Political Risk and the Institutional Environment for Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America : : An Empirical Analysis with a Case Study on Mexico.

• Superior document: Goettinger Studien Zur Entwicklungsoekonomik / Goettingen Studies in Development Economics Series ; v.15
• Author: Stosberg, Jörg.
• Place / Publishing House: Frankfurt a.M. : : Peter Lang GmbH, Internationaler Verlag der Wissenschaften,, 2004.; {copy}2005.
• Year of Publication: 2004
• Edition: 1st ed.
• Language: English
• Series: Goettinger Studien Zur Entwicklungsoekonomik / Goettingen Studies in Development Economics Series
• Physical Description: 1 online resource (350 pages)

Table of Contents

Cover -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- List of Abbreviations -- List of Variables -- 1 Introduction -- 1.1 The Problem -- 1.2 Concept and Methodology -- 2. Risk in the Theory of Investment -- 2.1 General Theory of Investment -- 2.1.1 Basic Theory of Investment -- 2.1.1.1 Definition and Categories of Investment -- 2.1.1.2 Opportunity Costs, Time Preference and Net Present Value Approach -- 2.1.2 Models of Investment under Certainty -- 2.1.2.1 Overview -- 2.1.2.2 The q-theory of Tobin -- 2.1.2.2.1 The Basic Model -- 2.1.2.2.2 The Romer Model -- 2.1.2.2.2.1 The Model -- 2.1.2.2.2.2 Analyzing the Model -- 2.1.2.3 Critical Evaluation of the Models -- 2.1.3 Investment under Uncertainty -- 2.1.3.1 Overview -- 2.1.3.2 Characteristics of Uncertainty and Risk -- 2.1.3.3 Uncertainty in the Romer Model -- 2.1.3.3.1 Modification of the Model -- 2.1.3.3.2 Effects of Uncertainty on Reversible Investments -- 2.1.3.3.3 Effects of Uncertainty on Irreversible Investment -- 2.1.3.4 The Dixit/Pindyck Model -- 2.1.3.4.1 Overview -- 2.1.3.4.2 The Model -- 2.1.3.4.3 Analyzing the Model -- 2.1.3.5 Critical Evaluation of the Models -- 2.1.4 Summary of Propositions -- 2.2 Theory of International Investment -- 2.2.1 Overview -- 2.2.2 Definition and Characteristics of FDI -- 2.2.3 Theoretical Determinants of FDI -- 2.2.3.1 Overview -- 2.2.3.2 The Eclectic Paradigm as Analytical Framework -- 2.2.4 Empirical Studies of Aggregate FDI -- 2.2.4.1 Overview -- 2.2.4.2 Empirical Determinants of FDI -- 2.2.5 Political Risk and International Investment -- 2.2.5.1 Definition of Political Risk -- 2.2.5.2 Categories of Political Risk and Anecdotal Evidence -- 2.2.5.3 Modeling Political Risks for International investors -- 2.2.5.3.1 Existing Models of Political Risks -- 2.2.5.3.2 Implications of General Investment Models -- 2.2.5.4 Empirical Evidence -- 2.3 Concluding Remarks.

2.4 Chapter Summary -- 3. Political Risk and National Institutions -- 3.1 Political Institutions and Economic Performance -- 3.1.1 Overview -- 3.1.2 The Analytical Framework -- 3.1.2.1 Theoretical Foundations -- 3.1.2.2 Property Rights -- 3.1.2.3 The Concept of Credible Commitment -- 3.1.2.4 Rule of Law -- 3.1.2.5 Discretionary Freedom of the Government -- 3.1.2.6 The Concept of Social Capital -- 3.1.3 Political Regime Type and FDI -- 3.1.3.1 Systematic Order Of Political Regimes -- 3.1.3.2 Economic Analysis of Political Regimes -- 3.2. Modeling the Emergence of Political Risks -- 3.2.1 Classical Political Risk Models -- 3.2.2 The Political Constraints Model -- 3.2.3 The Effective Party Approach -- 3.2.4 Synthesis and Hypothesis -- 3.3 Empirical Measures of Political Risks -- 3.3.1 Overview -- 3.3.2 The International Country Risk Guide (ICRG) -- 3.3.3 The POLCON-Index -- 3.3.4 Critical Evaluations of the Indices -- 3.4 Mitigating Political Risk -- 3.4.1 Overview -- 3.4.2 National Mitigation Strategies -- 3.4.2.1 Investment Incentives, Social Standards and Environmental Legislation -- 3.4.2.2 Macroeconomic Stability -- 3.4.2.3 Accountability, Transparency and Rules-Based Governance -- 3.4.3 International Strategies -- 3.4.3.1 Multilateral Agreements -- 3.4.3.2 Bilateral Agreements and Regional Integration -- 3.5 Conclusion -- 3.6 Chapter Summary -- 4. Political Risk and FDI in Latin America -- 4.1 Stylized Facts on Foreign Investment in Latin America -- 4.2 Empirical Investigation of the Impact of Political Risk on FDI -- 4.2.1 Methodology -- 4.2.2 Model Specification -- 4.2.3 Data Issues -- 4.2.4 Results -- 4.3 Conclusions -- 4.4 Chapter Summary -- 5. Political Risk and FDI in Mexico -- 5.1 Politics in Mexico -- 5.1.1 Stylized Facts of Mexican Political History -- 5.1.2 The Current Political System in Mexico -- 5.1.2.1 Overview.

5.1.2.2 The Executive Branch of Government -- 5.1.2.3 The Legislative Branch of Government -- 5.1.2.4 The National Judiciary -- 5.1.2.5 The Political Parties -- 5.1.2.6 The Federalist System -- 5.1.2.7 Freedom of Speech, Press and Media -- 5.2 Foreign Capital Flows to Mexico -- 5.2.1 Brief Economic History -- 5.2.1.1 Overview -- 5.2.1.2 The Reform Period 1982-today -- 5.2.2 The Evolution of Foreign Investment to Mexico -- 5.2.2.1 The Mexican Foreign Investment Legislation -- 5.2.2.1.1 The Evolution of the National FDI Legislation -- 5.2.2.1.2 Investment Legislation of NAFTA and other Bilateral Agreements -- 5.2.2.2 Mexican Foreign Investment Policy and Inflows of FDI to Mexico -- 5.2.2.3 The Structure and Geographical Origins of FDI to Mexico -- 5.3 Political Risk in Mexico -- 5.3.1 Overview -- 5.3.2 The Macroeconomic Environment -- 5.3.3 Mexican Institutions and Risk -- 5.3.3.1 Government Stability, Political Constraints and Regime Type -- 5.3.3.2 Rule Of Law -- 5.3.3.3 Corruption -- 5.3.3.4 Protection of Property Rights -- 5.3.4 Societal Factors of Risk -- 5.3.4.1 Overview -- 5.3.4.2 Ethnic, Religious and other Internal Conflicts -- 5.3.4.3 Governmental Legitimacy in Mexico -- 5.3.5 Aggregate Political Risk in Mexico -- 5.4 Risk Mitigation Strategies in Mexico -- 5.4.1 National Risk Mitigation Strategies -- 5.4.1.1 Investment Enhancement by Incentives -- 5.4.1.2 The Beauty Contest -- 5.4.2 The International Risk Mitigation Strategy -- 5.5 Conclusion -- 5.6 Chapter Summary -- 6. Conclusion and Outlook -- Annex I -- Annex II -- References.