Ecosystem Services for Well-Being in Deltas : : Integrated Assessment for Policy Analysis.

• Author: Nicholls, Robert J.
• TeilnehmendeR: Hutton, Craig W.; Adger, W. Neil.; Hanson, Susan E.; Rahman, Munsur.; Salehin, Mashfiqus.
• Place / Publishing House: Cham : : Springer International Publishing AG,, 2018.; ©2018.
• Year of Publication: 2018
• Edition: 1st ed.
• Language: English
• Physical Description: 1 online resource (615 pages)

Table of Contents

Intro -- Dedication -- Foreword -- Deltas, Ecosystem Services and the Sustainable Well-Being of Humans and the Rest of Nature -- Participants from the Following Organisations Attended Workshops Within the Project -- Preface -- Acknowledgements -- Contents -- Notes on Contributors -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- Part 1: Research Highlights and Framework -- 1: Ecosystem Services, Well-Being and Deltas: Current Knowledge and Understanding -- 1.1 Introduction -- 1.2 Ecosystem Services: Current Understanding -- 1.3 Ecosystems and Well-Being: The Current Debate -- 1.4 Ecosystem Processes and Services in Deltas -- 1.5 Social Drivers, Constraints and Dynamics in the Realisation of Well-Being from Ecosystem Services -- 1.6 Contributions of this Book -- 1.7 Conclusion -- References -- 2: Ecosystem Services Linked to Livelihoods and Well-Being in the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna Delta -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.2 Key Findings from Systems Perspectives on Well-Being and Ecosystem Services -- 2.2.1 New Analysis of Ecosystems as Critical to Poverty and Development -- 2.2.2 Social Mechanisms Co-vary with the Bundles of Ecosystem Services -- 2.2.3 Spatial Variation in Ecosystem Services within Delta Environments -- 2.2.4 Temporal Variations in Well-Being from Ecosystems -- 2.2.5 Ecosystem Service Trade-offs between Social-­Ecological Systems and Labour Mobility -- 2.3 Ecosystem Services in Changing Delta Agricultural Economies -- 2.4 Conclusion -- References -- 3: An Integrated Approach Providing Scientific and Policy-Relevant Insights for South-West Bangladesh -- 3.1 Introduction -- 3.2 Key Insights Concerning Coastal Bangladesh -- 3.2.1 Present Status -- 3.2.2 Potential Trends for Coastal Bangladesh -- 3.2.3 Trends in Ecosystem Services -- 3.3 Integrated Assessment Using the Delta Dynamic Integrated Emulator Model.

3.4 Policy Implications -- 3.5 Relevance to the Sustainable Development Goals -- 3.6 Discussion -- 3.7 Conclusions -- References -- 4: Integrative Analysis for the Ganges-­Brahmaputra-­Meghna Delta, Bangladesh -- 4.1 The Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna Delta and Study Area -- 4.2 Research Challenges in the Ganges-­Brahmaputra-­Meghna Delta -- 4.3 Aims and Objectives of This Research -- 4.4 The Research Approach -- 4.5 Linking to the Policy Process -- References -- Part 2: Present Status of the Ganges-Brahmaputra- Meghna Delta -- 5: Recent Trends in Ecosystem Services in Coastal Bangladesh -- 5.1 Introduction -- 5.2 Location and Data Sources -- 5.3 Ecosystem Services and Drivers -- 5.3.1 Provisioning Services -- 5.3.2 Regulating and Habitat Services -- 5.3.3 Environmental Drivers -- 5.4 Social Trends and Well-Being -- 5.4.1 Links Between Ecosystem Services and Well-Being -- 5.4.2 Links Between Provisioning and Regulating Services -- 5.5 Regional Resilience -- References -- 6: Governance of Ecosystem Services Across Scales in Bangladesh -- 6.1 Introduction -- 6.2 Policy and Legislation -- 6.2.1 The International Context -- 6.2.2 National Governance and Implementation -- 6.3 Relationship Between Policy and Legislation -- 6.4 Linking with the Integrated Modelling -- 6.5 Conclusions -- References -- 7: Health, Livelihood and Well-Being in the Coastal Delta of Bangladesh -- 7.1 Introduction -- 7.2 Coastal Livelihoods and Relation to Health -- 7.3 Food Security and Nutrition in Relation to Health -- 7.4 Water and Health -- 7.5 Health Risks from Natural Hazards -- 7.6 Gender and Health -- 7.7 Conclusion -- References -- 8: Floods and the Ganges-Brahmaputra-­Meghna Delta -- 8.1 Introduction -- 8.2 Fluvial Floods -- 8.3 Tidal Floods -- 8.4 Fluvio-Tidal Floods -- 8.5 Storm Surge Floods -- 8.6 Summary -- References.

