The Hindu Kush Himalaya Assessment : : Mountains, Climate Change, Sustainability and People.
Saved in:
: | |
---|---|
TeilnehmendeR: | |
Place / Publishing House: | Cham : : Springer International Publishing AG,, 2019. Ã2019. |
Year of Publication: | 2019 |
Edition: | 1st ed. |
Language: | English |
Online Access: | |
Physical Description: | 1 online resource (638 pages) |
Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
Table of Contents:
- Intro
- Foreword
- Contents
- 1 Introduction to the Hindu Kush Himalaya Assessment
- 1.1 Global Mountain Perspective
- 1.2 The Hindu Kush Himalaya-A Global Asset
- 1.3 Key Issues of the HKH
- 1.4 Overall Objective, Rationale and Key Questions
- 1.4.1 Overall Objective
- 1.4.2 Rationale for the Assessment
- 1.4.3 Key Questions
- 1.5 Vision
- 1.6 HKH Priorities Contributing to the Sustainable Development Goals
- 1.7 Conceptual Framing of the Assessment
- 1.8 Assessment Process
- 1.9 Outline of the Assessment
- References
- 2 Drivers of Change to Mountain Sustainability in the Hindu Kush Himalaya
- 2.1 Pillars and Drivers of Sustainability in HKH Mountains
- 2.2 Environmental Drivers of Change to Mountain Sustainability
- 2.2.1 Land Use and Land Cover Change
- 2.2.2 Over-Exploitation of Natural Resources
- 2.2.2.1 Extraction of Non-timber Forest Products (NTFPs)
- 2.2.2.2 Unsustainable Grazing
- 2.2.2.3 Illegal Hunting
- 2.2.2.4 Tourism
- 2.2.2.5 Mining
- 2.2.3 Pollution
- 2.2.3.1 Water Pollution: Organic and Inorganic
- 2.2.3.2 Solid Waste and Soil Pollution
- 2.2.3.3 Sources of Pollution
- 2.2.4 Invasive Alien Species (IAS)
- 2.2.4.1 Status of IAS Studies in HKH
- 2.2.4.2 Pathways of Introduction
- 2.2.4.3 Major Effects at Ecosystem Level
- 2.2.5 Mountain Hazards
- 2.2.5.1 Types of Mountain Hazards: Earthquakes, Landslides, and Erosion
- 2.2.5.2 Effects of Mountain Hazards: Casualties, Financial Loss, Farmland Loss, Damaged Roads
- 2.2.5.3 Impact of Mountain Hazards Amplified by Climate Change
- 2.2.6 Climate Change and Variability
- 2.2.6.1 Environmental Effects
- 2.2.6.2 Socioeconomic Effects
- 2.3 Sociocultural Drivers of Change to Mountain Sustainability
- 2.3.1 Changing Demographic Situation
- 2.3.2 Changing Sociocultural Situation
- 2.3.3 Governance Systems and Institutions.
- 2.3.4 External Knowledge and Technological Innovations
- 2.3.4.1 Information and Communications Technology (ICT)
- 2.3.4.2 Geospatial Technology and Improved Regional Perspectives
- 2.3.4.3 Biotechnological Applications in Agricultural Production Systems
- 2.4 Economic Drivers of Change to Mountain Sustainability
- 2.4.1 Economic Growth and Differentiation
- 2.4.2 Rapid Infrastructure Development
- 2.4.3 Urban and Peri-urban Expansion
- 2.4.3.1 National and Regional Capitals
- 2.4.3.2 New Hotspots of Territorialization
- 2.4.3.3 Old Urbanization with Own Production Systems
- 2.4.3.4 Resort Towns for Tourism and Second Homes
- 2.4.3.5 Local Centres
- 2.5 Conclusions
- References
- 3 Unravelling Climate Change in the Hindu Kush Himalaya: Rapid Warming in the Mountains and Increasing Extremes
- 3.1 Our Understanding of the HKH Climate Needs to Be Improved
- 3.2 Weather and Climate Mean Conditions in the HKH
- 3.2.1 Major Features of Climatology: Topographic Control, Seasons, and Liquid and Solid Precipitation
- 3.2.2 Climate Dominated by Monsoon
- 3.2.3 Climate Influenced by Large-Scale Climate Elements
- 3.3 Past HKH Climate Changes Were at Decadal to Greater Than Multi-millennial Time Scales
- 3.3.1 Significant Warming Characterized HKH Surface Air Temperature Trends in Past Decades
- 3.3.2 Precipitation Did Not Show Clear Trends in the Past Decades
- 3.3.3 Decreasing Near-Surface Wind Speed, Solar Radiation, and Sunshine Duration Indicated by Scanty Data
- 3.3.4 Significant Changes in the Temperature and Precipitation Extremes in Past Decades
- 3.3.5 Progressively Greater Warming with Elevation
- 3.4 Climate Models Project Increases in HKH Temperature and Precipitation in the 21st Century
- 3.4.1 Significant Warming Projected, Greater Than Global Average.
