 Narrating and Framing the Reforms
- 5 Conclusions and Outlook
- References
- 6 Demographic Politics in Asia's Super-Size Democracies: India, Bangladesh and Pakistan
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Demographic Profile and Changes, 1990-2040
- 3 Factors Leading to Demographic Change
- 4 Regional and Religious Demographic Diversity
- 4.1 India: Countries Within a Country
- 4.2 Pakistan: Regional Diversity with Religious Homogeneity
- 4.3 Bangladesh: Densely Populated
- Sparsely Heterogeneous
- 5 The Political Repercussion of Demographic Change
- 5.1 Age Structure and Voting Pattern
- 5.2 Regional Diversity and Constitutional Politics
- 5.3 Religious and Caste Diversity
- 6 Conclusion
- References.
- 7 Getting Old Before Getting Rich (and not Fully Realizing It): Premature Ageing and the Demographic Momentum in Southeast Asia
- 1 Introduction: Political Demography in Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines
- 2 Demographic Trends, 1990-2040
- 3 Reasons for the Demographic Developments
- 4 Political Implications of the Demographic Changes: The Illusions of Demographic Momentum?
- 4.1 Pension Systems and Retirement Age
- 4.2 The Demographic Dividend and Youth Unemployment
- 4.3 Migration and Urbanization
- 4.4 Regional, Ethnic and Religious Differences of Population Growth
- 5 Conclusion: The Risk of Premature Ageing
- References
- 8 The Oldest Societies in Asia: The Politics of Ageing in South Korea and Japan
- 1 General Demographic Development
- 2 Political Institutions
- 3 Demographic Change, Political Power &
- Voter Mobilization and Turnout
- 4 Public Policies of Population Ageing
- 5 Immigration
- 6 Conclusion
- References
- 9 Demographic Change and Political Order in Sub-Saharan Africa: How Côte d'Ivoire and Uganda Deal with Youth Bulge and Politicized Migration
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Demographic Change in Uganda and Côte d'Ivoire
- 2.1 Demographic Trends
- 2.2 Youth Unemployment
- 2.3 Institutional Responses to Demographic Change
- 3 Demographic Change, Political Participation and Youth Violence
- 3.1 Formal Political Engagement
- 3.2 Youth-Specific Mobilization
- 3.3 Youth Violence and Civil War
- 4 Conclusion
- References
- 10 The Maghreb Region: Waithood, the Myth of Youth Bulges and the Reality of Frustrated Aspirations
- 1 Introduction: Political Demography in Tunisia and Morocco
- 2 Demographic Trends in Morocco and Tunisia
- 3 Young People's Social and Economic Circumstances
- 4 Waithood
- 5 Migration
- 6 Do Morocco and Tunisia Face a Youth-Related Crisis Nowadays?.
- 7 Consequences of Demographic Changes for Regime Stability and Legitimacy
- 8 Conclusions
- References
- 11 It Is All About the Numbers of Immigrants: Population and Politics in Australia and New Zealand
- 1 Introduction: Recent Demographic Trends in Australia and New Zealand
- 2 Background: The Period to 1991
- 3 Fertility as an Object of Policy Since 1991
- 3.1 The Rationale of Australian Migration Policy Is Changed-The 1990s
- 3.2 Formal Migration Since 1991
- 4 The Politics of Regular International Migration in Australia Since 1991
- 4.1 Discrimination on the Basis of Race
- 4.2 Environment, Infrastructure and the Economy
- 5 The Politics of Irregular International Migration
- 6 Public Opinion on Australia's Immigration Policy
- 7 The Contemporary Situation
- 8 Conclusion
- References
- 12 The Politics of Demography in Unequal Societies: Argentina and Brazil Compared
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Migration and Ethnicity
- 2.1 Migration
- 2.2 Ethnicity
- 3 Urbanization and Class Division
- 3.1 Urbanization
- 3.2 Socially Fractured Cities
- 3.3 Inequality
- 4 Population Ageing
- 5 Conclusion
- References
- 13 Intergenerational Controversy and Cultural Clashes: Political Consequences of Demographic Change in the US and Canada Since 1990
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Demographic Context
- 3 Economic Clout
- 4 Mobilization Capacity
- 5 Institutions
- 6 Rhetoric
- 7 Conclusion
- References
- 14 Population Ageing, Immigration and the Welfare State: The Political Demography in Western Europe
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Population Ageing in Western Europe
- 3 The Challenges of Population Ageing for the Welfare State
- 4 Changing Pension and Family Policies in Italy, Germany and Sweden
- 5 Migration, Public Attitudes and the Welfare State
- 6 Conclusion
- References.
- 15 The Political Demography of Missed Opportunity: Populations and Policies in a Younger but Faster-Ageing East Central Europe, 1990-2040
- 1 Political Demography in Postcommunist Europe: A Long Demographic Window of Opportunity, Now Closed
- 2 "Pensioners' Welfare States" on the Path to Premature Pro-elderly Bias: Political Push Before Demographic Pull
- 3 Pension Policies: The Belated Closing of Early Labour Market Exit Windows
- 4 Pro-Family Policy as a Belated Remedy for Lower Fertility?
- 5 A Belated Active Ageing Policy Paradigm?
- 6 Conclusions: The Pervasive Political Failure to Prepare for the Demographic Elephant-on-the-Move
- References
- 16 Combating Low Life Expectancy and Low Fertility in Tumultuous Political Times: A Comparison of the Ukraine, Russia and Belarus
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Demographic Trends and Political Entanglement
- 3 Declining Fertility Rate and Government Responses
- 3.1 Belarus
- 3.2 Russia
- 3.3 Ukraine
- 4 Political Determinants of Pension Reforms
- 4.1 Belarus
- 4.2 Russia
- 4.3 Ukraine
- 5 Understanding Migration Politics
- 5.1 Belarus
- 5.2 Russia
- 5.3 Ukraine
- 6 Conclusion
- References
- 17 Epilogue: Global Political Demography-A Depressing Outlook?
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Demographic Challenges
- Demographic Responses
- 3 Into the 2020s: Going from Bad to Worse?
- 4 A Multidimensional, Intersectional Approach
- References
- Index.