Part 3: Scenarios for Policy Analysis -- 9: Integrating Science and Policy Through Stakeholder-Engaged Scenarios -- 9.1 Introduction -- 9.2 Scenario Framework -- 9.3 Climate -- 9.4 Socio-economic Change -- 9.4.1 Quantification of the Qualitative Narratives -- 9.4.2 Management Interventions and Adaptation Responses -- 9.5 Key Insights -- References -- 10: Incorporating Stakeholder Perspectives in Scenario Development -- 10.1 Introduction -- 10.2 Stakeholder Mapping -- 10.3 Identification of Key Issues -- 10.4 Scenario Development Process -- 10.5 Scenario Narratives -- 10.6 Conclusions -- Appendix: Socio-economic Scenario Narratives for Bangladesh -- Business as Usual -- Land Use -- Water -- International Cooperation -- Disaster Management -- Environmental Management -- Quality of Life and Livelihoods -- More Sustainable (MS) than BAU -- Land Use -- Water -- International Cooperation -- Disaster Management -- Environmental Management -- Quality of Life and Livelihoods -- Less Sustainable (LS) than BAU -- Land Use -- Water -- International Cooperation -- Disaster Management -- Environmental Management -- Quality of Life and Livelihoods -- References -- 11: Regional Climate Change over South Asia -- 11.1 Introduction -- 11.2 Climate of Bangladesh -- 11.3 Climate Model Simulations -- 11.4 Future Climate Change Projections for Bangladesh -- 11.5 Conclusions -- References -- 12: Future Scenarios of Economic Development -- 12.1 Introduction -- 12.2 Principal Components of Macro-­economic Change: Bangladesh and Delta -- 12.2.1 Current Macro-economic Context -- 12.2.2 Patterns of Resource and Land Ownership -- 12.2.2.1 Future Scenarios: To 2030 -- 12.2.3 Levels of Public Health and Education Provision -- 12.2.3.1 Future Scenarios: To 2030 -- 12.2.4 Level of Transport Infrastructure Investment -- 12.2.4.1 Future Scenarios: To 2030.

12.2.5 Factor and Product Market Competition -- 12.2.5.1 Future Scenarios: To 2030 -- 12.2.6 Access to, and Cost of, Financial Capital -- 12.2.6.1 Future Scenarios: To 2030 -- 12.2.7 Export Market Strategy -- 12.2.7.1 Future Scenarios: To 2030 -- 12.2.8 Fiscal Strategy and Stability -- 12.2.8.1 Future Scenarios: To 2030 -- 12.2.9 Natural Resource Management -- 12.2.9.1 Future Scenarios: To 2030 -- 12.2.10 Population Policy -- 12.2.10.1 Future Scenarios: To 2030 -- 12.2.11 Governance -- 12.2.11.1 Future Scenarios: To 2030 -- 12.2.12 Macro-Economic Policy Levers -- 12.3 Quantified Future Trends for Economic Input Variables to 2030 -- 12.4 Conclusions -- References -- Part 4: Observations and Potential Trends -- 13: Biophysical Modelling of the Ganges, Brahmaputra, and Meghna Catchment -- 13.1 Introduction -- 13.1.1 Ganges River -- 13.1.2 Brahmaputra River -- 13.2 Precipitation in the GBM Basin -- 13.3 GBM River Study -- 13.3.1 The INCA N and P Model -- 13.3.2 Climate Drivers for the GBM Rivers -- 13.4 Summary Results -- References -- 14: Marine Dynamics and Productivity in the Bay of Bengal -- 14.1 Introduction -- 14.2 Physical Description and Major Influences on Circulation in the Bay -- 14.3 Water Structure, Circulation and Productivity -- 14.4 Climate Change Trends -- 14.5 Tropical Cyclones in the Bay of Bengal -- 14.6 Summary of Issues for the Bay of Bengal -- References -- 15: A Sustainable Future Supply of Fluvial Sediment for the Ganges-Brahmaputra Delta -- 15.1 Introduction -- 15.2 Prognosis: New Insights -- 15.3 Policy Implications -- 15.3.1 Delta Building -- 15.3.2 Natural Fertilisation -- 15.4 Conclusion -- References -- 16: Present and Future Fluvial, Tidal and Storm Surge Flooding in Coastal Bangladesh -- 16.1 Introduction -- 16.2 Analysis of Fluvial, Tidal and Fluvio-tidal Flooding.

16.3 Analysis of Storm Surge Flooding -- 16.4 Discussion and Conclusions -- References -- 17: Modelling Tidal River Salinity in Coastal Bangladesh -- 17.1 Introduction -- 17.2 The Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) Delta -- 17.3 River Salinity Within the Delta -- 17.4 FVCOM Model -- 17.5 Baseline River Salinity Modelling -- 17.5.1 The Freshwater Plume -- 17.5.2 Salinity Projections -- 17.6 Conclusion -- References -- 18: Mechanisms and Drivers of Soil Salinity in Coastal Bangladesh -- 18.1 Introduction -- 18.2 Factors Influencing Soil Salinity in Coastal Bangladesh -- 18.2.1 Groundwater Salinity and Depth to Groundwater Table -- 18.2.2 River Water Salinity -- 18.2.3 Cyclonic Storm Surges -- 18.2.4 Irrigation Water Quality and Monsoon Rainfall -- 18.2.5 Brackish Shrimp Cultivation -- 18.3 Conclusions -- References -- 19: Population Dynamics in the South-West of Bangladesh -- 19.1 Introduction -- 19.2 Population Growth and Structure -- 19.3 Components of Population Change -- 19.3.1 Fertility -- 19.3.2 Mortality -- 19.3.3 Migration -- 19.3.4 Urbanisation -- 19.4 Future Scenarios and Policy Recommendations -- 19.5 Summary -- References -- 20: Land Cover and Land Use Analysis in Coastal Bangladesh -- 20.1 Introduction -- 20.2 The Development of Land Use Maps -- 20.3 Image Classification for Historical Maps -- 20.4 Extraction of Aquaculture and Trend Analysis -- 20.5 Differentiating Saline and Freshwater Aquaculture -- 20.6 Scenarios of Future Land Use -- 20.7 Discussion -- References -- 21: A Geospatial Analysis of the Social, Economic and Environmental Dimensions and Drivers of Poverty in South-West Coastal Bangladesh -- 21.1 Introduction -- 21.2 Background -- 21.3 Study Area -- 21.4 Data and Methodology -- 21.4.1 Socio-economic Data -- 21.4.2 Environmental Data -- 21.4.3 Methods -- 21.5 Results -- 21.6 Discussion.

References.