Africa in the New Trade Environment : : Market Access in Troubled Times.

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Place / Publishing House:Washington, D. C. : : World Bank Publications,, 2022.
©2021.
Year of Publication:2022
Edition:1st ed.
Language:English
Online Access:
Physical Description:1 online resource (361 pages)
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Table of Contents:
  • Front Cover
  • Contents
  • Foreword
  • Acknowledgments
  • About the Contributors
  • Abbreviations
  • Overview: Market Access Strategy in a New Trade Environment
  • Introduction
  • Ingredients for Sub-Saharan Africa's Market Access Strategy
  • How Can Sub-Saharan African Countries Boost Exports through Preferential Access to the EU and US Markets?
  • How Can Sub-Saharan African Countries Diversify Their Market Access?
  • How Could Regional Integration Initiatives Help This Dual Strategy to Succeed?
  • Contributions of This Volume
  • Notes
  • References
  • PART I Access to Traditional Markets: Taking Stock of Nonreciprocal Trade Agreements and the Way Forward
  • Chapter 1 Trade Impact of the AGOA: An Aggregate Perspective
  • Introduction
  • The African Growth and Opportunity Act
  • Trade Flows from Sub-Saharan Africa to the United States
  • Impact of the AGOA: Results from the Synthetic Control Method
  • Main Drivers of Exports under the AGOA
  • Conclusion
  • Annex 1A The Synthetic Control Method
  • Notes
  • References
  • Chapter 2 Preferential Access to the United States and Manufacturing Export Performance: A Product-Level Analysis
  • Introduction
  • A Product-Level Perspective from Disaggregated Export Data
  • US Trade Preferences: The GSP and AGOA
  • African Export Performance and the Role of the AGOA
  • Estimated Impacts of the AGOA and GSP LDC
  • Conclusion
  • Annex 2A WITS Sectoral Definition, Sub-Saharan Africa Data, and Commodity Prices
  • Annex 2B Impacts of the AGOA on Exports and Export Patterns
  • Annex 2C AGOA Impacts, by Country
  • Notes
  • References
  • Chapter 3 Comparative Analysis of AGOA and EBA Impacts: Evidence from West Africa
  • Introduction
  • Estimations of the Trade Impacts of the AGOA and EBA
  • ECOWAS Exports to the European Union and the United States since 2000
  • Empirical Specifications and Data.
  • Estimation Results
  • Differentiated Impacts of the AGOA and EBA on ECOWAS Countries
  • Policy Implications
  • Notes
  • References
  • PART II New Market Frontiers: Focus on East Asia
  • Chapter 4 Unlocking East Asian Markets to Sub-Saharan Africa
  • Introduction
  • Trends in Sub-Saharan Africa's Trade Relationships since the Late 1990s
  • Strengthening Sub-Saharan Africa's Market Position: A Demand-Side Analysis
  • Potential "Niche" Markets for Sub-Saharan Africa's Export Diversification
  • Fostering Trade Relations through Agreements
  • Does the Export Market Matter? A Literature Review
  • Empirical Strategy, Data, and Preliminary Analysis
  • Conclusion
  • Annex 4A Sample Firms
  • Notes
  • References
  • Chapter 5 Assessing the Global Value Chain Links between Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa
  • Introduction
  • Key Trade Patterns and GVC Links between Sub-Saharan Africa and Asia
  • Econometric Assessment of Sub-Saharan African Participation in Asian GVCs
  • Conclusion and Policy Implications
  • Annex 5A Supplementary Tables
  • Notes
  • References
  • PART III Looking Inward: Deepening Regional Integration and Value Chains
  • Chapter 6 The Promise and Challenge of the African Continental Free Trade Area
  • Introduction
  • Revisiting the Theory of Regional Integration in Light of the AfCFTA
  • Key Trends in Regional Trade and Integration in Africa
  • Intra-Africa Trade within Regional Economic Communities
  • Composition of Trade in Africa
  • The Promise of the AfCFTA: Evaluation of Its Impact on Economic Outcomes
  • The Challenges Facing the AfCFTA
  • Policy Implications
  • Annex 6A Logistics Performance and Gravity Model Results
  • Notes
  • References
  • Chapter 7 Nontariff Measures and Services Trade Restrictions in Global Value Chains
  • Introduction
  • What Is Africa's Experience in Global Value Chains?.
  • Are Nontariff Measures Limiting the GVC Participation of Firms in Sub-Saharan Africa?
  • Are Restrictive Services Sectors Limiting Sub-Saharan African Firms' GVC Participation?
  • What Will It Take for Africa to Create Regional Value Chains?