- 3.4.2 Precipitation Projected to Increase, but with Regional Diversity
- 3.5 Limitations and Gaps in the Analysis
- Annex 1: Data and Methods for Analysis of Past Temperature
- Annex 2: Data and Methods for Analysis of Past Precipitation
- Annex 3: Analysis of CMIP5 Data
- Annex 4: Analysis of CORDEX Data
- References
- 4 Exploring Futures of the Hindu Kush Himalaya: Scenarios and Pathways
- 4.1 HKH Scenarios for 2080
- 4.1.1 Global Scenarios and Regional Outlooks
- 4.1.2 Challenges and Opportunities for the HKH
- 4.1.3 Storyline for HKH Scenario: "Downhill"
- 4.1.4 Storyline for HKH Scenario: "Business as Usual"
- 4.1.5 Storyline for HKH Scenario: "Prosperous HKH"
- 4.2 HKH Baseline in 2015
- 4.2.1 National Considerations
- 4.3 Tracking Trends and Commitments for 2030: SDG's and NDC's in the HKH
- 4.3.1 Existing Sectoral Commitments Toward 2030 Sectoral/Thematic Considerations
- 4.4 Two Paths Toward a Prosperous HKH
- 4.4.1 Major Emerging Opportunities in the HKH
- 4.4.2 Two Pathways and Distinguishing Actions
- 4.4.3 Two Pathways but Common Actions
- 4.4.4 Actions to Avoid Downhill and Business as Usual (BAU) Scenarios
- 4.5 Beyond 2050 to 2080: Knowledge Gaps and Ways Forward
- References
- 5 Sustaining Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services in the Hindu Kush Himalaya
- 5.1 Mountain Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services: A Major Global Asset Under Threat
- 5.2 The Rich Biodiversity of the HKH Region
- 5.2.1 Ecosystem Diversity
- 5.2.2 Species Diversity
- 5.2.3 Genetic Diversity
- 5.2.4 Functional Diversity
- 5.3 Ecosystem Services-The Source of Human Wellbeing
- 5.3.1 Social Value of Ecosystem Services
- 5.3.2 Cultural Value of Ecosystem Services
- 5.3.3 Ecological Value of Ecosystem Services
- 5.3.4 Economic Value of Ecosystem Services
- 5.3.5 Changing Ecosystem Services of the HKH Region.