  • Some Regional Policy Options to Complement the AfCFTA
  • Notes
  • References
  • Boxes
  • Box 4.1 Exporting Fish to the European Union
  • Box 4.2 Growing Food Import Trends in Asia
  • Box 4.3 The China-Africa Cotton Industry
  • Box 7.1 Diversifying Production through Regional Cooperation
  • Figures
  • Figure O.1 Changes in Regional and Global Trade Trends, Relative to 2005, in Sub-Saharan Africa
  • Figure O.2 Trends in Sub-Saharan Africa's Exports of Goods to Regional Markets, 2005-17
  • Figure O.3 Trends in Sub-Saharan Africa's Trade in Goods, by Type and by Trade Partner Region, 2005-18
  • Figure O.4 Spaghetti Bowl of African Regional and Subregional Economic Communities, 2010
  • Figure O.5 GVC Participation of Sub-Saharan African Countries, as Measured by Their Shares of Total Exports from Foreign and Domestic Value Added, 2015
  • Figure 1.1 Sub-Saharan Africa's Exports to the United States, by Type, 2000-17
  • Figure 1.2 Average Annual Exports from AGOA-Eligible Countries to the United States, before and after the AGOA
  • Figure 1.3 Export Trends and Synthetic Controls Applied to AGOA-Eligible Sub-Saharan African Countries, 1993-2015
  • Figure 1.4 Trajectories of Nonfuel Exports from Leading East African Countries to the United States, by Product Category, 2000-15
  • Figure 1.5 Share of Foreign Value Added in Total Textile Exports from Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries to the United States, 1998-2015
  • Figure 2.1 US Average Tariffs on Products from Sub-Saharan Africa, before and after the AGOA
  • Figure 2.2 Relative Preference Margins in Apparel Exports to the US from Selected Countries, 1997-2017.
  • Figure 2.3 Sub-Saharan Africa's Share of World Exports, Total and Selected Sectors, 1997-2017
  • Figure 2.4 Share of Manufacturing in Total Exports, in Sub-Saharan Africa and by Country, circa 2000s-2010s
  • Figure 2.5 Destinations of Sub-Saharan Africa's Exports
  • Figure 2.6 Destinations of Sub-Saharan Africa's Manufacturing Exports
  • Figure 2.7 Destinations of Sub-Saharan Africa's Apparel Exports
  • Figure 2.8 Growth of Sub-Saharan Africa's Exports to the United States, circa 2000s-2010s
  • Figure 2.9 Four Stories of Apparel Exports from Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries, before and after the AGOA, 1997-2017
  • Figure 2.10 Average Impacts of the AGOA and GSP LDC on Sub-Saharan African Exports to the United States
  • Figure 2.11 Impacts of the AGOA and GSP on Exports of Eligible Products from Sub-Saharan African Countries, circa 2001-17
  • Figure 2.12 Impacts of the AGOA on Apparel Exports from Sub-Saharan Africa, by Subregion, 2001-17
  • Figure 2A.1 Total Exports of Sub-Saharan African Countries and Commodity Price Indexes, 1996-2016
  • Figure 2B.1 US Average Agricultural and Mining Tariffs on Sub-Saharan African Exports, by Preference Type, before and after the AGOA
  • Figure 2B.2 AGOA Preference Utilization by Sub-Saharan African Countries, 2001-17
  • Figure 2B.3 Sub-Saharan African Countries Exhibiting a "Missed Opportunities" Pattern, 1997-2017
  • Figure 2B.4 Sub-Saharan African Countries Exhibiting a "Boom-Bust" Pattern, 1997-2017
  • Figure 2B.5 Sub-Saharan African Countries Exhibiting a "Growth and Stagnation" Pattern, 1995-2016
  • Figure 2B.6 Sub-Saharan African Countries Exhibiting a "Late and Sustained Growth" Pattern, 1995-2016
  • Figure 2C.1 Baseline Impacts of the AGOA on Apparel Exports from Sub-Saharan Africa, by Country.
  • Figure 3.1 Change in Sub-Saharan African Exports to the European Union and the United States, by "Growth Performer" Group, 2009-13
  • Figure 3.2 ECOWAS Exports to the European Union and the United States, 2000-15
  • Figure 3.3 EU and US Imports from ECOWAS Countries, by Sector, 2000-15
  • Figure 3.4 Differentiated Impacts of the AGOA and EBA on ECOWAS Countries, 2001-15
  • Figure 4.1 Trends in Sub-Saharan Africa's Exports, by Destination, 1997-2017
  • Figure 4.2 Decomposition of Sub-Saharan Africa's Export and Import Shares, by Primary Partner Region, 1997-2016
  • Figure 4.3 Sub-Saharan Africa's Products Traded with All Countries, by Stage of Processing, 1997 and 2016
  • Figure 4.4 Five Asian Countries' Major Imports from Sub-Saharan Africa, 2017
  • Figure 4.5 Size of the Global Middle Class, by Region, 2015-30
  • Figure 4.6 Share of Global Middle-Class Consumption, by Region, 2015-30
  • Figure 4.7 Trends in Consumer Spending Habits, by Income Level
  • Figure 4.8 Share of Household Income Spent on Food, by Type and Household Income Level, 2010
  • Figure B4.2.1 Sources of China's Fruit Imports, 2017
  • Figure 4.9 Per Capita Consumption of Selected Foods in China, 2013-17
  • Figure B4.3.1 Sub-Saharan African Countries' Exports of Raw Cotton, 2017
  • Figure 4.10 China's Hardwood Imports, by Risk Level and Source Country, 2006-16
  • Figure 4.11 Tourism toward 2030: Actual Trend and Forecast, 1950-2030
  • Figure 4.12 Distribution of Foreign-Owned Manufacturing Firms in Sub-Saharan Africa, by Origin, 2010
  • Figure 4.13 Shares of Imports from and Exports to Investors' Regions or Countries of Origin, among Foreign-Owned Sub-Saharan African Firms, 2010
  • Figure 5.1 Sectoral Composition of Sub-Saharan Africa's Exports to Asia, 2005 and 2015
  • Figure 5.2 Sectoral Composition of Ethiopia's Exports to Asia, 2005 and 2015.
  • Figure 5.3 Sectoral Composition of Ghana's Exports to Asia, 2005 and 2015.