- 5.3.6 Trade-offs and Synergies-Implications for Development
- 5.4 Conservation and Management Practices
- 5.4.1 Flagship and Keystone Species Conservation
- 5.4.2 Protected Areas Management
- 5.4.3 Conservation Through Traditional Knowledge
- 5.4.4 The Landscape Approach-Recognizing Complexity and Understanding Linkages
- 5.4.5 Participatory Forest Resources Management Practices
- 5.4.6 National and International Policies and Legislations-Support for Biodiversity Conservation
- 5.5 Sustaining Ecosystems-Challenges, Opportunities, and Strategies
- 5.5.1 An Integrated Approach-The Landscape as a Socio-Ecological System
- 5.5.2 Building Knowledge-Science in Support of Decision-Making
- 5.5.3 Regional Cooperation for Regional Challenges and Opportunities
- 5.5.4 National and Global Investment-Securing Future of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services
- 5.6 Conclusion
- References
- 6 Meeting Future Energy Needs in the Hindu Kush Himalaya
- 6.1 Introduction
- 6.1.1 Setting the Scene: The Transition Challenge
- 6.1.2 Transformation in Energy Systems: Multidimensional Linkages
- 6.1.3 Framework and Roadmap
- 6.2 Energy Demand and Supply-Trends and Patterns
- 6.2.1 Biophysical and Socioeconomic Context Shaping Energy Demand
- 6.2.2 Energy Demand and Consumption Characteristics
- 6.2.3 Ensuring Sustainable Energy Supply
- 6.3 National Energy Policies, Programmes, Institutions, and Markets
- 6.3.1 Energy in Relation to National Development Strategies
- 6.3.2 National Energy Policy Framework, Programmes, and Markets
- 6.3.3 Cross-Regional Experiences and Recommendations
- 6.4 Challenges and Opportunities for Sustainable Energy
- 6.4.1 Key Sustainable Energy Concerns in the HKH
- 6.4.2 Links Between Energy and the SDGs: Synergies and Trade-offs
- 6.4.3 Assessing the Vulnerability of Vital Energy Services and Systems.
- 6.4.4 Overcoming Barriers and Seizing Potential Opportunities
- 6.5 Future Energy Scenarios and Pathways
- 6.5.1 Future Energy Scenarios of HKH Countries
- 6.5.2 Pathways Towards Rural Electrification
- 6.5.3 Pathways Towards Sustainable Clean Cooking Energy
- 6.5.4 A Sustainable Energy Future: Barriers and Opportunities
- 6.6 Energy Cooperation in HKH: National, Regional, and Global Linkages
- 6.6.1 Energy Challenges and Regional Cooperation
- 6.6.2 Models for Energy Cooperation
- 6.6.3 Role of Multi-level Governance in Securing Sustainable Energy in HKH
- 6.6.4 Climate Change, Energy Resilience, and Regional Energy Cooperation
- 6.7 Way Forward
- References
- 7 Status and Change of the Cryosphere in the Extended Hindu Kush Himalaya Region
- 7.1 Situating the Cryosphere in the Hindu Kush Himalaya and Tibetan Plateau-Pamir Region
- 7.1.1 Defining the Extended HKH Region from a Cryosphere Perspective
- 7.1.2 Regional Climate
- 7.2 Snow
- 7.2.1 Monitoring of Snow
- 7.2.1.1 Field Measurement
- 7.2.1.2 Remote Sensing Measurement
- 7.2.1.3 Regional Differences in Snow Cover
- 7.2.2 Observed Changes
- 7.2.2.1 Hindu Kush-Himalaya-Karakoram
- 7.2.2.2 Pamir
- 7.2.2.3 Tibetan Plateau
- 7.2.3 Projected Changes
- 7.2.4 Recommendations
- 7.3 Glaciers
- 7.3.1 Measuring Glacier Change
- 7.3.1.1 Glacier Area
- 7.3.1.2 Glacier Volume
- 7.3.1.3 In Situ Mass Balance Measurements and Reference Glaciers
- 7.3.2 Observed Changes
- 7.3.2.1 Hindu Kush-Himalaya-Karakoram
- 7.3.2.2 Pamir
- 7.3.2.3 Tibetan Plateau
- 7.3.3 Glacier Projections
- 7.3.3.1 Near-Term Glacier Change (2030)
- 7.3.3.2 Medium-Term Glacier Change (2050)
- 7.3.3.3 Long-Term Glacier Change (2080 and 2100)
- 7.3.4 Recommendations
- 7.4 Glacial Lakes
- 7.4.1 Occurrence
- 7.4.2 Observed Change
- 7.4.3 Projections
- 7.4.4 Recommendations
- 7.5 Permafrost.
- 7.5.1 Occurrence.